Lots of matches on the card today. Almost all are tempting but I think I'll narrow it down to these:
Igor Andreev @ -170 to beat Nicolas Kiefer at +130
The German has age on Andreev but I don't see much else he has on him. Andreev impressed me at Roland Garros and showed that he has the propensity to crack the top 25 in the world... While Kiefer has some nice wins this season under his belt over Stan Wawrinka and Davy, he is not the same player as he once was and the Russian will take him down today.
Stan Wawrinka @ -145 to beat David Ferrer at +105
This is a super close match to call but I have to go with the Sweed over the Spaniard off of the basis that this is a revenge match for Stan against Ferrer. They've played each other 5 times previously and Ferrer leads 3-2, winning most recently. I think Stan will be hungry to redeem himself and pulls off a victory today.
Dudi Sela @ +110 to beat Nicolas Almagro at -150
These players have never played each other at a qualifiers challengers or futures event but Sela has been playing strong and I expect him to continue this by taking down the Spaniard.
Gilles Simon @ -275 to beat Wayne Odesnik at +200
#9 in the nation Frenchman will take down the 85th ranked American today. They played once at Roland Garros and Odes actually took it to 5 sets but with Simon's confidence, the frenchman should win handily today.
Bet with confidence. And have fun!
Best of luck mates.
Cheers,
Sam Pipes from Philly
Andrew Samitz
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Morning gents,
Lots of matches on the card today. Almost all are tempting but I think I'll narrow it down to these:
Igor Andreev @ -170 to beat Nicolas Kiefer at +130
The German has age on Andreev but I don't see much else he has on him. Andreev impressed me at Roland Garros and showed that he has the propensity to crack the top 25 in the world... While Kiefer has some nice wins this season under his belt over Stan Wawrinka and Davy, he is not the same player as he once was and the Russian will take him down today.
Stan Wawrinka @ -145 to beat David Ferrer at +105
This is a super close match to call but I have to go with the Sweed over the Spaniard off of the basis that this is a revenge match for Stan against Ferrer. They've played each other 5 times previously and Ferrer leads 3-2, winning most recently. I think Stan will be hungry to redeem himself and pulls off a victory today.
Dudi Sela @ +110 to beat Nicolas Almagro at -150
These players have never played each other at a qualifiers challengers or futures event but Sela has been playing strong and I expect him to continue this by taking down the Spaniard.
Gilles Simon @ -275 to beat Wayne Odesnik at +200
#9 in the nation Frenchman will take down the 85th ranked American today. They played once at Roland Garros and Odes actually took it to 5 sets but with Simon's confidence, the frenchman should win handily today.
Luck bro take an eye at Bammer not sure I would lay Andreev I like him normally but Kiefer is the don't bet against list on fast surface still has some game
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Luck bro take an eye at Bammer not sure I would lay Andreev I like him normally but Kiefer is the don't bet against list on fast surface still has some game
Normally I would take Almagro, but seeing that Sela has played all his matches since Wimbledon on hard court and it has been a while since Almagro has even played on this surface makes me think that Sela's game would currently be more adapted to play in Cinny than Nicolas. So I will lay off this one. I was considering both Wawrinka and Simon and now that I've seen your picks, I'm a bit more confident. Also that the line for both has dropped in the time that I've taken to consider show others are on them too. Best of luck to us both!
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Normally I would take Almagro, but seeing that Sela has played all his matches since Wimbledon on hard court and it has been a while since Almagro has even played on this surface makes me think that Sela's game would currently be more adapted to play in Cinny than Nicolas. So I will lay off this one. I was considering both Wawrinka and Simon and now that I've seen your picks, I'm a bit more confident. Also that the line for both has dropped in the time that I've taken to consider show others are on them too. Best of luck to us both!
Might take a look at Marat Safin @ 1.95 against Ginepri who he beat a couple of weeks ago, although he still trails the H2H matchup 1-2. Since it's late match, I'll see how my morning picks go before I make a final decision.
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Might take a look at Marat Safin @ 1.95 against Ginepri who he beat a couple of weeks ago, although he still trails the H2H matchup 1-2. Since it's late match, I'll see how my morning picks go before I make a final decision.
I really like your insight. I'm not sure I agree with you on laying off Sela. If you say you think Sela is more adapted to hardcourt surface, then wouldn't you give him the upper hand? I like Sela today. Actually, the fact that this match seems to scare you away makes me want to up my wager for Sela... Nothing personal, just my strategy.
And Gtmoney, thanks for the love bro. I see you say Kiefer is on the don't bet against list....Where exactly is this list?
Andrew Samitz
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Tammy,
I really like your insight. I'm not sure I agree with you on laying off Sela. If you say you think Sela is more adapted to hardcourt surface, then wouldn't you give him the upper hand? I like Sela today. Actually, the fact that this match seems to scare you away makes me want to up my wager for Sela... Nothing personal, just my strategy.
And Gtmoney, thanks for the love bro. I see you say Kiefer is on the don't bet against list....Where exactly is this list?
Some would say this match is a pick'em based on the line. Based on the head to head record, both played each other last year where Monfils won on Clay and Dr. Evil won on grass. Today it is hard and I give the advantage to Ivo, based strictly on how dominant his serve is and that I don't think the frenchman will have a high enough serve percentage..... Take Dr. Evil, and let's hope he uses his massive leverage and aces his way to a solid victory over the highly talented Frenchman.
5 matches locked in for the day... Ride with me boys.
Cheers,
Sam Pipes from Philly
Andrew Samitz
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ADDING:
Ivo Karlovic @-130 to beat Gael Monfils @ -110
Some would say this match is a pick'em based on the line. Based on the head to head record, both played each other last year where Monfils won on Clay and Dr. Evil won on grass. Today it is hard and I give the advantage to Ivo, based strictly on how dominant his serve is and that I don't think the frenchman will have a high enough serve percentage..... Take Dr. Evil, and let's hope he uses his massive leverage and aces his way to a solid victory over the highly talented Frenchman.
5 matches locked in for the day... Ride with me boys.
Tough loss on Wawrinka today... He played horribly and was beaten outright. Thought he would be on top of his game having to prepare for facing Federer last week. I parlayed him and Simon to save juice since I was so confident on them both. So much for making some money for afternoon baseball...
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Tough loss on Wawrinka today... He played horribly and was beaten outright. Thought he would be on top of his game having to prepare for facing Federer last week. I parlayed him and Simon to save juice since I was so confident on them both. So much for making some money for afternoon baseball...
Sela counted as a loss in my book, not a push, so 2-2 on the day for me.... missed todays matches but have some matches to be posted again for wednesday, coming soon
Andrew Samitz
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Sela counted as a loss in my book, not a push, so 2-2 on the day for me.... missed todays matches but have some matches to be posted again for wednesday, coming soon
I believe I saw on one of your earlier posts inquiring about a different book to use for tennis lines...and I believe I saw that you use Bodog....you may want to consider using 5D. The lines are posted much earlier (giving you more time to cap), and at a cheaper price and maybe more choices of matches except 5D doesn't seem to like to offer 1st pricing very much, I rarely see that offered. Just a thought.
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Samitz....
I believe I saw on one of your earlier posts inquiring about a different book to use for tennis lines...and I believe I saw that you use Bodog....you may want to consider using 5D. The lines are posted much earlier (giving you more time to cap), and at a cheaper price and maybe more choices of matches except 5D doesn't seem to like to offer 1st pricing very much, I rarely see that offered. Just a thought.
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