Waiting for this line to get beat down a bit more by sharps. I doubt it will get through the key number of 37, but if it does. I'm all over it.
The only reason Jay Cutler is still QB of the Dolphins is Adam Gase attempting to save face as a coach swaying the GM's decision to get Cutler. now that cutler has cracked ribs and can't smoke cigs like the POS that he is, we should see the real Dolphins Offense that Matt Moore went 2-1 last year, averaging 27.3 Pts/game in.
Now, let's take a little bit of salt here because that was away against the Jets and the Bills which were atrocious defenses last year and they only scored 14 at the patriots in the playoffs, but this Baltimore Defense has had problems stopping the run and the deep pass all year long. They did get DT Brandon Williams back which was supposed to help in the run game, but they allowed Latavius Murray to rip off an explosive run TD. A Case Keenum led offense with no Diggs scored 24 on them! Matt Moore is good at 2 things, handing the ball off to Jay Ajayi, and throwing the deep ball to Kenny Stills. Kenny stills should see a favorable matchup, at least speed wise against Brandon Carr or Marlon Humphrey.
Implied Box score is 20-17 the Ravens. Considering the Ravens scores 16 away on a much, much better vikings defense that the Dolphins (who just allowed 28 to the jets). I see the ravens easily scoring 20+ at home. Which leaves us with the Dolphins need to score 17+ on the road. Lets give Jay Ajayi some positive touchdown regression for 1 score. Kenny Stills or devante parker on the deep ball for another score, and a field goal, we have the over easily.
Keep an eye on the injury status of Devante parker, but if he's a good and this line goes to 37 or lower, we've got a sneaky OVER play.
66% capper or better (I only count my high conviction *$$$$LOCK$$$$* plays), google Bubba's picks for the evidence.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
MIA (+3, 37.5) @ BAL
Waiting for this line to get beat down a bit more by sharps. I doubt it will get through the key number of 37, but if it does. I'm all over it.
The only reason Jay Cutler is still QB of the Dolphins is Adam Gase attempting to save face as a coach swaying the GM's decision to get Cutler. now that cutler has cracked ribs and can't smoke cigs like the POS that he is, we should see the real Dolphins Offense that Matt Moore went 2-1 last year, averaging 27.3 Pts/game in.
Now, let's take a little bit of salt here because that was away against the Jets and the Bills which were atrocious defenses last year and they only scored 14 at the patriots in the playoffs, but this Baltimore Defense has had problems stopping the run and the deep pass all year long. They did get DT Brandon Williams back which was supposed to help in the run game, but they allowed Latavius Murray to rip off an explosive run TD. A Case Keenum led offense with no Diggs scored 24 on them! Matt Moore is good at 2 things, handing the ball off to Jay Ajayi, and throwing the deep ball to Kenny Stills. Kenny stills should see a favorable matchup, at least speed wise against Brandon Carr or Marlon Humphrey.
Implied Box score is 20-17 the Ravens. Considering the Ravens scores 16 away on a much, much better vikings defense that the Dolphins (who just allowed 28 to the jets). I see the ravens easily scoring 20+ at home. Which leaves us with the Dolphins need to score 17+ on the road. Lets give Jay Ajayi some positive touchdown regression for 1 score. Kenny Stills or devante parker on the deep ball for another score, and a field goal, we have the over easily.
Keep an eye on the injury status of Devante parker, but if he's a good and this line goes to 37 or lower, we've got a sneaky OVER play.
66% capper or better (I only count my high conviction *$$$$LOCK$$$$* plays), google Bubba's picks for the evidence.
Ajayi has a bad knee not ankle... backup is david fales, pretty much the same type of QB as David fales. If you bet or don't bet based on hypotheticals or injury predictions, you're a fish
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Ajayi has a bad knee not ankle... backup is david fales, pretty much the same type of QB as David fales. If you bet or don't bet based on hypotheticals or injury predictions, you're a fish
Baltimore 1 TD last week, basically the Vikings let them score, the game was over, it was the last play.
Zero TDs on offense the week before, got 2 special teams TDs
All the injuries at WR for Baltimore. Matt Moore going against a very angry and embarrassed Balty defense.
Miami didn't score for half the game against Atlanta. The 17 points they scored last week to come back, all drives started at mininum the 46 yard line.
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Well, you're brave, I'll say that.
Baltimore 1 TD last week, basically the Vikings let them score, the game was over, it was the last play.
Zero TDs on offense the week before, got 2 special teams TDs
All the injuries at WR for Baltimore. Matt Moore going against a very angry and embarrassed Balty defense.
Miami didn't score for half the game against Atlanta. The 17 points they scored last week to come back, all drives started at mininum the 46 yard line.
TNF Miami Dolphins (+3, 37.5) @ Baltimore Ravens 830PM EST
Matt Moore is starting this game at QB for the injured Jay Cutler. This should shift Miami's offense plan to more of a traditional run-first, play action style offense similar to the one that they implemented last year after Ryan Tannehill's season ended. In those 3 games, the Dolphins hung 34 points on the road at the Bills and the Jets while putting up 14 at home against the patriots. In all likely hood this game will flow through Jay Ajayi running the ball with some play action deep shots to kenny stills and possible devante parker and underneath to julius thomas.
The return of Brandon Williams DT for the Baltimore Ravens was supposed to help in the run game for the Ravens and solidify the defense, but the Vikings managed 5 yards per carry to the tune of 160 total yards rushing and a TD against the Ravens. Looking at the Ravens injury report, there are 11 names questionable tonight. The starting safeties and the backup are questionable but practiced in full and should play, and two starting linebackers are in the same position. I expect the ravens to have most of their defensive pieces on play tonight, but at less than 100% after a very physical game at the vikings.
Miami's Defense has been bad this year and with two defensive linemen questionable after limited practice this week, it won't get much better. As a result I think Joe Flacco will have some extra time in the pocket to throw the ball. Mike Wallace will likely not play, but the ravens will get Jeremy Maclin and Breshad Perriman back for this game, injecting some life into their offense.
In summary, both offense should be able to move the ball against weak/banged up defenses. and the OVER is in play. Given this is a Thursday Night game and supposed to be ugly, I've opted to a greater margin of safety.
Teaser (7 Points) : MIA +10 & OVER 30.5
I also like the OVER 37.5 which I think will hit much easier if there is a defensive touchdown (+240).
If I had to pick a side, I'd take MIA +3, but given the state of Miami's defense and the returning weapons for Joe Flacco, I can see a Ravens 4-7 Point win.
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TNF Miami Dolphins (+3, 37.5) @ Baltimore Ravens 830PM EST
Matt Moore is starting this game at QB for the injured Jay Cutler. This should shift Miami's offense plan to more of a traditional run-first, play action style offense similar to the one that they implemented last year after Ryan Tannehill's season ended. In those 3 games, the Dolphins hung 34 points on the road at the Bills and the Jets while putting up 14 at home against the patriots. In all likely hood this game will flow through Jay Ajayi running the ball with some play action deep shots to kenny stills and possible devante parker and underneath to julius thomas.
The return of Brandon Williams DT for the Baltimore Ravens was supposed to help in the run game for the Ravens and solidify the defense, but the Vikings managed 5 yards per carry to the tune of 160 total yards rushing and a TD against the Ravens. Looking at the Ravens injury report, there are 11 names questionable tonight. The starting safeties and the backup are questionable but practiced in full and should play, and two starting linebackers are in the same position. I expect the ravens to have most of their defensive pieces on play tonight, but at less than 100% after a very physical game at the vikings.
Miami's Defense has been bad this year and with two defensive linemen questionable after limited practice this week, it won't get much better. As a result I think Joe Flacco will have some extra time in the pocket to throw the ball. Mike Wallace will likely not play, but the ravens will get Jeremy Maclin and Breshad Perriman back for this game, injecting some life into their offense.
In summary, both offense should be able to move the ball against weak/banged up defenses. and the OVER is in play. Given this is a Thursday Night game and supposed to be ugly, I've opted to a greater margin of safety.
Teaser (7 Points) : MIA +10 & OVER 30.5
I also like the OVER 37.5 which I think will hit much easier if there is a defensive touchdown (+240).
If I had to pick a side, I'd take MIA +3, but given the state of Miami's defense and the returning weapons for Joe Flacco, I can see a Ravens 4-7 Point win.
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