Posted:
#1
'10-11 NBA: 90-67 (57.3%) +19.90u
'10-11 NBA-P: 30-16 (65.2%) +18.25u
'10-11 NCAAB: 8-1 (88.9%) +7.90u
'10-11 NHL-P: 11-4 (73.3%) +7.00u
'10-11 MLB: 97-66 (59.8%) +31.61u
'10-11 MLB-P: 9-3 (75.0%) +9.22u
'11-12 NCAAF: 16-21 (43.2%) -7.40u
'11-12 NCAAF-P: 9-6 (60.0%) +1.65u
'11-12 NFL: 42-35-1 (54.5%) +5.05u
'11-12 NFL-P: 5-5 (50.0%) -0.40u
'11-12 NCAAB: 9-3 (75.0%) +5.70u
'11-12 NCAAB-P: 5-3 (62.5%) +1.60u
'11-12 NBA: 77-80 (49.0%) -13.28u
'11-12 NBA-P: 16-15-1 (52.1%) +0.60u
10:10 EST - Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers Under 7 (-105)
My model projects this game at 5.80 total runs. With 8 needed for this bet to lose, we have 2.2 runs of value. That's right on the cusp of what I look for in a total, but with my number 1 ranked pitcher Zach Greinke looking to bounce back against the slumping Dodgers offense (last in extra base hits and #24 in total offense over their last 7 games), I just had to pull the trigger. The dodgers aren't the only offense that's in a slump and dealing with injuries. The Brewers have a very depleted line-up and are slowly dropping in my offensive power rankings (they're #24 in extra base hits and #23 in total offense over their last 7 games). In particular, the Brewers are having trouble finding their offense against righties as they've recently slipped to #23rd in my power rankings against right-handed pitchers like Billingsley. Even after the starters exit, they will be backed by two bullpens I rank in the top 10. Over the last 5 years the Dodgers stadium has been the 4th most pitcher friendly park in the majors so don't be afraid of the low total here. It looks to be the right play.
5/31 - MIL@LAD
0
San Fran may not have enough to take advantage though. Best of luck.
, anyway, thanks bro!!!
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