Posted:
#1
Typically, I'm great at math, but this scenario is driving me crazy trying to figure out the smartest thing to do.
I recently bet a compact round robin, here's the ticket:
COMPACT ROUND ROBIN (10P-2T,10P-3T,5P-4T,1P-5T)
[704] PORTLAND -5½-110
[712] MARQUETTE -2½-110
[724] MICHIGAN -14½-110
[737] IOWA STATE -1-110
[740] KANSAS -20½-110
650 / 3900
I hit the bottom 3 out of the 5 so far. Now, my bookies site doesn't compute the winnings/losses of a compact round robin till all games have been played. If I look at my history on his site for wins/losses, the two teamer and 3 teamer parlays for Michigan, Iowa State and Kansas have not yet been calculated.
I currently have a -$196 balance with this bookie. My question is, how much, and which of the two remaining games would be wisest to hedge out of?
Should I bet $500 on both games the opposite way for max value? It seems to me it'd be smartest to bet $500 on just the other way in the Marquette game. Reasoning behind this assumption is that if Marquette loses, I win the $500 bet, and still have a chance to hit the Portland play. If that happens and I miss the Portland play, I probably am very close to a $0 balance.
What would you do?
I recently bet a compact round robin, here's the ticket:
COMPACT ROUND ROBIN (10P-2T,10P-3T,5P-4T,1P-5T)
[704] PORTLAND -5½-110
[712] MARQUETTE -2½-110
[724] MICHIGAN -14½-110
[737] IOWA STATE -1-110
[740] KANSAS -20½-110
650 / 3900
I hit the bottom 3 out of the 5 so far. Now, my bookies site doesn't compute the winnings/losses of a compact round robin till all games have been played. If I look at my history on his site for wins/losses, the two teamer and 3 teamer parlays for Michigan, Iowa State and Kansas have not yet been calculated.
I currently have a -$196 balance with this bookie. My question is, how much, and which of the two remaining games would be wisest to hedge out of?
Should I bet $500 on both games the opposite way for max value? It seems to me it'd be smartest to bet $500 on just the other way in the Marquette game. Reasoning behind this assumption is that if Marquette loses, I win the $500 bet, and still have a chance to hit the Portland play. If that happens and I miss the Portland play, I probably am very close to a $0 balance.
What would you do?
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