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A version of JM system

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Posted: #1

I have been playing around and I stumbled on this.  Use John Morrisons NFL system for NBA.  I ran the numbers for this year.  I also ran it without buying points.  The best scenario is listed if you buy 2-3 points on C bet only.  So if you bet 22 to win 20 on your A bet here are the results

66 games so far..

35 won on A bet    +700   22 to win 20

16 won on B bet   +288  44 to win 40

12 won on C bet   +168  buy 2 points  120 to win 80

3 losses   -564

The grand total for year is +592!!! 

 
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Posted: #2
Honestly, if you want to do all that chase crap, you can, but the system is 35-16 on A bets, if you were to bet $50 per every A game, you would be +$1090.  Now I much rather bet $100 per game and be up $2180.  I just hate doing all that chasing shit.  I mean I would just flat bet the A and C bets too because that would put you up 29.6 units.  That would be $1480 for a $50 player, and $2960 for the $100 player.  His A and C games are hitting at 71.2%, and that is REALLY GOOD. 



 
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Posted: #3
Which version of the system are you following? Do you just play a team on a 3 game road trip?  What about if they are the favorite?  Do you take the ML or Spread?
 
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Posted: #4
No the A game is hitting at 53%  Slightly higher after clippers covered A last night.  No road trips or anything.  If a team loses and does not cover any 3 games in a row then they become a play.  Out of 67 games bet 36 won A bet, 16 won B bet, and 12 won C bet.  3 lost.  Without buying points the losses arent so costly and the chase isn't so bad. 
 
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Posted: #5
I bet ats.  I never checked how it would be betting faves on ml. 
 
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Posted: #6
hmm. not so bad.  Might as well bet $50 per game and make it worth while.  GO FOR THE GUSTO

at $50 per game, the system would be up $1480.  Of course, it would be up $2960 at $100 per game.  Depending on your bank roll, that seems very profitable.  I could never follow a system that wants me to lay -160 per game.  It just seems like a lot of chasing and low profits when the C games lose.  I wouldn't mind buying 2 points on the C game, because it is only -140.

I have been dabbling with a Ratings System and it has started   6-1 +$245.  It sure has had a promising start, but we will see how it performs down the stretch into the tourney.  I would love to see if i can profit $2000 in march.
 
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Posted: #7
Also, if you bet $100 per game on his C games, you'd be up $780 for the year.  Those don't come up as much, but I mean you could really load up on those because they are hitting at 80%
 
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Posted: #8

Great work luckey leo.

are there many statistical similarities in the 3 losing series to possibly provide some sort of filter?

secondly,will you be posting teams that qualify for this system the rest of this season?

 
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Posted: #9

Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyCheez:

Honestly, if you want to do all that chase crap, you can, but the system is 35-16 on A bets, if you were to bet $50 per every A game, you would be +$1090.  Now I much rather bet $100 per game and be up $2180.  I just hate doing all that chasing shit.  I mean I would just flat bet the A and C bets too because that would put you up 29.6 units.  That would be $1480 for a $50 player, and $2960 for the $100 player.  His A and C games are hitting at 71.2%, and that is REALLY GOOD. 

Chucky, when u flat bet the A's, are you buying points?


 
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Posted: #10
No you are playing the money line...
 
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Posted: #11
Correction.  You dont buy points on A or B, just C.
 
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Posted: #12
So you bet 100 on the A ML and don't double up along the way?
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by reddevil134:

Great work luckey leo.

are there many statistical similarities in the 3 losing series to possibly provide some sort of filter?

secondly,will you be posting teams that qualify for this system the rest of this season?

 

Yes I will post them the rest of the season.

 
 
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Posted: #14
I haven't noticed any sort of filter as of yet.  The only difference I seen was if you never buy points you would have 6 losses for the year.  But if you buy 2 points on your c bet then that eliminated 3 losses.   Last night I had a B bet on Golden St -1.  I noticed that the money line was -104 so I bet the money line rather than lay 110 to bet -1.  So I notice that if -1 or pk games it may be better to bet the money line as you get better value
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