Washington State-Nevada haven't met since '05. Wazzu got beat 41-38 in Seattle by Rutgers last week, despite passing for 532 yards. Rutgers ran ball for 215 yards, won game with 3:24 left. Nevada has 10 starters back on defense; they're 5-1 as home underdogs since '10, 2-0 under Polian. Wolf Pack beat I-AA Southern Utah 28-19 last week (7-0 at half, total yardage was 547-380). Coogs have senior QB with 20 starts, 8 starters back on offense- they're 8-4 vs spread on road under Leach (1-1 as AF).
Saturday's games
Top games of week
Kansas State won last six games with Iowa State, with five
of six by 8 or less points, but K-State won 41-7 LY; Wildcats won six
of last eight visits here (3-4-1 ATS). Dogs of 10+ points covered three
of last four in this series. Cyclones gave up 299 rushing yards in awful
34-14 loss to a I-AA team last week; ISU is 8-10-1 as home underdogs
under Rhoads. K-State is 4-4-1 in last nine games after road favorite,
after covering just one of nine before that.
Western Kentucky QB Doughty was 46-56/569 passing in 59-31 home win over Bowling Green last week; Hilltoppers covered 11 of last 15 as road underdogs, 17 of last 23 as underdogs overall- they've got only four starters back on defense. Illinois is 5-9 as home favorites since '11; they have 8 starters back on defense, but allowed 203 rushing yards in 28-17 home win over I-AA Youngstown last week (was 7-6 at half). Penguins outgained Illinois by 17 yards for the game.
Fresno State gave up 701 yards on 105 plays in awful 52-13 loss at USC last week (was 31-7 at half), now its another Pac-12 opponent in Utah, which had two extra days to prepare after routing a I-AA team last Thursday. Utes have six starters back on both sides of ball, a junior QB with 22 starts- they're 6-11 as favorites in last three seasons. Bulldogs are 14-7 in last 21 games as road dog despite last week's loss; hard to win with inexperienced QB on road.
Stanford won five of last seven games with USC, in series where the dog covered eight of last ten series games. Trojans lost 21-14/37-35 in last two visits to Farm, where dogs covered five of last seven in series. First Pac-12 game at USC for Sarkisian, who split pair of close games last two years vs Stanford while he was coaching Washington. USC was 5-3 as a road dog under Kiffin/Orgeron; they're just 2-9 vs spread in last 11 road games. Cardinal is just 4-8 in last dozen games as home favorite.
Vanderbilt laid an egg in Mason's coaching debut last week, getting waxed 37-7 by Temple as 14-point home favorites; Commodores now open in SEC play vs Ole Miss team they've beaten five of last seven tries, with underdogs 9-4-1 vs spread in last 14 series games, but 1-4 last five tilts played in Nashville. Rebels were sloppy early in 35-13 win over Boise in Atlanta last week (up 7-3 at half). Vandy was 5-2 as home dog under Franklin, after being 8-18 as home dog before Franklin.
Michigan State is 13-8-1 as underdogs under Dantonio, covered last four tries as road underdogs; Spratans have junior QB with 14 starts, but have three new starters on OL-- they won last three bowl games, so have won on road, but haven't traveled this early in season recently. Oregon lost its starting LT for season during camp; they're 10-11-1 as home favorites in last three seasons. Ducks ran punt back for TD last week; hard to tell much about either team's wins vs I-AA squads last week.
Michigan won six of last
eight games with Notre Dame, but Golson was at QB in 13-6 win here two
years ago, only time Wolverines didn't beat spread in last five tries as
series underdog. Dogs covered 10 of last 14 in series (0-2 last two
years). Home side won six of last seven series games; Michigan split
last four visits here. Irish had 281 rushing yards, 295 thru air in
48-17 win over Rice last week. Michigan is 6-11 as road underdogs since
2007. Last nine years, ND is 16-29-3 as a home favorite.
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