FAA v Cerundolo

I’m watching Khachanov and Lehecka frame balls wildly high and wide by 10-15ft. I’m watching all these dudes constantly wincing at the sun and swatting their first serves into the middle of the net.

With a guy like Felix Auger-Aliassime who’s like a freight train ready to ride off the rails, I think this match is more of a coin toss than a 7:2 favourite. On any other day this line seems a little light but the negative effect of the 25km/h winds and bright mid day sun I think will level the playing field enough that I see value in taking Cerundolo here. Cerundolo’s forehand is a big enough gun to cause problems to begin with and anything that hampers FAA’s ability to play consistently could be catastrophic especially for a guy whose already shaky in that department.

Cerundolo ML @ +370

Cerundolo +4.5 @ -135 (2x)

GL all.

@AverageAllstar

 That is a bad move. FAA has proven experience on this match up. Going the opposite way with match winner.

U mention wind speed, bright sun but nothing about their star signs or what they eating for lunch. I think ur prediction is flawed and missing a few other facts as well.    

@eagle911

 Haha… I did think I sounded like a tea leaf reading when I wrote this but again… I’m watching all these guys blasting balls all over the place for the last 3 days thinking what the hell’s going on? It’s more of a value bet and why. Felix is the better player. No argument there.

@AverageAllstar

 I just don't see the value

@AverageAllstar

 I was wrong, I see the value now, good move on ur part. 

@eagle911

Yea. He was really struggling against Montiero the other day. 

Cheers bud. 

great call 

 fellas.

Cerundolo ML @ +370 

Cerundolo +4.5 @ -135 (2x) 

Always nice when our forum’s full of green sacks.

Impressive bets!

Go with your gut. Factually none of these participants knows anymore than you do. I’m just reading your post now very well done. Players should be thanking you for reporting wind speed and etc those things do effect certain players. I personally took home $3k on Cerundolo on the moneyline which is not bad could be better. Wind speed and sun for big servers can have major effects. Keep up the good work. Represent