What do you take for considerations?
i think tennis is the least manipulated game to bet, since its 1vs1
please help
note: somehow i can not reply any thread, am i being rehab or something ?
What do you take for considerations?
i think tennis is the least manipulated game to bet, since its 1vs1
please help
note: somehow i can not reply any thread, am i being rehab or something ?
What do you take for considerations?
i think tennis is the least manipulated game to bet, since its 1vs1
please help
note: somehow i can not reply any thread, am i being rehab or something ?
Nah... you ain't been banned Mister Schnitzel.
The reason nobody's replied may be due to the lack of:
1.) specificity in your question;
and/or
2.) knowledge required to give an actionable answer.
Most of the typical inquiries researched by those capping
other pro-sports apply to both ATP & WTA Singles matches.
Recent video footage lends itself preponderantly, I find.
If you've an intuitive leaning though, declare or interrogate.
Luckily, herein we've a way toward exposition &/ argument for informing &/ persuading, respectively.
Nah... you ain't been banned Mister Schnitzel.
The reason nobody's replied may be due to the lack of:
1.) specificity in your question;
and/or
2.) knowledge required to give an actionable answer.
Most of the typical inquiries researched by those capping
other pro-sports apply to both ATP & WTA Singles matches.
Recent video footage lends itself preponderantly, I find.
If you've an intuitive leaning though, declare or interrogate.
Luckily, herein we've a way toward exposition &/ argument for informing &/ persuading, respectively.
My advice don’t get into it lol it’s fun and exciting assuming you live in the states so there is nothing else on to wager in the mornings or afternoons sometimes but you can get in rabbit hole. even though it’s 1v1 that also means a lot of factors go into that 1 person. How’s their mood/health , are they in form etc, personal life. Also not to mention ppl have gotten busted for fixing matches.
My advice don’t get into it lol it’s fun and exciting assuming you live in the states so there is nothing else on to wager in the mornings or afternoons sometimes but you can get in rabbit hole. even though it’s 1v1 that also means a lot of factors go into that 1 person. How’s their mood/health , are they in form etc, personal life. Also not to mention ppl have gotten busted for fixing matches.
I’ve followed this tennis forum for years and will guarantee no one is profitable over time in tennis, and they are likely taking a lot more than they are even posting live betting since there are so many matches on. It’s a junkies dream. Packersbackers knows the game and when he picks his spots he does well but he chases as well , it’s a tough sport to cap wish I never got into it lol
I’ve followed this tennis forum for years and will guarantee no one is profitable over time in tennis, and they are likely taking a lot more than they are even posting live betting since there are so many matches on. It’s a junkies dream. Packersbackers knows the game and when he picks his spots he does well but he chases as well , it’s a tough sport to cap wish I never got into it lol
Benny is right...it IS a hard sport to cap. Like he said "How’s their mood/health , are they in form etc, personal life."
And pindex's formula is a good start. that #3 motivation is the tricky one. For players late in their carreers, they will push a few tourneys to get enough ranking points for a slam entry (and be happy with a 1st round loss and paycheck). I would name Paire, Gilles Simon, Gasquet, Feliciano Lopez. And trying to figure out Murry or Fed's old fart aches and pains is impossible.
For me, I find the best bets are the guys breaking into ATP from Challengers tours. They are hungry and full throttle every match. They will win 1 or 2 rounds in an ATP event and then their tools will fail them against the top guys. Think Sinner, Alcaraz, Nakashima. The red clay specialists from South America and Spain are a good bet too, but again, they cant go too deep. But they are super motivated and hungry.
So lots of moving parts in the "motivation" part. The most popular bets in tennis are the big tourneys and slams and, at least for me, is where I never get ahead. A Zverev vs Medvedev vs etc....you can analyze these forever, or read a zillion posts/articles from experts and still not win consistently. Packer does well by picking a few futures bets well before the event starts (smart IMO)
I have to admit that Benny is probably right: "it’s a tough sport to cap wish I never got into it lol"
I do so much better with team sports where trends tend to continue and are much more valid.
WTA? JUST DONT DO IT!. You have the moving parts plus a vagina and hormones.....good luck with that toxic mix.
Benny is right...it IS a hard sport to cap. Like he said "How’s their mood/health , are they in form etc, personal life."
And pindex's formula is a good start. that #3 motivation is the tricky one. For players late in their carreers, they will push a few tourneys to get enough ranking points for a slam entry (and be happy with a 1st round loss and paycheck). I would name Paire, Gilles Simon, Gasquet, Feliciano Lopez. And trying to figure out Murry or Fed's old fart aches and pains is impossible.
For me, I find the best bets are the guys breaking into ATP from Challengers tours. They are hungry and full throttle every match. They will win 1 or 2 rounds in an ATP event and then their tools will fail them against the top guys. Think Sinner, Alcaraz, Nakashima. The red clay specialists from South America and Spain are a good bet too, but again, they cant go too deep. But they are super motivated and hungry.
So lots of moving parts in the "motivation" part. The most popular bets in tennis are the big tourneys and slams and, at least for me, is where I never get ahead. A Zverev vs Medvedev vs etc....you can analyze these forever, or read a zillion posts/articles from experts and still not win consistently. Packer does well by picking a few futures bets well before the event starts (smart IMO)
I have to admit that Benny is probably right: "it’s a tough sport to cap wish I never got into it lol"
I do so much better with team sports where trends tend to continue and are much more valid.
WTA? JUST DONT DO IT!. You have the moving parts plus a vagina and hormones.....good luck with that toxic mix.
@Oxcarz
It's a good not so tidy summary ..but you do realize you can further summarize that long winded post by simply stating ...take all those variables..plus a few others... and select a few nice dogs from time to time..ML split with the + spread at the punters discretion...I've learned over decades of betting on tennis this is the only way to profit
@Oxcarz
It's a good not so tidy summary ..but you do realize you can further summarize that long winded post by simply stating ...take all those variables..plus a few others... and select a few nice dogs from time to time..ML split with the + spread at the punters discretion...I've learned over decades of betting on tennis this is the only way to profit
@Oxcarz
And for the record Oxcarz...the posts that I have seen of yours have been absolutely hilarious....so the way I see it regardless of the at times seemingly senseless attempts to competently handicap tennis..so long as you keep up that wit/sense of humor you will be benefiting these predominantly dull forums
@Oxcarz
And for the record Oxcarz...the posts that I have seen of yours have been absolutely hilarious....so the way I see it regardless of the at times seemingly senseless attempts to competently handicap tennis..so long as you keep up that wit/sense of humor you will be benefiting these predominantly dull forums
i've done fairly well by doing the following
1) I only bet dogs, if you do your research you can hit 50% with +150 to +250 dogs frequently especially in WTA. since I bet mostly dogs I tend to take ml outright more than the spread. if it's a big bet i'll do 1/2 spread 1/2 ml so that even if it's a close game i break even
2) look at current form, see who've they've beaten or played tough in recent matches. look at their first serve % and points won on serve as well a % points won on return
3) more form: look at the margin they are beating people. in men's it's hard to absolutely dominate someone unless you are both serving and returning well. if you see someone winning sets 6-1 6-2, these are bet on players
4) know the players tendencies, especially their age and fitness especially for grand slams. I think Nadal is a good player to fade deep in grand slams now as father time seems to have caught up with him last season.
i've done fairly well by doing the following
1) I only bet dogs, if you do your research you can hit 50% with +150 to +250 dogs frequently especially in WTA. since I bet mostly dogs I tend to take ml outright more than the spread. if it's a big bet i'll do 1/2 spread 1/2 ml so that even if it's a close game i break even
2) look at current form, see who've they've beaten or played tough in recent matches. look at their first serve % and points won on serve as well a % points won on return
3) more form: look at the margin they are beating people. in men's it's hard to absolutely dominate someone unless you are both serving and returning well. if you see someone winning sets 6-1 6-2, these are bet on players
4) know the players tendencies, especially their age and fitness especially for grand slams. I think Nadal is a good player to fade deep in grand slams now as father time seems to have caught up with him last season.
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