Posted:
#1
I really got interested in the YPPT Method posted by Roughshod and others on this forum last year. At one point, someone put the YPPT Method into an Excel spreadsheet and posted a copy on the board.
So please note that this is not my formula.
I know alot of people are interested in the YPPT Method, so I'm posting the weekly matchups to assist you with your capping. As a point of reference, here is how the system fared for the final half of the 2009 Season.
2009 YPPT NFL
Week 10: 8-6 SU, 7-7 ATS
Week 11: 8-8 SU, 6-10 ATS
Week 12: 14-2 SU, 9-6-1 ATS
Week 13: 10-6 SU, 6-10 ATS
Week 14: 11-5 SU, 9-7 ATS
Week 15: 10-6 SU, 4-11-1 ATS
Week 16: 10-6 SU, 8-8 ATS
Week 17: 8-8 SU, 6-9-1 ATS
WC: 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS
DIV: 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS
CONF: 1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS
SB44: 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS
==============================================================
Regular Season Totals: 79-47 SU (63%), 55-68-3 ATS (45%)
Playoff Totals: 5-6 SU (45%), 4-7 ATS (36%)
Overall Totals: 84-53 SU (61%), 59-75-3 ATS (44%)
As you can see, the YPPT method was not very good ATS last year and I'm pretty sure ESPN or USAToday's pick'em gurus probably did better than 61% in SU picks too.
But maybe it'll do better this year. Here are the Week 3 NFL Games:
TENNESSEE 28 NY GIANTS 26
BUFFALO 17 NEW ENGLAND 34
CLEVELAND 8 BALTIMORE 10
PITTSBURGH 16 TAMPA BAY 7
CINCINNATI 25 CAROLINA 16
ATLANTA 33 NEW ORLEANS 12
SAN FRANCISCO 11 KANSAS CITY 27
DETROIT 12 MINNESOTA 19
DALLAS 13 HOUSTON 50
WASHINGTON 22 ST LOUIS 11
PHILADELPHIA 30* JACKSONVILLE 30
INDIANAPOLIS 31 DENVER 19
SAN DIEGO 27 SEATTLE 16
OAKLAND 14* ARIZONA 14
NY JETS 11 MIAMI 6
GREEN BAY 24 CHICAGO 17
*-PHILADELPHIA and OAKLAND had slightly higher points by decimal, but when rounding the scores, it ended in a tie for each of those games.
So please note that this is not my formula.
I know alot of people are interested in the YPPT Method, so I'm posting the weekly matchups to assist you with your capping. As a point of reference, here is how the system fared for the final half of the 2009 Season.
2009 YPPT NFL
Week 10: 8-6 SU, 7-7 ATS
Week 11: 8-8 SU, 6-10 ATS
Week 12: 14-2 SU, 9-6-1 ATS
Week 13: 10-6 SU, 6-10 ATS
Week 14: 11-5 SU, 9-7 ATS
Week 15: 10-6 SU, 4-11-1 ATS
Week 16: 10-6 SU, 8-8 ATS
Week 17: 8-8 SU, 6-9-1 ATS
WC: 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS
DIV: 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS
CONF: 1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS
SB44: 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS
==============================================================
Regular Season Totals: 79-47 SU (63%), 55-68-3 ATS (45%)
Playoff Totals: 5-6 SU (45%), 4-7 ATS (36%)
Overall Totals: 84-53 SU (61%), 59-75-3 ATS (44%)
As you can see, the YPPT method was not very good ATS last year and I'm pretty sure ESPN or USAToday's pick'em gurus probably did better than 61% in SU picks too.
But maybe it'll do better this year. Here are the Week 3 NFL Games:
TENNESSEE 28 NY GIANTS 26
BUFFALO 17 NEW ENGLAND 34
CLEVELAND 8 BALTIMORE 10
PITTSBURGH 16 TAMPA BAY 7
CINCINNATI 25 CAROLINA 16
ATLANTA 33 NEW ORLEANS 12
SAN FRANCISCO 11 KANSAS CITY 27
DETROIT 12 MINNESOTA 19
DALLAS 13 HOUSTON 50
WASHINGTON 22 ST LOUIS 11
PHILADELPHIA 30* JACKSONVILLE 30
INDIANAPOLIS 31 DENVER 19
SAN DIEGO 27 SEATTLE 16
OAKLAND 14* ARIZONA 14
NY JETS 11 MIAMI 6
GREEN BAY 24 CHICAGO 17
*-PHILADELPHIA and OAKLAND had slightly higher points by decimal, but when rounding the scores, it ended in a tie for each of those games.
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