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Reverse Line Movement

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Views: 694
Posts: 10
 
Banned
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Joined: Sep, 2009
Posts: 848
Posted: #1

Going to check sth. Betting public has to be 60%+ on 1 side and line has to go the opposite.

 

For Tonight:

LA Lakers @Sacramento
Total open @: 210
Betting Public: 64% on the over
Line now: 208

Pick UNDER

Oklahoma @ LA Clippers
ATS open: -9
Betting Public: 78% on Oklahoma
Line now: -8

Pick LA Clippers

LA Lakers @Sacramento
ATS open: -6
Betting public: 69% on Lakers
Line now: -5

Pick LA Lakers

 
Veteran
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Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 3144
Posted: #2
I like this... except your last play is wrong. If 69% are on the Lakers and the line is still getting better for them (-6 to -5) then the big money is coming in on the other side.

I'm going to make a small 2/3 teaser rotation. GL 
 
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Posted: #3
sorry typo Pick is Sacramento indeed :)
 
MVP
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Posts: 15755
Posted: #4

gl bro

 

 
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Posted: #5

other situations:

NHL:

Atlanta @ Florida
69%     @ 31%
+110    @ -130
+120    @ -140
Pick: Florida

Detroit @ Calgary TOTALS
36% O @ 64 % U
U from -135 to -120
Pick: OVER

Boston @ Buffalo TOTALS
36 % O @ 64% U
U from +105 to +121
Pick: OVER

 
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Posted: #6

NFL/

Indianapolis @ Philadelphia
62%          @ 38%
+1            @ -1
+3            @ -3
Pick: Philadelphia

 
Prospect
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Joined: Sep, 2010
Posts: 15
Posted: #7
Could you tell me where you get the public betting percentages from, especially the totals?  I use Sports Insights for sides, but I can't get public percentages on totals. Thanks
 
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Posted: #8
sbrlines.com
 
Prospect
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Joined: Jan, 2010
Posts: 208
Posted: #9
how did all those picks work out? just curious, luv the eagles sunday
 
 
Prospect
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Joined: Sep, 2009
Posts: 159
Posted: #10

The NBA went 1-2.  I think if the line movement is more significant then the play might be more reliable. And of course check for recent injury or illness moving the line.

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