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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    NHL system bet on Goals

    Qazdas
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 864
    Posts: 10
     
    Qazdas
    Qazdas
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2017
    Posts: 63
    Posted: Sep. 26, 2019 - 5:16 AM ET #1

    I was thinking about a betting strategy on NHL, is working like this:

    We choose to bet on the end of the first period and we bet only in case one team has the lead (not in case of a first period draw!)

    So lets say the score after first period between Team A - Team B is 1-0 

    We choose to bet for the team which has the lead:

    and our bets in our example would be:

    Team A to win by 5 or more

    Team A to win by 4  

    Team A to win by 3

    we choose the betting amount of each option in order we have the same return (lets say 90$)

    Example

     Team A to win by 5 or more @45  we bet 2$ ---> return 90$

    Team A to win by 4  @15  we bet 6$ ---> return 90$

    Team A to win by 3 @4.5  we bet 20$ ---> return 90$

     

    We also make one last bet

    Team A to win by 2 @4 

    but on this bet we just cover our previous bet which means in this example

    Team A to win by 2 @4  we bet 9.33$ ---> return 37.33$ (=2$+6$+20$+9.33$)

     

    Cocnlusion, in this example the total odd we can calculate is 90$/37.33$ = @2.41 

    So to sum up:

    If our Team A wins by +1 (comparing to the first period) we get our bets back

    If our Team A wins by +2 or more we WIN

    If our Team A wins with the same lead, or loses or draw we LOSE

     

    P.S.: I will try to confirm the odds in any chance (these ones were real)

     

    What do you think of the system?

    Is any spreadsheet available that can help to figure out if this works?

    Reply
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    I was thinking about a betting strategy on NHL, is working like this:

    We choose to bet on the end of the first period and we bet only in case one team has the lead (not in case of a first period draw!)

    So lets say the score after first period between Team A - Team B is 1-0 

    We choose to bet for the team which has the lead:

    and our bets in our example would be:

    Team A to win by 5 or more

    Team A to win by 4  

    Team A to win by 3

    we choose the betting amount of each option in order we have the same return (lets say 90$)

    Example

     Team A to win by 5 or more @45  we bet 2$ ---> return 90$

    Team A to win by 4  @15  we bet 6$ ---> return 90$

    Team A to win by 3 @4.5  we bet 20$ ---> return 90$

     

    We also make one last bet

    Team A to win by 2 @4 

    but on this bet we just cover our previous bet which means in this example

    Team A to win by 2 @4  we bet 9.33$ ---> return 37.33$ (=2$+6$+20$+9.33$)

     

    Cocnlusion, in this example the total odd we can calculate is 90$/37.33$ = @2.41 

    So to sum up:

    If our Team A wins by +1 (comparing to the first period) we get our bets back

    If our Team A wins by +2 or more we WIN

    If our Team A wins with the same lead, or loses or draw we LOSE

     

    P.S.: I will try to confirm the odds in any chance (these ones were real)

     

    What do you think of the system?

    Is any spreadsheet available that can help to figure out if this works?

     
    Qazdas
    Qazdas
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2017
    Posts: 63
    Posted: Sep. 30, 2019 - 7:44 AM ET #2

    I have to add one more condition, we bet on only in teams that are leading with ONLY one goal.

    But it is vital, if someone can confirm the odds!

    I will track the games now for the past three days

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    I have to add one more condition, we bet on only in teams that are leading with ONLY one goal.

    But it is vital, if someone can confirm the odds!

    I will track the games now for the past three days

     
    Qazdas
    Qazdas
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2017
    Posts: 63
    Posted: Sep. 30, 2019 - 7:55 AM ET #3

    On 26/09

    Flyers - Rangers  LOSS

    Blues - Red Wings WIN

    Lightning - Panthers LOSS

    Coyotes - Canucks LOSS

    Reply
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    On 26/09

    Flyers - Rangers  LOSS

    Blues - Red Wings WIN

    Lightning - Panthers LOSS

    Coyotes - Canucks LOSS

     
    Qazdas
    Qazdas
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2017
    Posts: 63
    Posted: Sep. 30, 2019 - 8:00 AM ET #4

    On 27/09

    Devils - Blue Jackets VOID

    Maple Leafs - Red Wings LOSS

    Capital - Blues LOSS

    Reply
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    On 27/09

    Devils - Blue Jackets VOID

    Maple Leafs - Red Wings LOSS

    Capital - Blues LOSS

     
    Qazdas
    Qazdas
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2017
    Posts: 63
    Posted: Sep. 30, 2019 - 8:03 AM ET #5

    On 28/09

    Red Wings - Maple Leafs WIN

    Senators - Canadiens LOSS

    Coyotes - Ducks LOSS

    Reply
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    On 28/09

    Red Wings - Maple Leafs WIN

    Senators - Canadiens LOSS

    Coyotes - Ducks LOSS

     
    Qazdas
    Qazdas
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2017
    Posts: 63
    Posted: Sep. 30, 2019 - 8:09 AM ET #6

    On 29/09

    Capitals - Hurricanes LOSS

    Blackhawks - Eisbaren VOID

    Sharks - Golden Knights WIN

    Reply
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    On 29/09

    Capitals - Hurricanes LOSS

    Blackhawks - Eisbaren VOID

    Sharks - Golden Knights WIN

     
    Qazdas
    Qazdas
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2017
    Posts: 63
    Posted: Sep. 30, 2019 - 8:24 AM ET #7

    So far 

    3 - 2 - 8

    Reason of Loss:

    Game end Draw : 3

    Comeback : 3

    Won by only one goal: 2

    Reply
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    So far 

    3 - 2 - 8

    Reason of Loss:

    Game end Draw : 3

    Comeback : 3

    Won by only one goal: 2

     
    Qazdas
    Qazdas
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2017
    Posts: 63
    Posted: Sep. 30, 2019 - 8:25 AM ET #8

    We keep tracking ...

     

    P.S.: Please if anyone can confirm the odds...

    Thanks

    Reply
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    We keep tracking ...

     

    P.S.: Please if anyone can confirm the odds...

    Thanks

     
    Qazdas
    Qazdas
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2017
    Posts: 63
    Posted: Oct. 3, 2019 - 4:38 AM ET #9

    Senators - Maple Leafs LOSS

    Capitals - Blues LOSS

    Canucks - Oilers LOSS

    Sharks - Golden Knights WIN

     

    So far 

     

    4 - 2 - 11

     

    Reason of Loss:

    Game end Draw : 4

    Comeback : 4

     

    Won by only one goal: 3

    Reply
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    Report User

    Senators - Maple Leafs LOSS

    Capitals - Blues LOSS

    Canucks - Oilers LOSS

    Sharks - Golden Knights WIN

     

    So far 

     

    4 - 2 - 11

     

    Reason of Loss:

    Game end Draw : 4

    Comeback : 4

     

    Won by only one goal: 3

     
     
    Qazdas
    Qazdas
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2017
    Posts: 63
    Posted: Oct. 4, 2019 - 4:37 AM ET #10

     

    Panthers - Lightning WIN

    Sabres - Penguins WIN

    Canadiens - Hurricanes LOSS

    Flames - Avalanche VOID

    Coyotes - Ducks LOSS

     

    So far 

     

    6 - 3 - 13

     

    Reason of Loss:

    Game end Draw : 5

    Comeback : 4

    Won by only one goal: 4

    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User

     

    Panthers - Lightning WIN

    Sabres - Penguins WIN

    Canadiens - Hurricanes LOSS

    Flames - Avalanche VOID

    Coyotes - Ducks LOSS

     

    So far 

     

    6 - 3 - 13

     

    Reason of Loss:

    Game end Draw : 5

    Comeback : 4

    Won by only one goal: 4

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