heat finally covered one on the road on saturday(the only favorite that covered), i think vegas is "inviting" us to bet on the heat again with that in mind!
0
Locked in on Jazz +2.5
-Utah 11-4 S.U. and 10-5 ATS at home
-Utah 7-3 ATS at home vs. above .500 teams
-Heat 0-4 ATS following a S.U. win in last 4 wins
-Heat 0-6 ATS on road against over .500 teams
heat finally covered one on the road on saturday(the only favorite that covered), i think vegas is "inviting" us to bet on the heat again with that in mind!
heat finally covered one on the road on saturday(the only favorite that covered), i think vegas is "inviting" us to bet on the heat again with that in mind!
Thought about this...maybe more value in Jazz ML versus Jazz +2.5?
0
Quote Originally Posted by greengiants:
Locked in on Jazz +2.5
-Utah 11-4 S.U. and 10-5 ATS at home
-Utah 7-3 ATS at home vs. above .500 teams
-Heat 0-4 ATS following a S.U. win in last 4 wins
-Heat 0-6 ATS on road against over .500 teams
heat finally covered one on the road on saturday(the only favorite that covered), i think vegas is "inviting" us to bet on the heat again with that in mind!
Thought about this...maybe more value in Jazz ML versus Jazz +2.5?
Has anyone taken into consideration that Chris Paul is out for the game against memphis, contusion on right knee?Is this why the line shot back up to -3?
0
Has anyone taken into consideration that Chris Paul is out for the game against memphis, contusion on right knee?Is this why the line shot back up to -3?
2 more for me tonight and that may be it. Looking at a total as well, but will see.
3 Plays total - I am using $100 for all plays to get my number.
Phoenix +5 -110 Vegas books have move this from 6 to 5 with heavy public backing on the Thunder. My only hesitation is Phoenix's first game back home, but with Thunder playing last night and the movement I think this is a good spot to play the Suns
Memphis ML -150 Grizz coming off a thumping, but rested playing at home. Looks like Paul is out and I will buy off the 3 and beileve Memphis holds court at home.
Dallas -6 -120 (have to check earlier post to confirm numbers)
5-4 +30 since tracking
A couple of thoughts on RLM. Be careful, where you get your information from in terms of money and line moves. I like to use the Vegas sportsbooks for line moves. They tend to be less volatile and give me a truer sense for what is going on.
Also, if you have the ability, try and get information from multiple places for where money is coming in at. It gives a good cross section and sometimes evens things out more than they may appear on one site.
Finally, sometimes I believe no line movement can be as telling as RLM when other factors start to come in play. This can work particularly when you follow a line from the beginning. Sometimes a number standing pat, while money continues in on the other side is just as solid a play.
Great job to ustes to putting that information together. As we start to see multiple trends in play for certain games we may be able to really capitalize.
Good Luck
0
2 more for me tonight and that may be it. Looking at a total as well, but will see.
3 Plays total - I am using $100 for all plays to get my number.
Phoenix +5 -110 Vegas books have move this from 6 to 5 with heavy public backing on the Thunder. My only hesitation is Phoenix's first game back home, but with Thunder playing last night and the movement I think this is a good spot to play the Suns
Memphis ML -150 Grizz coming off a thumping, but rested playing at home. Looks like Paul is out and I will buy off the 3 and beileve Memphis holds court at home.
Dallas -6 -120 (have to check earlier post to confirm numbers)
5-4 +30 since tracking
A couple of thoughts on RLM. Be careful, where you get your information from in terms of money and line moves. I like to use the Vegas sportsbooks for line moves. They tend to be less volatile and give me a truer sense for what is going on.
Also, if you have the ability, try and get information from multiple places for where money is coming in at. It gives a good cross section and sometimes evens things out more than they may appear on one site.
Finally, sometimes I believe no line movement can be as telling as RLM when other factors start to come in play. This can work particularly when you follow a line from the beginning. Sometimes a number standing pat, while money continues in on the other side is just as solid a play.
Great job to ustes to putting that information together. As we start to see multiple trends in play for certain games we may be able to really capitalize.
I really like this thread.. but im not with you in Memphis... I have a little system also.. trying to compare to yours! BOL to all... I like Clippers +3
0
I really like this thread.. but im not with you in Memphis... I have a little system also.. trying to compare to yours! BOL to all... I like Clippers +3
Don't you mean teaser? adding 7 points on a parlay? My book does not do that.
When I say teaser - people get confused and tell me there are only X game teasers. No, those are additional game totals (bet365, pinnacle, 5dimes). The names don't matter - what matters is finding a game. GL buddy. I'm probably gonna play those separately as a an Under plays
0
Quote Originally Posted by Turbovtk:
Don't you mean teaser? adding 7 points on a parlay? My book does not do that.
When I say teaser - people get confused and tell me there are only X game teasers. No, those are additional game totals (bet365, pinnacle, 5dimes). The names don't matter - what matters is finding a game. GL buddy. I'm probably gonna play those separately as a an Under plays
When I say teaser - people get confused and tell me there are only X game teasers. No, those are additional game totals (bet365, pinnacle, 5dimes). The names don't matter - what matters is finding a game. GL buddy. I'm probably gonna play those separately as a an Under plays
Ok, but I think people here should really learn the terms as they are part of the betting process.
I like the OKC under but not sold on the Memphis under- def not sold on Memphis as that could be a trap game Paul is great and makes them work together I do have them on a parlay just in case-
0
Quote Originally Posted by SportsMavin:
When I say teaser - people get confused and tell me there are only X game teasers. No, those are additional game totals (bet365, pinnacle, 5dimes). The names don't matter - what matters is finding a game. GL buddy. I'm probably gonna play those separately as a an Under plays
Ok, but I think people here should really learn the terms as they are part of the betting process.
I like the OKC under but not sold on the Memphis under- def not sold on Memphis as that could be a trap game Paul is great and makes them work together I do have them on a parlay just in case-
going to test a theory with the RLM and fatigued teams, two teams that are on back to back games:cleveland and okc
cleveland played last night so for fear that they might be gased in the second half, I will take cleveland +3 1st half against Sacramento.Cleveland averages more points(using home /away stats) in the first half(49.8) than the second(44.8), while sacramento averages less in first half(49.2) and more in the second(50.6)
and I will take phoenix +5.5 for the game for the reverse reasons of above, not very confident on this play, because the trends and stats supporting phoenix are very few, but i want to test this out.I have learned in sports to expect the unexpected.So this would be unexpected to me.
laying off the magic game, i have varied results for the public support, and for reasons that Melosjumper stated earlier(post #3552), i think this game is coin flip.Anyways 4 games is enough for tonight.
0
going to test a theory with the RLM and fatigued teams, two teams that are on back to back games:cleveland and okc
cleveland played last night so for fear that they might be gased in the second half, I will take cleveland +3 1st half against Sacramento.Cleveland averages more points(using home /away stats) in the first half(49.8) than the second(44.8), while sacramento averages less in first half(49.2) and more in the second(50.6)
and I will take phoenix +5.5 for the game for the reverse reasons of above, not very confident on this play, because the trends and stats supporting phoenix are very few, but i want to test this out.I have learned in sports to expect the unexpected.So this would be unexpected to me.
laying off the magic game, i have varied results for the public support, and for reasons that Melosjumper stated earlier(post #3552), i think this game is coin flip.Anyways 4 games is enough for tonight.
washington -2 boston-11 atl +5 clippers under 181 minnesota+7 utah +3 okc -5
although i dont like memphis -3 i lean clippers but this is a no play,
opinions greatly appreciated
my favorite 3 are
memphis under 181 utah +3 and atlanta +5
im going to narrow it down to just the 3 or i may play them all for 1 unit
opinions greatly appreciated
I could be wrong but I think the drop in the MIA/Utah line has a lot to do with people giving up on the Heat because of the recent let downs- Just an opinion I have not checked the stats.
0
Quote Originally Posted by jgjtrapboss:
here are my leans for tonights games
washington -2 boston-11 atl +5 clippers under 181 minnesota+7 utah +3 okc -5
although i dont like memphis -3 i lean clippers but this is a no play,
opinions greatly appreciated
my favorite 3 are
memphis under 181 utah +3 and atlanta +5
im going to narrow it down to just the 3 or i may play them all for 1 unit
opinions greatly appreciated
I could be wrong but I think the drop in the MIA/Utah line has a lot to do with people giving up on the Heat because of the recent let downs- Just an opinion I have not checked the stats.
twolvs +3.5 1H. i feel like they were able to hang with the spurs last night in the first half so why not the mavs. thoughts?
Maybe a little exhaustion should be considered in your play- They have had recent tough games against Spurs, Hornets, Thunder, Hawks and Blazzer to start the year- the first 3 I listed were loses- there could be a contrarian indicator there but I don't know that they show up in the 1H
0
Quote Originally Posted by keithprochaska:
twolvs +3.5 1H. i feel like they were able to hang with the spurs last night in the first half so why not the mavs. thoughts?
Maybe a little exhaustion should be considered in your play- They have had recent tough games against Spurs, Hornets, Thunder, Hawks and Blazzer to start the year- the first 3 I listed were loses- there could be a contrarian indicator there but I don't know that they show up in the 1H
twolvs +3.5 1H. i feel like they were able to hang with the spurs last night in the first half so why not the mavs. thoughts?
I'm not playing it, but I agree with you. Their recent trend, including three losses and a win, has been a strong first half and a meltdown after halftime.
0
Quote Originally Posted by keithprochaska:
twolvs +3.5 1H. i feel like they were able to hang with the spurs last night in the first half so why not the mavs. thoughts?
I'm not playing it, but I agree with you. Their recent trend, including three losses and a win, has been a strong first half and a meltdown after halftime.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.