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#1
Marking two umpires to start off with as notorious under umpires. I feel like an under ump has a better chance at impacting the game than an over ump. An over ump can make a strike zone tighter, but he can't impact where the ball is hit or if contact will be made, in fact.
Doug Eddings and Jeff Nelson are two early umps I'm going to try this with. Might add a couple more. It scares me just how many unders Ron Kulpa and Brian Gorman have had thus far...think Vegas will really start adjusting here. Eddings and Nelson are both historically under umps who haven't had big-time under #s this year. I am basing #s off of K/BB rate (higher the #, more Ks, less BBs means larger strike zone) and H/BB per inning (this is slightly variable based on the fact that hits are dependent on hitters).
Contemplating between a straight chase or a Labouchere Line play.
Tonight:
SEA/CLE under 8.5 -114
(Doug Eddings HP)
My units to start are very small. This is more speculative than anything. Tail at your own risk.
Doug Eddings and Jeff Nelson are two early umps I'm going to try this with. Might add a couple more. It scares me just how many unders Ron Kulpa and Brian Gorman have had thus far...think Vegas will really start adjusting here. Eddings and Nelson are both historically under umps who haven't had big-time under #s this year. I am basing #s off of K/BB rate (higher the #, more Ks, less BBs means larger strike zone) and H/BB per inning (this is slightly variable based on the fact that hits are dependent on hitters).
Contemplating between a straight chase or a Labouchere Line play.
Tonight:
SEA/CLE under 8.5 -114
(Doug Eddings HP)
My units to start are very small. This is more speculative than anything. Tail at your own risk.
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