Everyone is betting on Djoker in 4. If Djoker is to be dethroned, this looks like a ripe situation.
Tsitsipas has real experience fighting Novak facing him in finals at masters and GS’s. He’s gone the distance twice and now knows what it takes physically and mentally. Whether or not he’s capable of doing it is another thing but unlike most other players, they don’t know what to work towards. He’s tasted defeat and he’s hungry for the title.
Tsitsipas had the perfect warm up run to this final. Sinner and Khachenov were great tests. Whereas Djokovic faced great players but hardly any weapons. An out of form Rublev was the closest thing. Tsitsipas out hit everyone coming into this final and if Djoker’s leg is bothering him, it wont be like the consistent put backs of Paul and De Minaur coming at him, it’ll be ferocious winners that requiring running down. Djoker has also put up an uncanny amount of unforced errors coming into this final. The big three consistently put up a 3:1 winner:unforced error ratio in most of their title runs and right now djoker is 2:1 to 1:1. This form might not be enough to beat a motivated and in bloom Tsitsipas.
The one major problem with Tsitsipas this tournament is he lets up when he’s ahead. He let both Sinner and Khachanov back into the match. I was on the Over in that last semi with the rest of the forum and like everyone else was surprised to see how man handled Khach was. But as soon as Tsitsipas got to 6-5, match point, he turned into a hitting partner. I got really excited right then and sure enough he lost the TB. That is definitely not going to work on Novak. Perhaps those repeated mistakes will serve as a reminder to keep the foot on the gas? Old habits die hard though.
Tsitsipas +5.5 looks like a good bet to me and at 4:1, the money line is very tempting here.
GL all.
fucking love it
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