Round of 16 plays

Rybakina -140 (1 unit)

Rybakina -1.5 sets+291  (0.5 units)

Ryba has breezed through this tourney, dispatching each of her opponents in straight sets.  She comes into this match the fresher player.  Keys has done well so far but has struggled a bit, having gone the distance in the 2nd round against Ruse and had some issues against what I believe was an out of form Collins in the last round. I can't see her winning here against a top player like Ryba.  She is the better player and should win this and the odds are decent at only -141.  Also taking a small shot on another straight sets victory for Ryba which she is more than capable of

Navarro/Kasatkina over 2.5 sets +132 (1 unit)

Love the value here on what has a great shot of going 3 sets.  Each of Navarro's matches has gone the distance and while Kasatkina has won each of her matches in straight sets Navarro is going to be her toughest challenge.  Still, with Kasatkina being the fresher player she should grab a set against Navarro and Navarro has the toughness to grab one as well.  

Parlay

Sinner -1.5 with De Minaur ML with Iga -1.5 -128 (1 unit)

Self explanatory with Sinner and Iga, both should roll.  The weak link is De Minaur.  Michelsen has been playing great tennis and was impressive against Kavhanov winning in straight sets.  However, De Minaur is his toughest test and I have a hard time seeing Michelsen get an upset here.  However this one is the late match so assuming Sinner and Iga roll, which they should, I can hedge out if De Minaur gets into trouble 

Rybakina 

If course I didn't know she was suffering from back issues.  FML.  This one is toast

Sinner looking shaky looks like the hear is getting to him 

That's better, a profitable night last night

Only Ryba screwed me had I known pre-match she had some back issues or I would have stayed far away from this one.

Rybakina has been injured/ill for close to a year on and off (since the Olympics serious) and more or less ill since Covid19 (she have some symptoms she has been told she probably never will get rid of) - you should only bet her live in the future