Posted:
#1
I've only backtested 2 teams so far for this current season an the last two, but I've seen excellent ATS results so far. Here's the system:
When the Total on a a game for a team changes by 10 or more points from one game to the next, bet on that team to do the opposite of what they did in their previous game ATS.
Example:
Suppose the total on a Hawks-Celtics game is 189. In that game the Celtics are -3 point favorites. Let's say the Celtics cover that spread. If the very next game for the Celtics is 179 or less, or 199 or more, we would play on them to fail to cover whatever the spread is.
Results:
As I said I've only backtested 2 teams so far (BOS & NJ)
2011-2012 ATS Record 13-4 (76.5%)
2010-2011 ATS Record 32-21 (60.4%)
2009-2010 ATS Record 20-16 (55.6%)
2009 Through 2011 ATS Record 65-41 (61.3%)
I'm not sure how this compares to other systems, I'm more of a baseball guy, let me know what you think.
0
Good work man. Will definitely be paying attention to this.
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