RL SYSTEM- need some input

Question

YO brothers-I have always liked AWAY RL on favorites, ESPECIALLY on games where the O/U is 9&#x2B;.  Can one of you fancy folks who knows how to work those spreadsheet thingamabobs help a brother out and see what the success rate is on these plays over the last season, two, three??If you want to ride with me on this thing, the play for manana is on the REDS- 1.5, as that is the only play on the board meeting the parameters(they are away and the total is 9.5) Thanks guys,-Shat

SHATMAN · Answer

YO brothers-I have always liked AWAY RL on favorites, ESPECIALLY on games where the O/U is 9&#x2B;.  Can one of you fancy folks who knows how to work those spreadsheet thingamabobs help a brother out and see what the success rate is on these plays over the last season, two, three??If you want to ride with me on this thing, the play for manana is on the REDS- 1.5, as that is the only play on the board meeting the parameters(they are away and the total is 9.5) Thanks guys,-Shat

onlinesport · Answer

2010: SU Results: 41 - 42 2009: SU Results: 77 - 66 2008: SU Results: 108 - 72&#xD;&#xA;So there will be some games that you have won SU but lost on the run line

SHATMAN · Answer

Thanks online, but need some clarification on these numbers.
Are these the numbers for AWAY RL Favorites??
Can you break down how many games were lost that would have been won on ML??
Also, any chance we can get a UNIT breakdown of this??
Thanks guys,

Shat

SHATMAN · Answer

System goes 1-0 on first day with a REDS win.
(1-0, +1.3 U)
The two plays for today are REDS, yest again, -1.5, and TEXAS -1.5.
I like the Reds more than Texas, but actually think they are both pretty solid plays.
Somebody hit me with some more info when you can!!!
-T

gentruchi · Answer

2009 Season Away Favs -1.5 All Totals

316 - 400

2009 Season Away Favs -1.5 9+ Totals

162 - 195

I can tell you is a losing play even with the +Money must of the time
And overall it's pretty much the same through all seasons.. I used a system that is pretty much the opposite taking the home dog to win SU and +1.5 and it hits much better...I will like to tell you the $ Results of your System but I can't get the RL on the database...

gentruchi · Answer

As a tip, i will follow your system only if the SP is in the Top 20-25 using Sagarin Ratings No Mather the Total. In example. Today's plays will be:

SD

TB

CIN?

CIN could be a play if we considered that Wood is in one of the Top Pitchers that has yet to pitch more than 119 IP.

GL BRO..

SHATMAN · Answer

Well, system goes 1-1 today.
Now 2-1 since starting the thread for 1.55U profit(Cincy was +125).

Anyways, I would really like to see the unit total for that 162-195 record from last year, and would really like to see this years numbers, as I believe that with the lower scoring this year, the lines with 9 and up are games where there is either a good offense or a bad pitcher in play, and in these games, my instinct is that the Road favorite rarely only wins by one run. Perhaps even better when the total is up to 10.
If any one out there can man UP for me, numbers would be very much appreciated.
BOL,
Shat

SHATMAN · Answer

OK, plays for today are CHISOX -1.5 (&#x2B;110)  and RANGERS-1.5(-120)I am on the CHISOX myself, but don&#x27;t really like the Rangers play.   Best of luck.  GOOOOO SOX.-T

gentruchi · Answer

Not trying to use your thread as a fade for your system, but it could help you to avoid some losses. (I haven't back tested but it is 6-1) over the last 7 plays.

the criteria I use to fade the Away Fav in the RL is the Following:

Must be away Favorite at -150 or more.
It is a play only if the SP (Away Fav) is not on the Top 20 pitchers in the League (Using Sagarin Ratings)
Play the Home Dog +1.5 Runs (The SU % is also good but I think there's a lot more value taking the RL as the Juice won't be that high)

Tonight's Plays:

KC +1.5 (-125) (the last loss was backing this SP but WTH!!

OAK +1.5(-130)

BOL in your plays

SHATMAN · Answer

Hey Gen!!   Congrats on a winning night!!We both went 1-0~!!!  This will be a fun thing if we keep it going!!MY sys now 3-1 for &#x2B;2.35 U.C u tomorrow!!

SHATMAN · Answer

OK--- so... today&#x27;s plays are....CHISOX -1.5   &#x2B;140    andPADS -1.5 &#x2B;145.Let&#x27;s see what happens.... Hopefully 1 of 2!!

gentruchi · Answer

Hey What&#x27;s up.Another play came out today. BAL &#x2B;1&#xBD; (-110).Record since postingSU: 1-0 (&#x2B;130)RL: 1-0 (&#x2B;100) BOL

SHATMAN · Answer

0-2 yesterday, now 3-3 to this point &#x2B;.35U.Today&#x27;s only play is San Diego &#x2B;127.GL Gen.

SHATMAN · Answer

winner.  4-3.   &#x2B; 1.62 U

SHATMAN · Answer

just realized that TX was also a play today &#x2B;120...winner there takes record to 5-3 &#x2B;2.82 U

SHATMAN · Answer

Only play today is the RAYS -1.5 &#x2B;120.

SHATMAN · Answer

Rays only won by one yesterday for a one unit loss, but the yankees were a play today and will likely COVER!!  &#x2B;140!!After yesterday, 5-4, &#x2B;1.82 U.

SHATMAN · Answer

YANKS WINNER.  Record:  6-4 &#x2B;3.22U.Still looking for somebody to man up and plug some numbers into a spreadsheet or whatever it is they do to get season long stats on this bet.  Thank you in advance to whoever sacks up.-Shat

gentruchi · Answer

HI, just updating.. couldn&#x27;t post before the game started.PIT &#x2B;1&#xBD; (-110) Record since postingSU: 2-1 (&#x2B;180)RL: 2-1(&#x2B;70)

paco1018 · Answer

anything for today guys?

SHATMAN · Answer

LOSS yesterday on Braves.  Don&#x27;t think there will be any plays today.6-5 &#x2B;2.22U

gentruchi · Answer

Hey!Another play came out todayKC &#x2B;1&#xBD; (-115)

gentruchi · Answer

KC &#x2B;1&#xBD; (-115) Record Since Posting:RL: 3-1 &#x2B;170SU: 2-2 &#x2B;80For all those wondering there&#x27;s been a total of 44 plays that met the criteria since 04/23/2010, for a total record of 32-12 (72.72%) while playing on the RL (Avg. lines of &lt;-125 / &#x2B;100&gt;.There&#x27;s no way I can backtest this for earlier years as it depends of the momentum for the Staring Pitchers, but I&#x27;ll definitely keep an eye on this system (I credit myself fo it) in the years to come.    Query on Sportsdatabe :  site=away and t:line&lt;-150 and season=2010I&#x27;m not sure if I&#x27;ll keep posting the plays for the rest of the season for 2 main reasons:1. Very strange things happens late in the season in MLB and2. I&#x27;m switching to Football lol..Anyways the criteria is very clear. So good luck for all those backers.

RL SYSTEM- need some input

Hot Forum Topics