Thiem should arrive fresh in the final, and in these conditions I give him real chance against Nadal, and Nadal is not yet in final, he may have some injury or some trouble against the hard hitter he will face in semifinal, with maybe rainy conditions. So thiem @5 seems a good bet to me, any other thoughts?
I think Cecchi will be out of gas, he played the match of his life against Djoko and left a lot of energy, the match after should be more difficult for him. About the problems Nadal could have, quite happy until now, I hope Schwartzman can win it, but with his wrist treatment and the level he shows I should have easy cover now anyway.
he will have 2 full days to recover...that's more than enough time...plus when you are playing winning tennis, the endorphin rush overpower any fatigue...he will be fine and won't blame tired legs if he loses.
Finally Nadal reached the final without too many problems (I can damn this rain delay vs Schwartzmann...), so I can't cover my stake. Either I cover with small loss, or I let go for a big win, I think I will keep my bet because I think Thiem has a chance, the weather should be unstable, with possibility of rain, and Nadal had troubles in these conditions. In hot sunny conditions it seems really hard, but with wet conditions Thiem has a chance.
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