Posted:
#1
This is my post from SBR forum 02-10-12.
Out of interest i did a backtest for some NHL systems. I don't use these systems, i don't know if anybody uses these systems, i was just backtesting the 3 game road chase system and did other systems at the same time. I backtested all postlockout seasons (starting with season 05-06) with this years season included. There are some minor mistakes as this was done with paper and pencil but that can't change the %.
1. 3 game road chase (a team goes on a 3 or more road games in a row) - ML bets (NO +1,5 PL!)
A: 492-622 (44 %)
B: 295-325 (48 %)
C: 135-191 (41 %)
2. 3 game road chase - road team will lose one game out of 3 in regulation (that means you bet on home teams - ML bets can get very expensice so i did a backtest on regulation lines)
A: 480-634 (43 %)
B: 263-371 (41 %)
C: 160-212 (43 %)
3. 3 game home chase (a team has 3 or more games at home in a row) - to win one game out of three in regualtion
A: 484-598 (45 %)
B: 267-327 (45 %)
C: 130-201 (39 %)
4. 3 game home chase - to win one game out of three ML
A: 607-474 (56 %)
B: 254-220 (54 %)
C: 114-107 (52 %)
5. 3 game home chase - home team will lose one game out of three
A: 474-608 (44 %)
B: 258-352 (42 %)
C: 129-222 (37 %)
1. 3 game road chase (a team goes on a 3 or more road games in a row) - ML bets (NO +1,5 PL!)
A: 492-622 (44 %)
B: 295-325 (48 %)
C: 135-191 (41 %)
2. 3 game road chase - road team will lose one game out of 3 in regulation (that means you bet on home teams - ML bets can get very expensice so i did a backtest on regulation lines)
A: 480-634 (43 %)
B: 263-371 (41 %)
C: 160-212 (43 %)
3. 3 game home chase (a team has 3 or more games at home in a row) - to win one game out of three in regualtion
A: 484-598 (45 %)
B: 267-327 (45 %)
C: 130-201 (39 %)
4. 3 game home chase - to win one game out of three ML
A: 607-474 (56 %)
B: 254-220 (54 %)
C: 114-107 (52 %)
5. 3 game home chase - home team will lose one game out of three
A: 474-608 (44 %)
B: 258-352 (42 %)
C: 129-222 (37 %)
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