Posted:
#1
Betting unders system for specific pitchers every time the pitcher starts (pitchers I have charted and analysed (and as of today have started betting for these pitchers games) include F Liriano, J Peavy, C Young, G Meche, Z Grienke, F Hernandez.
Factors/Assumptions:
Odds are unders 7 (usually 8 but giving leanway).
Return: $1.75 per dollar invested (leanway for minimum)
Bet are $25.00, therefore profit is $18.75 per bet.
A pitcher starts roughly 30 times per season. I am looking at making $562.50 (approx) from the pitcher, on the assumption I am placing a $25.00 bet every time one of the above pitcher starts.
If you do some analysis on the abovementione pitchers (previous 2 seasons), only once/twice throughout the season have they ever piched consecutive over for games 3x times.
Rule: Every bet, place $25.00 per start.
When a pitcher loses, you bet to recover the amount you have lost include the profit you would have made from the lost bet.
So, if you lose 1 bet, you would bet $83 the next game, then $219, then $536, then $1,275. Once you win, you restart with $25.00 again.
Of course, the only risk is that pitchers go "X" consecutive games overs, which is always a possibility in betting, but NEVER have the above pitchers I researched gone 3 consecutive games overs within the past 2 years so there's comfort, and if they did, it'll only be once or twice per season, so the worry and risk is "minimal" considering there is a chance you may need to invest $1,275.00 (or more).
Having said that, assuming you bet 30 times per season for the pitcher on the amount of $25.00, then you would be making $550 - $650 (depending on odds) for one particular pitcher per season....Its not much but considering you're only risking $25.00 per bet (up to a figure of $1,275.00 or more), it all adds up in the end :)
0
Hot Forum Topics
