Hello all. I'm relatively new to wagering on tennis. I decided to start a thread for the rest of the year's action. Going to start with a $2,000 bankroll. 1 Unit is $20 (1% of bankroll).
YTD: 0-0
Tuesday 5/19
Open de Nice Côte d’Azur - Nice, France
Nick Kyrgios -3.5 (-122) vs. Mikhail Kukushkin - 1U
Jack Sock -3.5 (-120) vs. Dusan Lajovic - 1U
Steve Johnson vs. John Isner Over 23 (-120) - 1U
Geneva Open - Geneva, Switzerland
Adrian Mannarino +155 vs. Carlos Berlocq - 1U
That's it for now. May add more later on today.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Hello all. I'm relatively new to wagering on tennis. I decided to start a thread for the rest of the year's action. Going to start with a $2,000 bankroll. 1 Unit is $20 (1% of bankroll).
YTD: 0-0
Tuesday 5/19
Open de Nice Côte d’Azur - Nice, France
Nick Kyrgios -3.5 (-122) vs. Mikhail Kukushkin - 1U
Nick Kyrgios -3.5 (-122) vs. Mikhail Kukushkin - 1U -
Jack Sock -3.5 (-120) vs. Dusan Lajovic - 1U -
Steve Johnson vs. John Isner Over 23 (-120) - 1U -
Geneva Open - Geneva, Switzerland
Adrian Mannarino +155 vs. Carlos Berlocq - 1U -
Mikhail Youzhny vs. Santiago Giraldo Over 22 (-120) - 1U -
Joao Sousa -2.5 (-125) vs. Jurgen Melzer - 1U -
YTD: 4-2, + ~2.5U
Nice start to the year. Sorry I couldn't post plays today as I have been busy. I actually took Adrian Mannarino +4 (-120) vs. Pablo Andujar, which won. However, I will not count that since I didn't post it. Looking at the Santiago Giraldo vs. Marin Cilic match for tomorrow. Will post something by the end of the day.
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Open de Nice Côte d’Azur - Nice, France
Nick Kyrgios -3.5 (-122) vs. Mikhail Kukushkin - 1U -
Jack Sock -3.5 (-120) vs. Dusan Lajovic - 1U -
Steve Johnson vs. John Isner Over 23 (-120) - 1U -
Geneva Open - Geneva, Switzerland
Adrian Mannarino +155 vs. Carlos Berlocq - 1U -
Mikhail Youzhny vs. Santiago Giraldo Over 22 (-120) - 1U -
Joao Sousa -2.5 (-125) vs. Jurgen Melzer - 1U -
YTD: 4-2, + ~2.5U
Nice start to the year. Sorry I couldn't post plays today as I have been busy. I actually took Adrian Mannarino +4 (-120) vs. Pablo Andujar, which won. However, I will not count that since I didn't post it. Looking at the Santiago Giraldo vs. Marin Cilic match for tomorrow. Will post something by the end of the day.
Will also be looking to play the game spread on this match, as well as the over games in Sousa vs. Isner, and possibly the over games in Giraldo vs. Cilic.
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Thursday 5/21
Open de Nice Côte d’Azur - Nice, France
Leonardo Mayer +155 vs. Juan Monaco - 1U
Will also be looking to play the game spread on this match, as well as the over games in Sousa vs. Isner, and possibly the over games in Giraldo vs. Cilic.
Staying away from Wawrinka vs. Delbonis. In my opinion this could go either way and I wouldn't be surprised one bit. Wawrinka is less than a week away from looking to make a deep run at Roland Garros, so his desire to win may not be at full strength. However, it could be, and he could roll in the match. Thus, I'm staying away.
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Staying away from Wawrinka vs. Delbonis. In my opinion this could go either way and I wouldn't be surprised one bit. Wawrinka is less than a week away from looking to make a deep run at Roland Garros, so his desire to win may not be at full strength. However, it could be, and he could roll in the match. Thus, I'm staying away.
I feel you man. Tough loss. Wawrinka doesn't have anything to gain going into Roland Garros. Only reason he played the tournament I think was because it's in Switzerland.
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Quote Originally Posted by Supermsg:
I took wawrinka ........ moneyline......
I feel you man. Tough loss. Wawrinka doesn't have anything to gain going into Roland Garros. Only reason he played the tournament I think was because it's in Switzerland.
Borna Coric vs. Leonardo Mayer Over 22.5 games (-120) - I think this goes 3 sets
Dominic Thiem +155 vs. John Isner & games won over 24.5 - I think this also goes 3 sets without many breaks of service. Thiem is a good player, and +155 is solid value.
Federico Delbonis - games vs. Joao Sousa - I think this is Federico's tournament to lose now. He is riding high after beating Wawrinka, and any less than a tourny win would be disappointing.
Thomaz Bellucci vs. Santiago Giraldo over 23 games - These two know each other real well. They have played 6 times in best of 3s, and 4 of the 6 have gone to 3 sets. There is also some value in Giraldo +160.
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Open de Nice Côte d’Azur - Nice, France
Early Leans For Friday 5/21
Borna Coric vs. Leonardo Mayer Over 22.5 games (-120) - I think this goes 3 sets
Dominic Thiem +155 vs. John Isner & games won over 24.5 - I think this also goes 3 sets without many breaks of service. Thiem is a good player, and +155 is solid value.
Federico Delbonis - games vs. Joao Sousa - I think this is Federico's tournament to lose now. He is riding high after beating Wawrinka, and any less than a tourny win would be disappointing.
Thomaz Bellucci vs. Santiago Giraldo over 23 games - These two know each other real well. They have played 6 times in best of 3s, and 4 of the 6 have gone to 3 sets. There is also some value in Giraldo +160.
Borna Coric vs. Leonardo Mayer - Over 22.5 games (-125) - 1 Unit - Both players are playing at a high level right now. I expect a 3 set match.
Dominic Thiem vs. John Isner - Over 24 games (-120) - 1 Unit - I don't expect many breaks of service in this contest. Should fly over. My book just released a line of 26 games, so it should be high scoring.
Dominic Thiem +158 vs. John Isner - 1 Unit -Thiem is a solid player. This is good value, and Isner may be looking ahead to Rolan Garros.
Dominic Thiem + 2.5 (-140) - games won vs. John Isner - 1 Unit -If I'm going to take him to win, might as well take him to cover. Buying the hook here.
Geneva Open - Geneva, Switzerland
Joao Sousa games won +3.5 (-105) vs. Federico Delbonis - 1 Unit - I know I said earlier that Delbonis is hot and seems destined to win this tournament. He may very well do so. However, Sousa is a solid player who I feel is being undervalued here due to the fact that Delbonis just beat Wawrinka. Good value on the game spread.
Santiago Giraldo vs. Thomaz Bellucci - Over 23 games (-112) - 1 Unit - As I said earlier, these two have played 6 times, and 4 of the 6 have gone to 3 sets. This match is very even. Either can win. I'll take the value of the match going the distance.
Good luck to all. Hopefully it's a profitable Friday.
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YTD: 5-2, + ~4 Units
Friday 5/22 - All picks finalized
Open de Nice Côte d’Azur - Nice, France
Borna Coric vs. Leonardo Mayer - Over 22.5 games (-125) - 1 Unit - Both players are playing at a high level right now. I expect a 3 set match.
Dominic Thiem vs. John Isner - Over 24 games (-120) - 1 Unit - I don't expect many breaks of service in this contest. Should fly over. My book just released a line of 26 games, so it should be high scoring.
Dominic Thiem +158 vs. John Isner - 1 Unit -Thiem is a solid player. This is good value, and Isner may be looking ahead to Rolan Garros.
Dominic Thiem + 2.5 (-140) - games won vs. John Isner - 1 Unit -If I'm going to take him to win, might as well take him to cover. Buying the hook here.
Geneva Open - Geneva, Switzerland
Joao Sousa games won +3.5 (-105) vs. Federico Delbonis - 1 Unit - I know I said earlier that Delbonis is hot and seems destined to win this tournament. He may very well do so. However, Sousa is a solid player who I feel is being undervalued here due to the fact that Delbonis just beat Wawrinka. Good value on the game spread.
Santiago Giraldo vs. Thomaz Bellucci - Over 23 games (-112) - 1 Unit - As I said earlier, these two have played 6 times, and 4 of the 6 have gone to 3 sets. This match is very even. Either can win. I'll take the value of the match going the distance.
Good luck to all. Hopefully it's a profitable Friday.
Definitely was not my best day, as I went 3-3 and broke even. Hopefully I can sweep the board tomorrow for the finals of both tournaments. Looking at Dominic Thiem and Thomaz Bellucci to win these matches.
Borna Coric vs. Leonardo Mayer - Over 22.5 games (-125) - 1 Unit - I really thought Coric would put up more of a fight here. Result: -1.25 Units
Dominic Thiem +158 vs. John Isner - 1 Unit - - I had a feeling Thiem would win. Result: +1.58 Units
Dominic Thiem + 2.5 (-140) - games won vs. John Isner - 1 Unit - Went hand in hand with him winning. Result: +1 Unit
Dominic Thiem vs. John Isner - Over 24 games (-120) - 1 Unit - Was really surprised this din't go 3 sets. Isner wasn't into the match it seems. Result: -1.2 Units
Joao Sousa games won +3.5 (-105) vs. Federico Delbonis - 1 Unit - - I didn't think he would win, but the value of 3.5 games for a good player was too hard to pass up.
Santiago Giraldo vs. Thomaz Bellucci - Over 23 games (-112) - 1 Unit - I should have known better on this one. Bellucci has been on fire as of late. Result: -1.12 Units.
Overall: 3-3, + .01 units. Won't even add this to my units.
YTD: 8-5, +4 Units
Will post my plays for the finals of both matches later on.
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Friday 5/22 Results
Definitely was not my best day, as I went 3-3 and broke even. Hopefully I can sweep the board tomorrow for the finals of both tournaments. Looking at Dominic Thiem and Thomaz Bellucci to win these matches.
Borna Coric vs. Leonardo Mayer - Over 22.5 games (-125) - 1 Unit - I really thought Coric would put up more of a fight here. Result: -1.25 Units
Dominic Thiem +158 vs. John Isner - 1 Unit - - I had a feeling Thiem would win. Result: +1.58 Units
Dominic Thiem + 2.5 (-140) - games won vs. John Isner - 1 Unit - Went hand in hand with him winning. Result: +1 Unit
Dominic Thiem vs. John Isner - Over 24 games (-120) - 1 Unit - Was really surprised this din't go 3 sets. Isner wasn't into the match it seems. Result: -1.2 Units
Joao Sousa games won +3.5 (-105) vs. Federico Delbonis - 1 Unit - - I didn't think he would win, but the value of 3.5 games for a good player was too hard to pass up.
Santiago Giraldo vs. Thomaz Bellucci - Over 23 games (-112) - 1 Unit - I should have known better on this one. Bellucci has been on fire as of late. Result: -1.12 Units.
Overall: 3-3, + .01 units. Won't even add this to my units.
YTD: 8-5, +4 Units
Will post my plays for the finals of both matches later on.
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