- I have used a formula to create a point spread using Yards per Play (YPP). I waited until after week 7 in order for each team's stats to develop. The last 2 weeks I practiced. I have three categories based on the differential between the point spread I came up with and the actual line (Bovada)
The results this year so far :
2 point differential:
3 - 5
4 point differential
6 - 2
7 point differential
5 - 1
Now I am ready to post my alternate point spreads online. The line goes by the visiting teams. I understand we use different sports books. What may be a 2 point differential with Bovada might be a 4 point differential with Pinnacle. These are the spreads I came up with. Use however you like
Week 10
Bal -4.5
Atl +0.5
NO +1.5
Jax +3.5
Cle -4.5
Buf -10
Det +3
TB -6
Car +5
Min +1
Phi -1.5
Sea pk
KC +7
LAR -1
I use Bovada. For me, 13 of this weeks 14 games were at least 2 points away and qualified. All were Underdogs so I am a bit concerned but not too much.
When betting -110 I use this betting progression chase a profit.
Win 2 out of 6
1x 2x 4x 6x 8x 12x
Watch from the side or jump in. Good Luck
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Part I
SD and LAD Parlay- flopped
Part II
NHL Small Underdogs - Small Profit
Part III
MLB Playoffs Home Underdogs- Undefeated
Part IV
NFL Yards per Play
- I have used a formula to create a point spread using Yards per Play (YPP). I waited until after week 7 in order for each team's stats to develop. The last 2 weeks I practiced. I have three categories based on the differential between the point spread I came up with and the actual line (Bovada)
The results this year so far :
2 point differential:
3 - 5
4 point differential
6 - 2
7 point differential
5 - 1
Now I am ready to post my alternate point spreads online. The line goes by the visiting teams. I understand we use different sports books. What may be a 2 point differential with Bovada might be a 4 point differential with Pinnacle. These are the spreads I came up with. Use however you like
Week 10
Bal -4.5
Atl +0.5
NO +1.5
Jax +3.5
Cle -4.5
Buf -10
Det +3
TB -6
Car +5
Min +1
Phi -1.5
Sea pk
KC +7
LAR -1
I use Bovada. For me, 13 of this weeks 14 games were at least 2 points away and qualified. All were Underdogs so I am a bit concerned but not too much.
When betting -110 I use this betting progression chase a profit.
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