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Safey for Tuesday?

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Prospect
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Posted: #1
I only want to play safe tomorrow, but I think I have over-thought all women's matches 

Serena -2.5 games @1.36
Kerber +1.5 sets @1.18
Goerges +1.5 sets @1.34

I can't choose!
I can't see Serena losing to a floater in QF. She hasn't played anyone even remotely challenging though
Kerber could be on or off, I'm scared Kasatkina has learned her lessons from her loss to Kerber a few weeks back
Goerges - could have a meltdown. neither have anything to lose but Bertens has way less pressure

 
Legend
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Posted: #2

Quote Originally Posted by ulbete:

I only want to play safe tomorrow, but I think I have over-thought all women's matches Serena -2.5 games @1.36Kerber +1.5 sets @1.18Goerges +1.5 sets @1.34I can't choose!I can't see Serena losing to a floater in QF. She hasn't played anyone even remotely challenging thoughKerber could be on or off, I'm scared Kasatkina has learned her lessons from her loss to Kerber a few weeks backGoerges - could have a meltdown. neither have anything to lose but Bertens has way less pressure

Serena -2.5 games? Where are you getting this wager? At this point...you might as well take the ML

Victory Belongs to the Most Tenacious
 
Covers Rehab
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Posted: #3
lol at the word safe. youre just risking more money to win less
 
Prospect
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Posted: #4
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:

Serena -2.5 games? Where are you getting this wager? At this point...you might as well take the ML


"Coolbet"
I know there is virtually zero difference between -2.5g and ML in Bo3. That's why I'm surprised it offers 1.35 over ML1.22

 
Rookie
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Posted: #5

my books offer serena -4.5 games

 
Prospect
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Posted: #6
No such thing as safe when it comes to women’s tennis. Serena ML is the safest but you’ll have to risk a lot to win anything at -430. ML Parlay with Serena/Kerber is probably the next best thing. Good Luck 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #7
Yes, exactly. I have now decided to edit my daily ideas down to one large ("safe") bet and one risky bet in a way that the stake on the risky bet equals the net potential winnings from the safe one. But today I have simply been struggling to pick a safe bet that passes the gut test of confidence.

Anyways, went with O1.5 goals for France v Croatia instead :)

BoL to all WTA warriors in here!
 
Prospect
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Posts: 411
Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by ulbete:

Yes, exactly. I have now decided to edit my daily ideas down to one large ("safe") bet and one risky bet in a way that the stake on the risky bet equals the net potential winnings from the safe one. But today I have simply been struggling to pick a safe bet that passes the gut test of confidence.

Anyways, went with O1.5 goals for France v Croatia instead :)

BoL to all WTA warriors in here!


That's a weird bet considering they don't play each other.
 
Legend
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Posted: #9

Quote Originally Posted by ulbete:

Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:

Serena -2.5 games? Where are you getting this wager? At this point...you might as well take the ML
"Coolbet"I know there is virtually zero difference between -2.5g and ML in Bo3. That's why I'm surprised it offers 1.35 over ML1.22

That "coolbet" is the difference between cashing a ticket or throwing your tv off the balcony if Serena wins 63 46 64

Victory Belongs to the Most Tenacious
 
Prospect
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by scalabroni69:



That's a weird bet considering they don't play each other.

Hahaha.
"Indeed". Apologies.

And Coolbet is my Nordic bookie, not a nickname for a specific bet :)

 
Rookie
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:

"Coolbet"I know there is virtually zero difference between -2.5g and ML in Bo3. That's why I'm surprised it offers 1.35 over ML1.22

That "coolbet" is the difference between cashing a ticket or throwing your tv off the balcony if Serena wins 63 46 64

Damn dude you predict these things
 
 
Legend
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Posted: #12

Final score 36 63 64...this is why you dont buy down game spreads in tennis...2 game parlays or pass when wanting to take the heavy fav in womens tennis....may not be what the trolls want to hear, but the peoples champ win knows his tennis

Victory Belongs to the Most Tenacious
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