I'm a big MLB fan but a terrible bettor at it. I've accepted I'm never going to make money from betting it so I am therefore in the vast majority of sports bettors and in terms of the amount I bet I'm very much a recreational bettor.
That said, I'm going to start tracking a simplistic system on F5 bets (Moneyline, or 0 handicap) whereby I isolate bad pitchers and bad teams. For that reason there's probably likely to be a little bit of juice laid, which is probably not going to be ideal, however whilst I'm probably square in saying this, I'd rather lay juice fading a bad team than try and "catch a falling knife" with a bad team or pitcher and hope to get lucky.
The system concentrates on the starting pitchers in their L5 starts, which is readily available off the Covers print sheets. I also am using TeamRankings website to sort teams on recent performance.
I would like to see if I can't at least break even. As I said I'm a recreational bettor this is very simplistic and takes less than 5 minutes per day. There's no particular theory for starting right now before the ASG and I have not backtested this at all.
I will bet 1 unit flat. I will write each bet as "1U to collect xU" and then give the American odds
The first bet is St Louis Cardinals F5 (Mikolas)
1U to collect 1.5U (-200)
Cheers
BF
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Hey guys,
I'm a big MLB fan but a terrible bettor at it. I've accepted I'm never going to make money from betting it so I am therefore in the vast majority of sports bettors and in terms of the amount I bet I'm very much a recreational bettor.
That said, I'm going to start tracking a simplistic system on F5 bets (Moneyline, or 0 handicap) whereby I isolate bad pitchers and bad teams. For that reason there's probably likely to be a little bit of juice laid, which is probably not going to be ideal, however whilst I'm probably square in saying this, I'd rather lay juice fading a bad team than try and "catch a falling knife" with a bad team or pitcher and hope to get lucky.
The system concentrates on the starting pitchers in their L5 starts, which is readily available off the Covers print sheets. I also am using TeamRankings website to sort teams on recent performance.
I would like to see if I can't at least break even. As I said I'm a recreational bettor this is very simplistic and takes less than 5 minutes per day. There's no particular theory for starting right now before the ASG and I have not backtested this at all.
I will bet 1 unit flat. I will write each bet as "1U to collect xU" and then give the American odds
1U to collect 1.86U (-116) ***I'm certain you could get better lines than this, I'm using my book. Not betting enough to warrant line shopping ATM but I do know it's a bad line***
Cheers
BF
0
1st bet won.
2nd play is today
Baltimore F5 (Gausman)
1U to collect 1.86U (-116) ***I'm certain you could get better lines than this, I'm using my book. Not betting enough to warrant line shopping ATM but I do know it's a bad line***
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.
Hot Forum Topics
