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    All Forums | Tennis

    just started betting tennis 2 weeks ago..

    aldonyc
    sims_key
    Billystick13
    FlipsideRM
    jerzeebook
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    aldonyc
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    Posted: Aug. 3, 2011 - 3:39 PM ET #1

    and i absolutely love it! im doing real well, profits are up..ive completely stopped betting on baseball or anything else..ive been taking -295 to -600 type players in 2-3 player parlays and throwing a sizable amount on said parlay...question i have is will this last or is this false hope where it ends up a bloodbath for me? haha!


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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    and i absolutely love it! im doing real well, profits are up..ive completely stopped betting on baseball or anything else..ive been taking -295 to -600 type players in 2-3 player parlays and throwing a sizable amount on said parlay...question i have is will this last or is this false hope where it ends up a bloodbath for me? haha!


     
    sims_key
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    Posted: Aug. 3, 2011 - 3:53 PM ET #2

    sorry to be a downer, but it's false hope imo.

    if you don't know tennis inside and out you can't win long term and even then, it's really really hard to win.

    hardest sport to cap imo b/c in team sports, other people can compensate for 1 person's poor performance.  not in tennis...it's so hard to predict how much heart 1 person is going to have, how they feel, etc.
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    sorry to be a downer, but it's false hope imo.

    if you don't know tennis inside and out you can't win long term and even then, it's really really hard to win.

    hardest sport to cap imo b/c in team sports, other people can compensate for 1 person's poor performance.  not in tennis...it's so hard to predict how much heart 1 person is going to have, how they feel, etc.
     
    Billystick13
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    Posted: Aug. 3, 2011 - 3:56 PM ET #3

    I agree to a degree sims, especially in these smaller tournaments
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    I agree to a degree sims, especially in these smaller tournaments
     
    aldonyc
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    Posted: Aug. 3, 2011 - 5:39 PM ET #4

    thanks for the feedback...

    i read up on websites about the players and their stats..im not going in by just looking at the high ML...so far so good..its great to start the day off with a huge win before going to work..ive actually been looking forward to work every morning because i can watch the tennis matches while working..
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    thanks for the feedback...

    i read up on websites about the players and their stats..im not going in by just looking at the high ML...so far so good..its great to start the day off with a huge win before going to work..ive actually been looking forward to work every morning because i can watch the tennis matches while working..
     
    FlipsideRM
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    Posted: Aug. 3, 2011 - 7:06 PM ET #5

    I just started betting tennis also and Ive tried parlaying heavy favorites. Ive done alot of research also and it just never pans out. Today I got Troicki and Monfils parlayed...lets see how that goes
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    I just started betting tennis also and Ive tried parlaying heavy favorites. Ive done alot of research also and it just never pans out. Today I got Troicki and Monfils parlayed...lets see how that goes
     
    jerzeebook
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    Posted: Aug. 3, 2011 - 7:20 PM ET #6

    I have been betting tennis for 10 years. You are getting beginners luck with those parlays. You may have a good month or 2 but tennis is very tough. You are better off playing dogs. Also since you live in US you might as well give up betting tennis altogther cuz you are getting crap lines and you can't even bet ingame where some of the best money can be made.

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    I have been betting tennis for 10 years. You are getting beginners luck with those parlays. You may have a good month or 2 but tennis is very tough. You are better off playing dogs. Also since you live in US you might as well give up betting tennis altogther cuz you are getting crap lines and you can't even bet ingame where some of the best money can be made.

     
    Professional1
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    Posted: Aug. 3, 2011 - 7:29 PM ET #7

    you know what works for me i do a lot of praying.
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    you know what works for me i do a lot of praying.
     
    TexasD
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    Posted: Aug. 3, 2011 - 8:11 PM ET #8

    It's funny that you say that you quit betting baseball.

    Once I started betting tennis, it's been very good to me and quit betting baseball also as I see it as such a crap shoot IMO.  There are more variables.  Baseball involves 9 players swinging and while a pitcher can win or lose your money on any given night.

    The thing I like about tennis is that you are capping ONE person and their athletic abilities and smarts on the court.  You can look at that ONE person's track record on the year.  You can see Head-to-Head stats vs his opponent he is playing against on the match that you are researching.

    Baseball's lines are HEAVILY valued on PITCHERS.  And we all know that it's not 1 pitcher vs 1 pitcher.  Then you throw in batting lineups where 1 batter only matters 11% of the time.

    If I had to say some things to a newbie tennis bettor it's this:

    RESEARCH yourself BOTH players.  And if you do scour the forums for picks, look for people who ALSO do in-depth research and will take the time to hit you with some insight as to WHY they like the pick.

    If you find somebody on a forum ASKING MORE QUESTIONS than GIVING INSIGHT & STATS, just ignore them.  They don't know anything.  They just come to TAKE picks and don't do much research themselves.  Lazy people ask questions.

    ME PERSONALLY, I try to stay away from "coin-flip" matches of two good players where you practically GUESS which one is going to win.  I don't like guessing heads or tails, or red or black.  I more or less try to pick plays that show substantial evidence that the player is THAT much better.

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    It's funny that you say that you quit betting baseball.

    Once I started betting tennis, it's been very good to me and quit betting baseball also as I see it as such a crap shoot IMO.  There are more variables.  Baseball involves 9 players swinging and while a pitcher can win or lose your money on any given night.

    The thing I like about tennis is that you are capping ONE person and their athletic abilities and smarts on the court.  You can look at that ONE person's track record on the year.  You can see Head-to-Head stats vs his opponent he is playing against on the match that you are researching.

    Baseball's lines are HEAVILY valued on PITCHERS.  And we all know that it's not 1 pitcher vs 1 pitcher.  Then you throw in batting lineups where 1 batter only matters 11% of the time.

    If I had to say some things to a newbie tennis bettor it's this:

    RESEARCH yourself BOTH players.  And if you do scour the forums for picks, look for people who ALSO do in-depth research and will take the time to hit you with some insight as to WHY they like the pick.

    If you find somebody on a forum ASKING MORE QUESTIONS than GIVING INSIGHT & STATS, just ignore them.  They don't know anything.  They just come to TAKE picks and don't do much research themselves.  Lazy people ask questions.

    ME PERSONALLY, I try to stay away from "coin-flip" matches of two good players where you practically GUESS which one is going to win.  I don't like guessing heads or tails, or red or black.  I more or less try to pick plays that show substantial evidence that the player is THAT much better.

     
    TexasD
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    Posted: Aug. 3, 2011 - 8:12 PM ET #9

    Don't make picks based on NAMES, but instead make them based on stats and playing activity on the year.

    Don't make picks just so you have something to watch, make picks because they are good.

    Don't bet with your heart (or other things, some of the WTA players are fricken hot), it has NOTHING to do with the players playing each other.

    Don't make picks just because a player is favored with the negative money line.

    IMO, don't make picks because somebody says their is "VALUE" in a dog.  They are technically saying it's a flip of the coin and they have NO idea who is going to win.

    It's only a McValue Meal if you get to eat it.

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    Don't make picks based on NAMES, but instead make them based on stats and playing activity on the year.

    Don't make picks just so you have something to watch, make picks because they are good.

    Don't bet with your heart (or other things, some of the WTA players are fricken hot), it has NOTHING to do with the players playing each other.

    Don't make picks just because a player is favored with the negative money line.

    IMO, don't make picks because somebody says their is "VALUE" in a dog.  They are technically saying it's a flip of the coin and they have NO idea who is going to win.

    It's only a McValue Meal if you get to eat it.

     
    i4jelway7
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    Posted: Aug. 3, 2011 - 8:56 PM ET #10

    false hope, you will learn

    careful betting tennis..  lots of match fixers
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    false hope, you will learn

    careful betting tennis..  lots of match fixers
     
    i4jelway7
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    Posted: Aug. 3, 2011 - 8:57 PM ET #11

    tennis & soccer are the most "fixed" sports 
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    tennis & soccer are the most "fixed" sports 
     
    seanjohn007
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2011 - 12:15 AM ET #12

    ya you need to be careful. my first tournament was the australian open a couple years ago where all of the favorites won, i thought it was so easy. then i lost all of my winnings and much more because i didnt realize the ins and outs. theres only 7-10 tournaments a year that the players try there hardest. and faves win a lot more often on hard court then they do on grass and clay, and you must pay attention to players records on certain court types. although im sure you know all of that for yourself, im just telling you a couple things i learned the hard way. but i think you can make money if you parlay faves (2-4 players for me), as long as your vary vary disciplined and dont get caught up in adding one more player to get the better payout. either way good luck finding which ways work best for you 
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    ya you need to be careful. my first tournament was the australian open a couple years ago where all of the favorites won, i thought it was so easy. then i lost all of my winnings and much more because i didnt realize the ins and outs. theres only 7-10 tournaments a year that the players try there hardest. and faves win a lot more often on hard court then they do on grass and clay, and you must pay attention to players records on certain court types. although im sure you know all of that for yourself, im just telling you a couple things i learned the hard way. but i think you can make money if you parlay faves (2-4 players for me), as long as your vary vary disciplined and dont get caught up in adding one more player to get the better payout. either way good luck finding which ways work best for you 
     
    RyanTRuchie
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2011 - 3:20 AM ET #13

    you just gotta know what big faces are most likely to go down, to name a few Monfils... Davydenko, betting +120-+160s are always a good way to go... Roddick -300 could go down, shit like that

    try using www.matchstat.com

    look at how well the players have been serving in their previous matches, lets you know their pace/style how well they play

    for example when John Isner plays some one like below 5'8 its a complete mismatch because Isners 2nd serve still goes above the opponents head and its just almost impossible to break him when your that tiny...

    watch a lot of it too

    big have parlays BLOW... best advice for you LOL

    big parlays in small ATP POINT TOURNAMENTS are AWFUL... 250 and 500 events
    I have a huge man crush on BLB
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    you just gotta know what big faces are most likely to go down, to name a few Monfils... Davydenko, betting +120-+160s are always a good way to go... Roddick -300 could go down, shit like that

    try using www.matchstat.com

    look at how well the players have been serving in their previous matches, lets you know their pace/style how well they play

    for example when John Isner plays some one like below 5'8 its a complete mismatch because Isners 2nd serve still goes above the opponents head and its just almost impossible to break him when your that tiny...

    watch a lot of it too

    big have parlays BLOW... best advice for you LOL

    big parlays in small ATP POINT TOURNAMENTS are AWFUL... 250 and 500 events
     
     
    RyanTRuchie
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    Posted: Aug. 4, 2011 - 3:21 AM ET #14

    amen to chasing w WTA hahahahah sucha recipe for utter failure and disaster
    I have a huge man crush on BLB
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    amen to chasing w WTA hahahahah sucha recipe for utter failure and disaster
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