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nhl 2 game home chase

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Posted: #1
nhl 2 game home chase
 
I capped this my self
 
chase 2 game home series and bet +1  1/2  line
 
2008-2009  results  162  wins 9  losses  94%  wins
 
2007-2008   results  171 wins  11  losses  93%  wins
 
2006-2007    results  176  wins  10 losses  95%  wins
 
2005-2006   results  172  wins 8 losses    96%  wins
 
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Posted: #2
this looks good jv....are you taking the first 2 home games of every teams home series?...then playing the alt puck line as most home team will be favs so you wont get +1.5 ?....please give some more details...thanks
 
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Posted: #3
Quote Originally Posted by English_Gent:

this looks good jv....are you taking the first 2 home games of every teams home series?...then playing the alt puck line as most home team will be favs so you wont get +1.5 ?....please give some more details...thanks

 

I just got done talking to bet jamacia and it sounds like they  let you wager the +1 1/2 line on the home game series.  can someone else plaease verrify this is true or not. I hope I got the info correct.  I will try handicappong the other way aand see what happens.

 
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Posted: #4
if they have alt puck line it will cost over -400 on big home favs maybe even -500 or -600
 
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Posted: #5
I guess that wouldn't be worth it.
 
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Posted: #6
A 2 game chase, impressive but........
What about how many units were made
Those losses must be very steep at anywhere from -250 to -500 or per game with another to chase a series loss can eat into your bankroll
My opinion each of those losses added up to -5 to -10 units per series loss
so subtract anywhere from wide range of 50 to 100 units after the winnings
In chasing record is one thing but units is a better measurement to gauge how good a system is
The W /L record just shows how strong it is
What happens when you go to a 3 game chase
Though that's real steep

Lets see what happans........... GL
maybe some filters can help eliminate series losses
 
 
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Posted: #7
JV......
My bad if I sound like I'm coming down on you
Don't mean to.......... I respect what you do around here
Main point is that though this is interesting........
I suggest applying some filters but all in all even with those massive alt lines.......
You can accumulate a nice a chunk of units for little work
 
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Posted: #8
Oh snap my math is off (Bare with me I was a graduate of the Philadelphia public school system)
We'll be losing way more then 5 - 10 units per series loss
Shit man its more like 15 - 20 units per series loss
Whoa........

Hmmm.........
Don't know man but definetly some tweaking can help
Until then I don't adivse on blindly playing it
Just my opinion
 
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Posted: #9
hey jv where did you get the old records of nfl and nba for last couple years? thank bud.
 
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Posted: #10
never mind i got it
 
 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by MontanaMax:

Oh snap my math is off (Bare with me I was a graduate of the Philadelphia public school system)
We'll be losing way more then 5 - 10 units per series loss
Shit man its more like 15 - 20 units per series loss
Whoa........

Hmmm.........
Don't know man but definetly some tweaking can help
Until then I don't adivse on blindly playing it
Just my opinion

I defenitly see your point about steep lines for home team. I scrapped this idea and worked on road teams.  I'm guessing the lines arn't that steep for road teams. looks like you saw what I wrote for road teams already. I'm using the modified labuerche method and betting to win. like kong said in the beginning of his hockey thread it should yeild around 100 units or more.

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