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Anybody know about this NBA system

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Posted: #51
Sun 1/27 "System" plays

  1. Cavs +7
  2. Knicks +13
wager 5 units to win 3

"Adjusted System" plays
  1. Cavs +7
  2. Knicks +13
  3. Hawks +8.5
  4. Nuggets +13.5
also, wager 5 units to win 3
 
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Posted: #52

I will be tracking this too. The hardest part is going to be having the discipline to bet just those games. I love NCAAB betting but I love making money more.

On your adjusted system you play only first 3 games of the roadtrip if the previous game was a winner correct?

 
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Posted: #53
Tomorrow night the only game to play on the regular or your adjusted system would be CHAR buying the 3 points.
 
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Posted: #54
Quote Originally Posted by jimmysalas:

I will be tracking this too. The hardest part is going to be having the discipline to bet just those games. I love NCAAB betting but I love making money more.

On your adjusted system you play only first 3 games of the roadtrip if the previous game was a winner correct?


It depends on the number of games. The Spurs have a 9 game road streak starting tomorrow. I'll play the first 6 games if they all hit. I'm going to research both systems all the way back to the beginning of the year to see how they do.
 
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Posted: #55
Quote Originally Posted by jimmysalas:

Tomorrow night the only game to play on the regular or your adjusted system would be CHAR buying the 3 points.


The "system" has the 1 play, but my "adjusted system" has 3 plays.

Monday's "System" plays
  1. Charlotte @ Clippers

"Adjusted System"
  1. Charlotte @ Clippers
  2. Spurs @ Utah
  3. Mavs @ Grizzlies
 
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Posted: #56
Quote Originally Posted by VilenceAlliance:

Sun 1/27 "System" plays

  1. Cavs +7
  2. Knicks +13
wager 5 units to win 3

"Adjusted System" plays
  1. Cavs +7
  2. Knicks +13
  3. Hawks +8.5
  4. Nuggets +13.5
also, wager 5 units to win 3


Cavs 98, Lakers 95 = W
Warriors 106, Knicks 104 = W
Trailblazers 94, Hawks 93 = W
Mavs 90, Nuggets 85 = W

Adjusted System Record
Game 1 = 6-1 (+13 units)
Game 2 = 1-0 (+7 units)
Total = 7-1 (+20 units)

     The System Record
Game 1 = 3-1 (+1 units)
Game 2 = 1-0 (+7 units)
Total = 2-1 (+8 units)

My math was off for both records and units, for the last time I updated the records. But now it is correct.
 
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Posted: #57
Quote Originally Posted by VilenceAlliance:


It depends on the number of games. The Spurs have a 9 game road streak starting tomorrow. I'll play the first 6 games if they all hit. I'm going to research both systems all the way back to the beginning of the year to see how they do.


I like to bet college basketball too, I've been buying the 3 points recently and it's improved my record considerably.
 
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Posted: #58

Quote Originally Posted by VilenceAlliance:



I like to bet college basketball too, I've been buying the 3 points recently and it's improved my record considerably.

But how much juice is that costing yoiu?

 
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Posted: #59
Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman:

But how much juice is that costing yoiu?



-170
 
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Posted: #60
so there are no plays tomorrow according to the regular system correct?
 
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Posted: #61

Quote Originally Posted by VilenceAlliance:



-170

that's a huge number to overcome. 

 
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Posted: #62
Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman:

that's a huge number to overcome. 



yes, it is. we'll find out if it is worthwhile.
 
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Posted: #63
Today's plays

The "system" has the 1 play, but my "adjusted system" has 3 plays.

Monday's "System" plays
  1. Charlotte @ Clippers +5. 5

"Adjusted System"
  1. Charlotte @ Clippers +5.5
  2. Spurs @ Utah +5
  3. Mavs @ Grizzlies -4.5
Adjusted System Record
Game 1 = 8-2 (+14 units)
Game 2 = 1-0 (+8 units)
Total = 9-2 (+22 units)

     The System Record
Game 1 = 4-1 (+7 units)
Game 2 = 1-0 (+8 units)
Total = 5-1 (+15 units)

No "System" plays tomorrow
  • next system play is Thursday, Lakers @ Detroit
    • however, the system would advise betting this one because Bynum (a key player) is out
2 "Adjusted System" plays tomorrow
  • Knicks @ Lakers
    • (Series 2, Game 1, wager 5 to win 3)
  • Spurs @ Seattle
    • (Series 1, Game 2, wager 13 to win 8)
 
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Posted: #64
Adjusted System Plays
  • Knicks +11.5
  • Spurs -5

Adjusted System Record
Game 1 = 9-2 (+17 units)
Game 2 = 1-1 (+/-0 units)
Total = 10-3 (+17 units)

     The System Record
Game 1 = 4-1 (+7 units)
Game 2 = 1-0 (+8 units)
Total = 5-1 (+15 units)

No System Plays tomorrow

Adjusted System Plays tomorrow
Chicago @ Minnesota
Knicks @ Jazz
Bobcats @ Kings
 
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Posted: #65
this system seems cool but just not enough plays, i want to try your adjusted system but i don't fully understand the reasoning behind the adjusted plays. Can you shed some light on tonights and tomorrows games.
 
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Posted: #66
OK i think i understand what you are doing, you are restarting if the team wins the first game and has more than 3 left on the current road trip. Also playing east VS east and west VS west. Its all about the road trips and how many on the road. I am going to put this to the test for a meager 25 cents on the first game.
 
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Posted: #67
Quote Originally Posted by jimmysalas:

OK i think i understand what you are doing, you are restarting if the team wins the first game and has more than 3 left on the current road trip. Also playing east VS east and west VS west. Its all about the road trips and how many on the road. I am going to put this to the test for a meager 25 cents on the first game.


Yeah pretty much. Anytime a team goes on the road for at least 3 games. I'm researching to the start of the season right now. I'm about half way done. As soon as I have the full results I'll post my findings and see the adjusted system is worthwhile or just a flash in the pan.
 
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Posted: #68
Hey Vilence,
 
How about the Lakers monster road trip they are going to start.  I think it's 7 games.
 
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Posted: #69
Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman:

Hey Vilence,
 
How about the Lakers monster road trip they are going to start.  I think it's 7 games.


It's going to be interesting. They haven't played well without Bynum so I'm hoping for very some very soft lines. It's similar to the road trip the Spurs are on right now. I think I'll chase it up to about 5 games, that's about all my bankroll could handle. Hopefully then don't lose that many ats in a row. Every time they win I'll reset the game to a game 1 of a new series.
 
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Posted: #70
Ok I researched the whole "adjusted system" back to the start of the year, I'm pretty tired right now so I'm not going to post all of the results right now but I will tomorrow. The key to winning in this system is hitting the 3rd game of the chase. The record for the 3rd game is 9-3-2. The chase has only gone to a 4th game 2 times at a record of 1-1. I suggest stopping after the 3rd game of a series regardless of outcome because a 4th straight loss could wipe out your bankroll. As of yesterday's game the "adjusted system" sits at +161 units which is pretty good. I'm going to mess around with it some more to see if there are ways to make it even more profitable. I'll run the numbers for the other "the system" also.
 
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Posted: #71
Adjusted System plays today
Lakers
Mavs
Spurs (game 3)

System plays
Mavs
 
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Posted: #72
Did you ever get time to calculate all of the results of the adjusted system?
 
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Posted: #73
Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman:

Did you ever get time to calculate all of the results of the adjusted system?


yes, here are the records. This is for the adjusted system that I came up with, not the system suggested by Cisco. I'll work those numbers tomorrow or Saturday. After about 15 hours of research here are the records for the adjusted system including tonight's games.

  • Game 1: 84-46 (65%)
    • +22 units (if you wager 5 units to win 3)
  • Game 2: 27-17-1 (61%)
    • -5 units (if you wager 13 to win 8)
  • Game 3: 10-3-3 (77%)
    • +105 units (if you wager 35 to win 21)
Total 121-66-4 (65%) +137 units (don't know where I got the 161 from last night, I was quite tired)

So let's say your bankroll started at $200 and your unit was $5, then you would be up $385 with $585 in your account.

That 3rd game is key, if that game doesn't hit, these numbers are nowhere near as good as they look. I'm going to go through the numbers again and see what the records would have been without buying the 3 points. I'm sure the # of wins would be down but the juice would be up. I want to see what is the best way to go. There's definitely some value to this system, but it's not an overnight cash cow by any means.


 
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Posted: #74
Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman:

Did you ever get time to calculate all of the results of the adjusted system?


yes, here are the records. This is for the adjusted system that I came up with, not the system suggested by Cisco. I'll work those numbers tomorrow or Saturday. After about 15 hours of research here are the records for the adjusted system including tonight's games.

  • Game 1: 84-46 (65%)
    • +22 units (if you wager 5 units to win 3)
  • Game 2: 27-17-1 (61%)
    • -5 units (if you wager 13 to win 8)
  • Game 3: 10-3-3 (77%)
    • +105 units (if you wager 35 to win 21)
Total 121-66-4 (65%) +137 units (don't know where I got the 161 from last night, I was quite tired)

So let's say your bankroll started at $200 and your unit was $5, then you would be up $385 with $585 in your account.

That 3rd game is key, if that game doesn't hit, these numbers are nowhere near as good as they look. I'm going to go through the numbers again and see what the records would have been without buying the 3 points. I'm sure the # of wins would be down but the juice would be up. I want to see what is the best way to go. There's definitely some value to this system, but it's not an overnight cash cow by any means.


 
 
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Posted: #75
Tomorrow's adjusted system plays...
  • Charlotte - series 2, game 2
  • Lakers - series 2, game 1
  • Houston - series 1, game 1
  • Clippers - series 1, game 1
  • New Orleans - series 1, game 1
System plays...
  • Clippers
  • New Orleans


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