Murray verse Agut

Seems to me the play is Agut -5.5. Agut almost a full 12 more hours of rest. These 2 have played each other 6 times. 3-3 h2h record. Murray last win was 2016 against him. Agut has won the last 3. 2 of them were this past year in 2022 on hard courts that were pretty convincing as well. 6-3, 6-2 and then 6-0, 6-1. I think mentally Murray can get up for this match but how will he hold up?

hard court
Serve rating
Agut 31 rated, Murray 58th

Return rating

Agut 23rd, Murray 21st

Under pressure 

Agut 38th, Murray 42nd

thoughts?

Also thing Agut will extended points just to try and wear Murray out. Locking this play in. 

LARGE play on Agut -5.5

also considering a 3-0 sweep for small

@MATTYICE2123

Understand the logic. What I don't understand is the ML is -370 for the fav and that seems inflated for the spread. Thoughts? My experience if that is the case the ML hits but not the spread.

@jesron1269
a 7-6 win would hurt, but I could see a 6-2 hit. The previous match he should have lost the last set 6-2. Agut won’t cave if he has a chance to close. Well see 

I can’t bet against Sir Andy.  I don’t know how anyone can. Definitely not -5.5.  

not saying it won’t happen, but I can’t do it.  I would not be shocked in the least if Murray somehow keeps winning. The guy just has seen it all and knows it all.  He acts like he can’t even move and he is smashing returns left and right.  He is just a genius out there. Even though Gumby is playing same time, this is the match I will be watching. Can’t wait to watch this match.  

Looking like a great call against Murray so far.   

 Let’s go!!!!