MegaMan_FreePick . Same-game par-lay. + A easy pick & a ugly pick.

Tampa Bay Rays -143

This is a pretty easy pick for me - I imagine a lot of people will be pimping this one today.  Tampa Bay owns the New York Yankees going all the way back to last year and both of em know it.  The Yankees have dropped 5 out of the last 12 to them . 9 out of the last 21.  Tampa Bay is trying to continue pushing themselves up in that division.  I mean shit, you figure at home is the best place to do it.  They’re 30-18 down there.  That's good right?

And if you want to talk pitchers - Montgomery’s ERA looks solid until you consider it is damn near two points higher on the road. (2.95/4.75)  Shane McClanahan seems to not make it very far into the innings but you have the #2 ranked bullpen coming into the back of this game to take care of business. They did take a piece out of him (4 runs) on June 2, but they can adjust that.  They got one of the best pitching staffs in the league.

I always take TB when they play NYY.  Just something that has worked for me.  Maybe it will for you too.

Baltimore Orioles. +115

It’s not a pretty pick, but Watkins has yet to give up more than 1 run this month. And he’s faced heavy hitters.  (TB.Tor.CWS) Miami hasn’t managed to score more than 2 runs in 7 of the past 10.   They just put up 9 runs vs. SD, but so what?  That # will regress.  Not continue. 

Baltimore has put up 5 or more runs in 6 of their last 7.  That lone game, they still got four runs.  The team that scores more runs wins the game, don’t they?  Alcantara has had four bad games in a row, he’s not even making it far into the game.  Pitched 3 innings in the last one, and four in the one before that.  The Miami bullpen is top 10, but I’m going to live dangerous and grab that+115 and hope Baltimore continues this 6-1 run against a Miami team that is 19-34 on the road.

The team that scores more runs wins the game, don’t they?  I think I got that right.

Alcantara has had four straight bad games in a row.  He’s not even making it far into the game. Pitched 3 innings in the last one, and four in the one before that. The Miami bullpen is top 10, but I’m going to live dangerous and grab that +115 and hope Baltimore continues their 6-1 run against a Miami team that is 19-34 on the road.

Good Luck.

San Fran +1.5 . Under 8.5

I have a same game-par-lay you should try if you can the same numbers I got.  The 8.5 is what I feel is most important, because if it’s 8 you may wind up with a tie and not win as much. But that still not matter, because this feels like a game that ends up in the five or six runs range.

Fan Duel gave me San Francisco +1.5 / under 8.5 for +170.  You can take the under and pick em straight up to win get +240 on the beat.  I don’t know which one you feel more comfortable with. 

I usually play both – I put one amount on the +1.5 and a lesser amount on the money line.  I did that last night with the Angels and ended up hitting both of them.  If you can get that under 8.5, go get that pick man.  Even if you don’t same-game par-lay it.

A lot of bats are M.I.A in this series. No Mookie Betts, No Cory Seagar, Bellinger is questionable.  Belt, Crawford, ext. ext. 

Webb has a 1.64 ERA at home and San Fran’s bull pen is the third best in the league at 3.32.  The Dodgers bull pen has been top five this entire month and all pitchers on both sides have gotten an extra day of rest.  Add that to the fact that both of these teams are TOP 3 in almost every defensive category and that under just looks beautiful.  I would have expected a 7.5

Are we even sure the Dodgers are better than the Giants?  Especially with the Dodgers in this condition?  The Dodgers just dropped 3 of 4 games at the crib and then limped into Colorado, got beat, and pulled off two wimpy ass wins where they only managed four runs combined.  In the most hitter friendly field on the planet.

San Francisco hasn’t exactly been red hot, I do know the Giants have pulled off four straight under dog wins with Webb pitching.  I have to take a team that I think will probably win getting a run.