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2017 NFL and NCAA Football Against The Spread (ATS) Trends
Here is a look before the 2017 College Football season starts on lined teams and some basic ATS trends:
Air Force -- 5-0 ATS vs Boise State, 0-8 ATS vs Wyoming
Akron -- 5-1 ATS with Rest off a win, 0-9 ATS vs Bowling Green
Alabama -- 7-0 ATS as non-Conf Favs <21.5 pts, 0-5 ATS off back-to-back Straight Up losses
Appalachian State -- 6-0 ATS as Road Favs <19 points, 0-5 ATS off a shutout win
Arizona -- 4-1 ATS vs Utah, 0-5 ATS vs UCLA
Arizona State -- 11-0 ATS vs Washington, 2-9 ATS as beaten Favs
Arkansas -- 4-0 ATS vs Ole Miss, 1-7 ATS as beaten Favs
Arkansas State -- 7-0 ATS vs UL-Monroe, 0-4 ATS off a Double Digit ATS loss
Army -- 5-1 ATS vs Navy, 0-4 ATS vs Air Force
Auburn -- 4-1 ATS vs Lsu, 0-9 ATS as Double Digit Favs
2017 NFL AND NCAA Football Wagering Tips
Emotion— The most important betting edge to know about in football wagering isn't statistics or numbers. The most important edge is emotion. Find the team that desires to win more than their opponent and they'll cover a high percentage of those events. This is true in all sports. But it is even more significant in a physical game like NCAA and NFL Football. Certain Coaches are much better than others in getting their teams ready for games by providing the impetus for emotion. Such Coaches as John Holliday, Paul Johnson, Bill Belichick and anyone named Harbaugh among others have all shown their worth in this area over the years.
Sandwich Games— Be careful of ‘sandwich' games. That is the game for a team that's in between two other more important games. The NFL split into different Divisions recently, with fewer teams in each Division. Since then we have both the AFC and NFC broken down into four Divisions consisting of four teams each. They are called the East, North, South and West. So now Division games are of even greater significance than in the past with fewer teams in each Division. When it comes to determining the Playoff picture, these games are the most important to each competing team.
If Seattle for example, early in the season, plays Arizona this week and San Francisco in two weeks, you know they're going to be focused on those two inter-Divisional games. But if the in-between game is against say Atlanta, a lesser out of Division team, be careful! Seattle will have most likely played a tough game the week before, and have an important tough game the following week. Starters may be pulled early against Atlanta, and those hurting from the previous game might not even play in this one.
Too many bettors jump on a team that has been covering on the ‘sandwich' game, laying way too much ‘wood'. The team usually wins, but fails to cover. Then the bettor jumps off of Seattle the following week against San Francisco because the bettor got burnt the week before in the sandwich game!
Line Movement— Sometimes line movement means nothing, and sometimes it means everything. When I wager (my favorite recreation), I want the line to be bet dead or move ½ to one point with me. Not a lot of movement, but slightly in agreement with me. When a line moves more than one point, especially in the NFL, it can be a dangerous play. This can denote injuries or other late information such as weather, etc. But be careful, NFL teams are notorious for giving out misleading disinformation more so than any other sport.
Here's wishing all Football bettors a great 2017 Football Wagering Season! Make sure to stop by the https://www.FreeSportsLetter.comsite for tons of FREE Wagering Information, Contests, Lines, Scores, and more importantly, FREE Winners!
--Rich Green
Editor@FreeSportsLetter.com
https://www.FreeSportsLetter.com
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