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Posted: #1
BetsKiller site is under construction and this is picks that will regulary be posted on page when it goes online.

Today: Indiana Pacers @ Chicago Bulls 
Under 202 @ 1,892 (PinnacleSports)
Predicted score: 99 - 96
Analysis: 72,7% on Under
- We have a matchup of two great defensive teams with not too much offensive firepower ( 103,8 vs 98,7 in Defensive Efficency rating).
- Last two matchups in Chicago ended with 96-95 and 103-86, and last matchup in Indiana finished with 104-92, all under 202, we expect the same today.
Bet Amount: 3 Units
 
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Posted: #2
Before Website goes online, we have a facebook page: https://www.facebook.com/BetsKillerAnalysis
 
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Posted: #3
Bet on Ind @ Chi was PUSH, only because of OT :(

Today: LA Clippers @ NO Pelicans
Over 207,5 @ 1,892 (Pinnacle Sports)
Predicted score: 108-107
Analysis: 78% Over
- We have a matchup of two high pace teams (96,9 - 97,1)
- Both teams also score alot of points
Pelicans with 108-8 - 108,2 at home and Clippers with 104-102,6 away, also both teams play with bad deff efficency (106,9 - 111,5)
Bet Amount: 3 Units


Units explanation:
If you have 1000$ bank, I suggest 5$ per unit.
We will have bets from 1 to 20 units, and you must be carefull to have bank big enough to survive some bad series and get back on track with few good games.
 
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Posted: #4
We had a loss last night because of very low shooting percentage from both teams. -3 Units (-5 units total)

Today: Charlotte Hornets @ Toronto Raptors
Over 197,5 @ 1,926 (5dimes)
Predicted score 103-102
We have a matchup of two good scoring teams,
Hornets play higher tempo away with bad defence (106,5 deff eff), and we expect a good game from Raptors who have at home 109,1 Off Efficency.
Bet Amount: 4 Units
 
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Posted: #5

Last Night: WIN +3,7 Units (-1,3 Units Total)

Today: Dallas Mavericks vs. NO Pelicans
Under 207 @ 1,909 (Pinnacle Sports)
Predicted Score: 100-93

Very good matchup for Under, books are having this at 207 because average scoring points of Pelicans and Mavs, but Pelicans are playing slower Away, and Dallas actually plays very good defence at Home (102,4 Deff Eff)
Pelicans are 14-4 Under Away
Mavs are 11-4 Under Home

Under is 5-2-1 in Pelicans last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Under is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Under is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 vs. Western Conference.

Bet Amount: 3.5Units

 
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Posted: #6

NO@DAL Under207 - WIN +3,18 Units
Total: 2 - 2 - 1 +1,88 Units


Today: 

CHI Bulls @ TOR Raptors
Over 195,5
Predicted Score: 104-98

Bulls play tempo of 98,4 on the road, Raptors are very good in Off Efficency at home, Noah is out for CHI and I expect Tor to score over 100 points wih Bulls behind their backs.

Over is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Over is 8-1 in Bulls last 9 vs. Eastern Conference.

Over is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between Raptors and Bulls.

Bet Amount: 2,5 Units
 
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Posted: #7

Last bet: Bulls @ Raptors Over 195,5 - WIN!! 
Final score; 115 - 113 +2,25 Units
Total: 3 - 2 - 1 + 4,13 Units

Today:

Bucks @ Bulls Under 202,5 @ 1,877
Predicted Score: 103-92

Bucks force lower pace on road, Bulls play slower at home then on road, both teams with low Off Efficency; MIL 99,8 - 101,7 CHI
Last 5 games between Bucks and Bulls:
66-120
88-94
92-90
95-95 plus OT
91-82

Bet Amount: 2 Units

 
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Posted: #8
Bucks @ Bulls Under 202,5 @ 1,877 - LOSS
3 - 3 - 1 +2,13 Units

Today: 

Cavs @ Wizards U202 @ 1,877
Last 5 games Wizards average 94,2 - 97,2 points
They play terrible offence and even good defence @ 100,8 Deff Eff
Cavs on the road average 35-1 - 92,3 with 99 Deff Eff which is 2nd best in the league on the road.
I expect low scoring game with predicted score: 93 - 101

- Under is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 9-1 in Cavaliers last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.
- Under is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 vs. NBA Southeast.

- Under is 5-2-1 in Wizards last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home.
- Under is 7-3 in Wizards last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.

Bet Amount: 3 Units

 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by Zwer23:

Bucks @ Bulls Under 202,5 @ 1,877 - LOSS
3 - 3 - 1 +2,13 Units

Today: 

Cavs @ Wizards U202 @ 1,877
Last 5 games Wizards average 94,2 - 97,2 points
They play terrible offence and even good defence @ 100,8 Deff Eff
Cavs on the road average 35-1 - 92,3 with 99 Deff Eff which is 2nd best in the league on the road.
I expect low scoring game with predicted score: 93 - 101

- Under is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Under is 9-1 in Cavaliers last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.
- Under is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 vs. NBA Southeast.

- Under is 5-2-1 in Wizards last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home.
- Under is 7-3 in Wizards last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.

Bet Amount: 3 Units


ERROR Correction:
Cavs on the road average 95,1 - 92,3 with 99 Deff Eff which is 2nd best in the league on the road.
 
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Posted: #10

Yesterday: 

Zwer23: Cavs @ Wizards U202 @ 1,877  LOSS -4 Units

Total 3-4-1 -0,87 Units

Today:

Celtics @ Bulls U204,5 @1,892 
Predicted score: 102-99
Main reason for this is Bulls averages 99,6 - 94,4 at home with 4th best defence at home @ 99 Deff Eff
Also, Celtics are 11-5 Under on the road.

Under is 5-2 in Celtics last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.
Under is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 road games.
Under is 9-2 in Celtics last 11 vs. NBA Central.
Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Bet Amount: 4 Units

 
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Posted: #11
Celtics @ Bulls U204,5 @1,892 WIN +2,67 Units

4-4-1 +1,8 Units

Today:

Thunder @ Lakers Under 211 @1,892 
Predicted Score 108-95
Last five matchups:
120 - 85
118 - 78
127-117
101-108
103-104

Lakers averages at home 96 - 101,6 and are 10-4 Under
Thunder is 108-100 Away with 8-5 Under

Under is 9-2 in Thunder last 11 games following a ATS win.
Under is 4-1 in Thunder last 5 road games.
Under is 9-1 in Lakers last 10 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

Bet Amount: 2 Units

 
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Posted: #12
MADE FEW MISTAKES:

Celtics @ Bulls U204,5 @1,892 WIN +3,57 Units

4-4-1 +2,7 Units

Today:

Thunder @ Lakers Under 211 @1,892 
Predicted Score 108-95
Last five matchups:
120 - 85
118 - 78
127-117
101-108
103-104

Lakers averages at home 96 - 101,6 and are 10-4 Under
Thunder is 108-100 Away with 8-5 Under

Under is 9-2 in Thunder last 11 games following a ATS win.
Under is 4-1 in Thunder last 5 road games.
Under is 9-1 in Lakers last 10 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

Bet Amount: 2,5 Units

 
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Posted: #13

Last night:  Thunder @ Lakers Under 211 LOSS -2,5Units

Total: 4-5-1 +0,2 Units

Today:
Zwer23: Hornets @ Clippers Over202 @1,892 
Predicted score: 100 - 105
Hornets last 5 games:
111-102
111-101
90-109
104-94
117-122 vs LAC
They are playing terrible defence @ 118 Def eff last 5 games
101 - 111 on average

Clippers last 5 games:
98-109
130-99
89-95
117-122 @ CHA
91-108
Clippers are playing great offence @ 118 Off Eff last 5 games
113 - 99 on average

Charlotte on road plays average 100 - 103,5
Clippers home 103,2 - 98,6

Over is 4-1-1 in Hornets last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 4-1 in Hornets last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Over is 9-3 in Clippers last 12 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.

Bet Amount: 5,5 Units

 
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Posted: #14

Today:
Spurs @ Pistons Under 195,5 @ 1,926
Predicted score 95 - 92

Spurs last 5 vs. teams like Pistons:
88 - 84
78 - 103
97 - 94
83 - 103
92 - 89

Pistons Home vs Defensive teams 
94 - 94 OT
118 - 96
92 - 93
104 - 81
82 - 94

Under is 13-6 in Spurs last 19 games playing on 0 days rest.
Under is 4-1 in Spurs last 5 road games.
Under is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Under is 6-2 in Pistons last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 4-1 in Pistons last 5 games following a ATS win.

Bet Amount: 7 Units

 
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Posted: #15

G1: Timberwolves @ Rockets +8,5 @1,926 
Predicted score: 102 - 104

T'wolves are away 11 - 6 ATS with average score of 100,1 - 100,9
Rockets are Home 9 - 12 ATS with 104,3 - 103,3

T'wolves away L10 vs. similar teams
115 - 90
101 - 95
113 - 99
107 - 102
107 - 99
91 - 101
93 - 93 OT
91 - 103
107 - 103
107 - 117

Rockets Home
103 - 94
102 - 95
120 - 113
108 - 101
93 - 102
102 - 107
99 - 99 OT
...
Beverly is OUT for Rockets and Pekovic is back for Wolves which helps alot for them.

Timberwolves are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Bet Amount: 
5 Units

G2: 
Heat @ Clippers Under 199,5 @1,892 
Predicted score 92 - 95

Heat on road plays slow tempo with average of 93-2 - 93,5
Clippers play Home 102,7 - 97,9

Bet Amount: 5 Units

 
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Posted: #16

2 - 0 last night, will update record tomorrow


Today:
Lakers @ Warriors Under217,5 @1,892 
Predicted score: 95 - 110

Warriros play gread defence at Home and they will want to win this one with ease after last night loss. Also, they rested Draymond Green last night, today he will be back in lineup.
For Lakers, Bryant will probably not play, also Brandon Bass,
I doubt they can score more then 90-92 poits to 2nd best defence at home @97,7 Deff Eff.

Last two games this season ended:
Lakers - Warriors 88 - 109
Warriors - Lakers 111 - 77

Over is 5-0 in Lakers last 5 road games.
Under is 6-0 in Lakers last 6 games following a straight up win.
Under is 5-1 in Lakers last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.

Bet Amount: 8 Units

 
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Posted: #17

Today:
T'Wolves @ Thunder +13 @1,909 
Predicted Score: 98 - 105

Wolves are great on the road with average of 100,3 - 101,3
and 12 - 6 ATS, Thunder is 10 - 13 ATS at home, last matchum @Min was 96 - 101, with a fact Wolves are terrible Home, that's enough for me.

Bet Amount: 4 Units

Mavs @ Bulls Under 202,5 @1,892 
Predicted score: 94 - 97

Under is 5-0 in Mavericks last 5 road games.
Under is 9-1 in Mavericks last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.
Under is 5-1 in Mavericks last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 4-1 in Mavericks last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 6-1 in Bulls last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Under is 11-2 in Bulls last 13 vs. Western Conference.

Bet Amount: 1,5 Units

 
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Posted: #18

Last few days:

Hornets @ Clippers Over202 @1,892  LOSS   -5,5

Spurs @ Pistons Under 195,5 @ 1,926  LOSS  -7

Timberwolves @ Rockets +8,5 @1,926   WIN   +4,63

Heat @ Clippers Under 199,5 @1,892   WIN   +4,46

Lakers @ Warriors Under217,5 @1,892  WIN   +7,13

T'Wolves @ Thunder +13 @1,909    LOSS  -4

Mavs @ Bulls Under 202,5 @1,892   WIN  +1,34


Total:  8 - 8 - 1  +1,26 Units


TODAY:

Kings @ Clippers Under 216 @1,9 

Predicted score: 103 - 106

Clippers plays average of 102,8 - 97,5 at home,
L7 games home: 
104 - 90
101 - 101 OT
97 - 83
130 - 99 SIXERS
99 - 100
103 - 90
103 - 101

Under is 5-2 in Clippers last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 7-3 in Clippers last 10 games playing on 2 days rest.
Under is 9-4 in Clippers last 13 home games.

Bet Amount: 10Units

 
 
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Posted: #19
Yesterday:
Kings @ Clippers Under 216 @1,9   -  WIN  +9Units

YTD: 9 - 8 - 1   +10,26 Units


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