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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    VERY unusual method - doing very well

    lapis01
    jv040
    HECTAR
    Snappa
    ballinhj12
    ...
    Participants:
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    Views: 1820
    Posts: 17
     
    lapis01
    lapis01
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2010 - 10:27 PM ET #1

    Hi everyone- it's not perfect, but in the last 13 wagers, we've been correct on 12, and covering points. That's 92% correct.
    About 2 games per week is all we manage, perhaps 3 - we focus a lot on accuracy sureness on each pick, and put a lot of effort into the stability, or repeatability of the process, so that it's not just a fluke or "flash in the pan." We've been working on this for about 4 years now.
    We use this for ourselves of course, and making it public for the first time, this is free for now. You are welcome to watch it, track it, and use it if you care to. It's a rather unusual method, so it may not appeal to you, but it's there if you are interested. It's working very well for us now, and you are welcome too.
    Check it out by following my posts and / or you can read up on it at:

    https://predictionbetting.wordpress.com/

    Best wishes and good luck  :)
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Hi everyone- it's not perfect, but in the last 13 wagers, we've been correct on 12, and covering points. That's 92% correct.
    About 2 games per week is all we manage, perhaps 3 - we focus a lot on accuracy sureness on each pick, and put a lot of effort into the stability, or repeatability of the process, so that it's not just a fluke or "flash in the pan." We've been working on this for about 4 years now.
    We use this for ourselves of course, and making it public for the first time, this is free for now. You are welcome to watch it, track it, and use it if you care to. It's a rather unusual method, so it may not appeal to you, but it's there if you are interested. It's working very well for us now, and you are welcome too.
    Check it out by following my posts and / or you can read up on it at:

    https://predictionbetting.wordpress.com/

    Best wishes and good luck  :)
     
    lapis01
    lapis01
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2010 - 11:38 PM ET #2

    Also, we are staying on NBA until that finishes up, so I will be putting up picks in there if you would like to check them out, I'll try to get them in the forum at least an hour or so before the games start.
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    Also, we are staying on NBA until that finishes up, so I will be putting up picks in there if you would like to check them out, I'll try to get them in the forum at least an hour or so before the games start.
     
    lapis01
    lapis01
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2010 - 6:07 PM ET #3

    We'll have another NBA pick tomorrow-
    turns out that the odds of getting 12 correct out of 13 wagers is  1/630.
    Tomorrow, we plan on hitting 13/14.
    Our very best run ever has been (unfortunately was not public at the time) was 25 in a row, out of 26 attempts, and always to cover points.
    So we plan on extending this out, and we'll see how far we get :)
    Even 4 out of 5 is pretty good, - quite acceptable ( 80% ) , but we seem to have this more on track now than ever. We seem to be operating at our best.
    Anyway, we'll have another winner for everyone here tomorrow.
    Good luck to all.

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    We'll have another NBA pick tomorrow-
    turns out that the odds of getting 12 correct out of 13 wagers is  1/630.
    Tomorrow, we plan on hitting 13/14.
    Our very best run ever has been (unfortunately was not public at the time) was 25 in a row, out of 26 attempts, and always to cover points.
    So we plan on extending this out, and we'll see how far we get :)
    Even 4 out of 5 is pretty good, - quite acceptable ( 80% ) , but we seem to have this more on track now than ever. We seem to be operating at our best.
    Anyway, we'll have another winner for everyone here tomorrow.
    Good luck to all.

     
    jv040
    jv040
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    Posted: Feb. 24, 2010 - 9:29 AM ET #4

    are you going to be around next year for free?
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    are you going to be around next year for free?
     
    lapis01
    lapis01
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    Posted: Feb. 24, 2010 - 6:45 PM ET #5

    Hi JV,
    our plan right now is pretty loose really,but most likely we will be here giving it for free for a long time, as we know, at this point we have no history and no trust built up. That will just take place over time, then it will have value- a lot of value. However the group is SLOW, not because we aren't trying hard, it's just that our process is quite time consuming. After doing hundreds and hundreds of games, our strategy is to take as long as we need, even if its only a game or 2 per week, we figure it's worth it to go at the pace, that allows us the most sureness (hence the last 12/1). We use 6 people, about 3 days, to hit one- that's our method - it's got to be a labor of love! The good news on that, is that it can be very rewarding, the ability to bet with more sureness.
    So yes, we should be here for quite a while, hopefully making us all a lot of money over a long period of time- that is the plan :)
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    Hi JV,
    our plan right now is pretty loose really,but most likely we will be here giving it for free for a long time, as we know, at this point we have no history and no trust built up. That will just take place over time, then it will have value- a lot of value. However the group is SLOW, not because we aren't trying hard, it's just that our process is quite time consuming. After doing hundreds and hundreds of games, our strategy is to take as long as we need, even if its only a game or 2 per week, we figure it's worth it to go at the pace, that allows us the most sureness (hence the last 12/1). We use 6 people, about 3 days, to hit one- that's our method - it's got to be a labor of love! The good news on that, is that it can be very rewarding, the ability to bet with more sureness.
    So yes, we should be here for quite a while, hopefully making us all a lot of money over a long period of time- that is the plan :)
     
    HECTAR
    HECTAR
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    Posted: Feb. 24, 2010 - 10:45 PM ET #6

    So tomorrow was today and no pick posted?  Hard to build up trust that way!!!!!

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    So tomorrow was today and no pick posted?  Hard to build up trust that way!!!!!

     
    jv040
    jv040
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    Posted: Feb. 25, 2010 - 8:50 AM ET #7

    even at 80% it would still be profitable with the 10% betting method. it seems like your blowing that percent out of the water good job you guys and keep up the good work.
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    even at 80% it would still be profitable with the 10% betting method. it seems like your blowing that percent out of the water good job you guys and keep up the good work.
     
    Snappa
    Snappa
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    Posted: Feb. 25, 2010 - 10:57 AM ET #8

    I'm intrigued, lapis.  Does your group sell email adresses or any other subscriber information obtained through your website "Predictionbetting.wordpress.com? If you don't I will become a subscriber!
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    I'm intrigued, lapis.  Does your group sell email adresses or any other subscriber information obtained through your website "Predictionbetting.wordpress.com? If you don't I will become a subscriber!
     
    ballinhj12
    ballinhj12
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    Posted: Feb. 25, 2010 - 1:08 PM ET #9

    lapis01, Your group seems very promising and I like the conservative betting style as I think that is the best way to place large bets or best bets. I hope I didn't miss your play this week and will definitely be following. Thanks for the good work and good luck bro
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    lapis01, Your group seems very promising and I like the conservative betting style as I think that is the best way to place large bets or best bets. I hope I didn't miss your play this week and will definitely be following. Thanks for the good work and good luck bro
     
    Pepsimansd
    Pepsimansd
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    Posted: Feb. 25, 2010 - 1:14 PM ET #10

    Will you be releasing any selections for today?

    Thanks man!

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    Will you be releasing any selections for today?

    Thanks man!

     
    lapis01
    lapis01
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    Posted: Feb. 25, 2010 - 9:54 PM ET #11

    Hi everyone-

    Snappa, we will never EVER sell any info of any sort if you want to follow the blog, we won't even send anything to you unless you would want us to, so no worries on that. By the way, there is an article at the blog now that explains a bit about us if you interested.

    Yes Ballinhj12 - we have a very very conservative betting style, we are so conservative we'd rather think we don't gamble- we just move on what appears to be a good money maker! We do this with no bias to any sport or team, we just bet on the data says, and we try to not rush. Basically, we look at one team at a time and try to determine if the next event for that particular team is a yes or a no. If yes of course we go with it, if no, many times we could go with the other team, but sometimes ( like yesterday ) the no is just sort of a flaw or breakdown in our process. Sometimes, if not team A, does not mean go with team B, because sometimes we have misread the situation- that's not common, but it happens. So occasionally we just have to let one go and wait for the next round of a strong yes bet. I don't think I reported this, but for several hundred games, we managed between 75-85 %. I know that sounds like B.S. These days, since we tuned up or procedures, we are doing better than that. We do want to run our process for a LONG time, and test the reliability / stability of this, before doing much more with it besides telling others what we are doing with our $, then folks can do whatever seems right to them in regards to what we are doing. So as you pointed out Ballinj12, we shoot for bigger wagers on fewer games.

    Yesterday was a day like that where we had to bail out on a recomendation, and we were correct to NOT recommend DETROIT PISTONS to win via the cover, at the same time, the data wasn't so strong to recommend LAC. So we let it go. There's always another one coming up :)

    Hector, that's why no post the other day. We had to bail on it. We aren't going to stick our necks (or wallets) out OR YOURS, just to make a pick and be in the game. People who are selling the crap that people are selling as "tips" do that, and we don't bet our own money just because we want to "gamble" and be in on a game. The tip market place is sort of a big joke it looks like to me, it's pretty ridiculous. Hector, we put extra effort to not lose money! We'd rather bet less, and win more, by wagering more correctly and losing less. So please be patient, we try REALLY HARD  to be patient. If you knew me, you'd know how hard that is for me! Right now we have to settle for this instant gratification only a couple times per week - believe me its a killer, but we want to make this just a very profitable project for all of us.

    This method won't be for everyone, it's sloooowww. We are taking about 2 days to get data, and a day to sort it out, for a game the next day. For sure, no one is looking forward more to the next good pick than me! We try as fast as we can...and it just takes time. For those who are just "Jonesin" to be in on a game, or 10 everyday, this will make them crazy and they won't like us- everyone has their own way, and motivations.

    To Pepsimansd, we tryin'  have one by Saturday or Sunday at the latest. Thanks for your interest and patience.

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    Hi everyone-

    Snappa, we will never EVER sell any info of any sort if you want to follow the blog, we won't even send anything to you unless you would want us to, so no worries on that. By the way, there is an article at the blog now that explains a bit about us if you interested.

    Yes Ballinhj12 - we have a very very conservative betting style, we are so conservative we'd rather think we don't gamble- we just move on what appears to be a good money maker! We do this with no bias to any sport or team, we just bet on the data says, and we try to not rush. Basically, we look at one team at a time and try to determine if the next event for that particular team is a yes or a no. If yes of course we go with it, if no, many times we could go with the other team, but sometimes ( like yesterday ) the no is just sort of a flaw or breakdown in our process. Sometimes, if not team A, does not mean go with team B, because sometimes we have misread the situation- that's not common, but it happens. So occasionally we just have to let one go and wait for the next round of a strong yes bet. I don't think I reported this, but for several hundred games, we managed between 75-85 %. I know that sounds like B.S. These days, since we tuned up or procedures, we are doing better than that. We do want to run our process for a LONG time, and test the reliability / stability of this, before doing much more with it besides telling others what we are doing with our $, then folks can do whatever seems right to them in regards to what we are doing. So as you pointed out Ballinj12, we shoot for bigger wagers on fewer games.

    Yesterday was a day like that where we had to bail out on a recomendation, and we were correct to NOT recommend DETROIT PISTONS to win via the cover, at the same time, the data wasn't so strong to recommend LAC. So we let it go. There's always another one coming up :)

    Hector, that's why no post the other day. We had to bail on it. We aren't going to stick our necks (or wallets) out OR YOURS, just to make a pick and be in the game. People who are selling the crap that people are selling as "tips" do that, and we don't bet our own money just because we want to "gamble" and be in on a game. The tip market place is sort of a big joke it looks like to me, it's pretty ridiculous. Hector, we put extra effort to not lose money! We'd rather bet less, and win more, by wagering more correctly and losing less. So please be patient, we try REALLY HARD  to be patient. If you knew me, you'd know how hard that is for me! Right now we have to settle for this instant gratification only a couple times per week - believe me its a killer, but we want to make this just a very profitable project for all of us.

    This method won't be for everyone, it's sloooowww. We are taking about 2 days to get data, and a day to sort it out, for a game the next day. For sure, no one is looking forward more to the next good pick than me! We try as fast as we can...and it just takes time. For those who are just "Jonesin" to be in on a game, or 10 everyday, this will make them crazy and they won't like us- everyone has their own way, and motivations.

    To Pepsimansd, we tryin'  have one by Saturday or Sunday at the latest. Thanks for your interest and patience.

     
    slc5610
    slc5610
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    Posted: Feb. 25, 2010 - 10:30 PM ET #12

    So what is the play?
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    So what is the play?
     
    HECTAR
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2010 - 3:10 AM ET #13

    About 2 games per week is all we manage, perhaps 3???   REALLY?  You started this thread 1 week ago and no picks, no system, no strategy!!!  Mods should just delete this thread.
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    About 2 games per week is all we manage, perhaps 3???   REALLY?  You started this thread 1 week ago and no picks, no system, no strategy!!!  Mods should just delete this thread.
     
    tgunn11
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2010 - 7:22 PM ET #14

    Good luck tonight...go Dallas!
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    Good luck tonight...go Dallas!
     
    PokherPlayher
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    Posted: Mar. 1, 2010 - 1:58 AM ET #15

    very nicely done. 
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    very nicely done. 
     
    powerade
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    Posted: Mar. 1, 2010 - 11:21 AM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by lapis01:

    Hi everyone- it's not perfect, but in the last 13 wagers, we've been correct on 12, and covering points. That's 92% correct.
    About 2 games per week is all we manage, perhaps 3 - we focus a lot on accuracy sureness on each pick, and put a lot of effort into the stability, or repeatability of the process, so that it's not just a fluke or "flash in the pan." We've been working on this for about 4 years now.
    We use this for ourselves of course, and making it public for the first time, this is free for now. You are welcome to watch it, track it, and use it if you care to. It's a rather unusual method, so it may not appeal to you, but it's there if you are interested. It's working very well for us now, and you are welcome too.
    Check it out by following my posts and / or you can read up on it at:

    https://prXXXXetXXXXXworXXreXX.com/

    Best wishes and good luck  :)

                

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    Quote Originally Posted by lapis01:

    Hi everyone- it's not perfect, but in the last 13 wagers, we've been correct on 12, and covering points. That's 92% correct.
    About 2 games per week is all we manage, perhaps 3 - we focus a lot on accuracy sureness on each pick, and put a lot of effort into the stability, or repeatability of the process, so that it's not just a fluke or "flash in the pan." We've been working on this for about 4 years now.
    We use this for ourselves of course, and making it public for the first time, this is free for now. You are welcome to watch it, track it, and use it if you care to. It's a rather unusual method, so it may not appeal to you, but it's there if you are interested. It's working very well for us now, and you are welcome too.
    Check it out by following my posts and / or you can read up on it at:

    https://prXXXXetXXXXXworXXreXX.com/

    Best wishes and good luck  :)

                

     
     
    HECTAR
    HECTAR
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    Joined: Aug, 2009
    Posts: 406
    Posted: Mar. 1, 2010 - 10:44 PM ET #17

    One pick that took over a week to produce, no wonder the douche gets banned!!!! 
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    One pick that took over a week to produce, no wonder the douche gets banned!!!! 
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