Zverev to Win 2nd Q +250 2u
Medvedev to Win 3rd Q +150 1u
Zverev at his best can win this tournament. I especially like how he’s serving right now, >70% 1st serves in and winning 90% of his service games. Very tough to break for the mortals on tour. He should only get tested twice in his quarter if the favs make it through and he’s in way better form than anyone in his field.
Medvedev this year has won all his QF matches and hasn’t missed making a QF. The cyborg comedian is super focused. He’s only dropped one set in his last three years getting to the QF’s here in Miami. Last year he only dropped one set all tournament before winning the title. I think Humbert in the R16 is his biggest threat but his lack of success at the top level is a problem. Winning 250/500’s isn’t the same as beating the top 5 at the majors. Despite the threat level, Medvedev’s at plus money so I’m taking that.
That 4th Q is an interesting one. Sinner might not play so the time to take a dog is now. He might withdraw at some point even if he starts the tournament and even if he plays he might not be in top form. It’s also the toughest draw for the dogs. There’s no one really strong in the bottom half of that Q with Sinner (Paul? He’s gonna go out and party all week and lose early I think), all the competition is upstairs. Rublev, Tstisipas, Bublik and Machac stand out to me but they all have to play each other.
Leaning Machac to Win 4th Q @ +4100.
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