CF underdog teams of +32 or higher cover 67% of the time.

Question

Found this stat..."Historically, college football underdog teams of +32 or higher have covered to the tune of 67%"

Week 1..

Buffalo +37.5 / Georgia
North Tx +43 / LSU
Hawaii +39.5 / USC
Tx St. +36.5 / Houston
Ark. St. +35.5 / Oregon

Went 5-0 week 1, I talked myslf out of betting any of them.

I'm going to use this thread to keep track of +32 dogs.

Dutch1976 · Answer

Found this stat..."Historically, college football underdog teams of +32 or higher have covered to the tune of 67%"

Week 1..

Buffalo +37.5 / Georgia
North Tx +43 / LSU
Hawaii +39.5 / USC
Tx St. +36.5 / Houston
Ark. St. +35.5 / Oregon

Went 5-0 week 1, I talked myslf out of betting any of them.

I'm going to use this thread to keep track of +32 dogs.

observer55 · Answer

I&#x27;ve been betting on sports for more than 30 years and I can tell you there is an absolute ZERO percent chance that what you have posted is true.  It is 100% false information.There is however, a microscopic edge to betting on dogs of &#x2B;40 or more, but it is not worthwhile.  There is no pointspread range in either college or pro football that has any SIGNIFICANT advantage LONG TERM.  These type of methods have been looked at countless times over the decades and discarded by everyone who has been unfortunate enough to use them.Too bad handicapping isn&#x27;t as easy as someone has led you to believe.  But if you must, go ahead and find out for yourself.Good luck to you.

CannedGoods · Answer

Yeah...love how he leaves out Ok. St. who had the highest spread in CFB history and covered easily winning 84-0.

Trigg · Answer

UL Lafayette? Kansas State? There&#x27;s two week 1 losses you&#x27;ve either intentionally or unintentionally omitted

Dutch1976 · Answer

Relax fellas.&#xD;&#xA;I started a thread at sbr on the 24th in the college football section, asking which dog &#x2B;32 would cover...Those were the only &#x2B;32&#x27;s I saw at the time..I copy and pasted them here.&#xD;&#xA;I found the stat here..&#xD;&#xA;https://www.predictem.com/cfb/arkansas-state-red-wolves-oregon-ducks-pick.php

CannedGoods · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by Dutch1976]  Relax fellas.&#xD;&#xA;I started a thread at sbr on the 24th in the college football section, asking which dog &#x2B;32 would cover...Those were the only &#x2B;32&#x27;s I saw at the time..I copy and pasted them here.&#xD;&#xA;I found the stat here..&#xD;&#xA;https://www.predictem.com/cfb/arkansas-state-red-wolves-oregon-ducks-pick.php  [/Quote]I always thought that site was pretty reputable...guess I know not to trust them as much now.Apologies for being abrasive, but I was interested in seeing if this was true and backtested it myself.  There is no correlation @ 32&#x2B; however if interested, there is a small one at 40&#x2B;.  Good teams seem to have a tougher time covering big spreads, likely because they start giving their 2nd team reps once they&#x27;re up by enough.  Respect for the opponent.  It&#x27;s not 67% but dogs of at least 40 points are 158-133, or covering 54.3% of the time, since 1980.  Not stellar, but enough to make a profit should you be interested.

CF underdog teams of +32 or higher cover 67% of the time.

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