Diallo

Anyone heard any news on this matchup with Watanuki? Line went from -220 to -140.

Can’t it just be because it is a qualifying match - so limits isn’t that high so you don’t really need that much money to move a market significantly - I haven’t heard any news at least and normally the exchange/asian market behave different than this when there is any Funny business 

@Calde13

If the limits aren’t high, they’re not going to swing 100% on low limit wagers. They probably won’t swing at all. Nothing about this match says shady wagering is afoot. Injury, break up, barfed in practice, pictures of Diallo out at a coke fuelled orgy at 5:00AM circulating on Insta? 

any tip for this year court condition? I havent read any info about that but if it's kind of slow, hot and hunid so it's 100% favor Watanuki, isnt it? I also believe best court for Diallo is indoor hard court, not outdoor hot and slow like Miami

Down to 120 now

Gotta take Watanuki with that kind of movement

I was tempted. Plus he played out-of-his-mind-good at Indian Wells.

No play for me but that line movement was crazy. Must have been public sentiment from last week. 

Edit: All I’ve heard about court conditions is that almost every tournament is slowing the game down. 

That is funny I am the complete opposite - when everyone is selling - I want to buy and when they want to buy I sell - In all markets I know that is how it usually works - unless of course you know why it moves and don’t think it has adjusted enough 

Line movement is not always the best method for picking winners

It’s not, but knowing why the move helps. That’s why I asked. If it’s just public opinion, then it makes sense to bet against. But if it’s because one of the players tweeted “I just ate cat food and I’ve been retching for three hours :sad emoji:” then I might want to follow the money.

Again it was a qualifying match it wasn’t the finale in a GS - 10.000-50.000 usd could move this line significantly 

Ugh…

Hmm lucky loser last week and now also in Miami