Line movements and "Fishy Lines"

Question

How often do you allow these things to have an effect on making your picks? Do you believe in "Trap Games?" Is it better to just ignore any of these notions and just CAP the games? Or is there a healthy mix of capping and being aware of line movements and head scratching lines?"

Thought it might be helpful to have a lively conversation on the subject.

To be honest, I never believed in "trap games"...I still do not necessarily either, but I do believe some lines are set to trick us. For example, a few weeks back the Cavs were a slight favorite over the Wizards in NBA. At first my thought was "wow free money, I am going to bet the Cavs."

After thinking about how strangely low the line was, I decided to make is a NO PLAY...Sure enough the CAVS not only did not cover, they lost SU.

Was this just a random occurrence? Something that was bound to happen? or Did the line (without any capping) tell me to stay away?

Any thoughts?

PatrickBateman · Answer

How often do you allow these things to have an effect on making your picks? Do you believe in "Trap Games?" Is it better to just ignore any of these notions and just CAP the games? Or is there a healthy mix of capping and being aware of line movements and head scratching lines?"

Thought it might be helpful to have a lively conversation on the subject.

To be honest, I never believed in "trap games"...I still do not necessarily either, but I do believe some lines are set to trick us. For example, a few weeks back the Cavs were a slight favorite over the Wizards in NBA. At first my thought was "wow free money, I am going to bet the Cavs."

After thinking about how strangely low the line was, I decided to make is a NO PLAY...Sure enough the CAVS not only did not cover, they lost SU.

Was this just a random occurrence? Something that was bound to happen? or Did the line (without any capping) tell me to stay away?

Any thoughts?

MontanaMax · Answer

Can&#x27;t answer that one but was on the losing end of the @#$%ing Indy game yesterday even though I saw the line open at -7 and close at -3.4 points against Indy?????????????Where&#x27; the gambling police when you need &#x27;em...........Rhetorical question That&#x27;s what I hate about spreadsThe trap of either wayMe personally are less influenced by the movement of ML&#x27;s in NHL and MLBFor spreads I tend to value the match up and not the lineIf fishy either way I would parlay the ML or tease the spread - just me

K4ngur13 · Answer

briefly,when it comes to investors and the public ...in simple terms investors will control the public ...investors will bet the very first line when it comes out ... them knowing pretty much what&#x27;s it going to be and the public still considering who to take ... investors will look where the "idiotic public" bets and cream the line in about 20 min before it starts ....there is really a lot to it ... hard to explainyou know ... them catching the lines from both sides depending on the public and so forth ...finally,  just cap the game bro ... or if you are lucky enough do know the big fish ... follow &#x27;em

Line movements and "Fishy Lines"

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