Posted:
#1
Hey guys. Posted in here before the past year or so, with mixed results and mixed feelings about systems.
I have felt the need to post what I thought were going to be profitable systems in here for college football and basketball, only to realize that I am probably tricking myself into thinking that if they hit, there is something behind it, rather than accept the fact any success is probably due to randomness. This probably goes for every system on this forum.
One of my never dying passions is to work on a system that actually has merit to it, and makes legitimate logical sense. I don't know if any of you have ever seen the 'Sport Science' videos, but there was one on ESPN during March Madness that suggested that the venues of the games had direct effect on shooting.
This instantly sparked my mind and revoked personal experiences from playing basketball. Almost all basketball players would agree on the fact that it is easier to shoot in a venue that is 'less confined' than rather with massive amount of space and room. Buildings, walls, fences, fans, etc evoke senses in the brain that help give a sensory feel for how far the basket is. Also I would agree that while it is easier to shoot with a 'closer' more 'confined' background, it's also when the background is contrasted more with the hoop or the backboard.
The video suggests these are all true, and their statistics back it up, but their statistics are a joke. Even though I am able to realize how the statistics were gathered were a joke, I would love to further expand on this, and conduct the study fully. I really feel like there is potential in such factors, and obviously potential factors that Vegas and Sportsbooks don't already have an edge on.
How to obtain such information such an arena's height, and space capacity, and contrast in lighting seems damn near impossible, but if somehow, just somehow a collective group was to come together and get this... it could be huge.
Has anyone seen the 'Sport Science' video I am talking about?
I have felt the need to post what I thought were going to be profitable systems in here for college football and basketball, only to realize that I am probably tricking myself into thinking that if they hit, there is something behind it, rather than accept the fact any success is probably due to randomness. This probably goes for every system on this forum.
One of my never dying passions is to work on a system that actually has merit to it, and makes legitimate logical sense. I don't know if any of you have ever seen the 'Sport Science' videos, but there was one on ESPN during March Madness that suggested that the venues of the games had direct effect on shooting.
This instantly sparked my mind and revoked personal experiences from playing basketball. Almost all basketball players would agree on the fact that it is easier to shoot in a venue that is 'less confined' than rather with massive amount of space and room. Buildings, walls, fences, fans, etc evoke senses in the brain that help give a sensory feel for how far the basket is. Also I would agree that while it is easier to shoot with a 'closer' more 'confined' background, it's also when the background is contrasted more with the hoop or the backboard.
The video suggests these are all true, and their statistics back it up, but their statistics are a joke. Even though I am able to realize how the statistics were gathered were a joke, I would love to further expand on this, and conduct the study fully. I really feel like there is potential in such factors, and obviously potential factors that Vegas and Sportsbooks don't already have an edge on.
How to obtain such information such an arena's height, and space capacity, and contrast in lighting seems damn near impossible, but if somehow, just somehow a collective group was to come together and get this... it could be huge.
Has anyone seen the 'Sport Science' video I am talking about?
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