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    MoneyGuarantee Tennis Tipster

    MGTennisTipster
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 1982
    Posts: 11
     
    MGTennisTipster
    MGTennisTipster
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2014
    Posts: 11
    Posted: Jan. 1, 2015 - 6:18 AM ET #1

    Presentation

    I’m a professional Portuguese tennis tipster with deep knowledge in this sport and also in market analyze.
    My academic formation and work experience have allowed me to specialize as tennis tipster in the last years.
    I started my formation with a Physical Education degree, which allowed me to get a good knowledge in the following areas of this sport:
    - Technical-tactical area of the game
    - Physiological area
    - Psychological area
    After that I completed my formation with a Finance degree, to get a better understand of the market functioning and also to learn investment theories in order to maximize my income and to reduce the risk.
    During these years, I’ve also worked as tennis journalist and had the chance to interview some of the best players of the world, including former Grand Slam champions.
    Last season was our first year as professional paid service and we registered an impressive 9,34% ROI in 963 bets.


    Working principles

    This service works with a portfolio diversification of assets that have 0 correlation coefficient, this means that the bets have a nonlinear relationship.
    A higher volume of bets allow us to reduce our long-term risk, according to the diversification theory.
    The goal in every bet is to reduce as maximum as possible the unpredictability in order to reduce the risk. To achieve this objective most of the bets are placed on the ML market.
    The games are analyzed before the odds are released and after taking in consideration several variables (the importance of those variables change from game to game) our fair price is defined and if the odds released are above that fair price, we have value to bet.
    According to these principles, there are no restrictions such as: number of picks per day; minimum or maximum odd.


    Money Management

    Each person should define their own money management system, but there are some important ideas that can’t be ignored in this service:
    - The money management system should allow you to handle a losing streak, because they’re inevitable
    - The stake should be always the same % value of the bankroll you have established, this means that you should change the amount of money you bet in each game in order to get a better money management system.

    Our suggestion for money management:
    1 unit – 0,4% of your bankroll
    In 2015 according to the analysis of 2014 results - made by us-  we’ll use the following stake system:

    ATP 250; ATP 500 & WTA – 3 units

    ATP 1000 & Grand Slam Women – 4 units

    Grand Slam Men – 5 units

    Working method

    This service provides bets on the following tours: ATP & WTA
    The bets are all provided in Asian bookies like Pinnacle Sports. This is a smart bookie that tracks winners and because of that, even when limits are high, the odds may have some crashes once the accounts of our customers are tracked. To try to protect our customers from this situation we release the picks as early as possible to give time for the odds to have some bounce back after an initial drop. In the preview of the games there will be the date and hour of the match so you can know when the market will close and try to get the best possible odd.
    The goal is to find value in the bets and for the subscribers to be able to bet above the “no bet under” limit. Sometimes you might bet better odd than the presented, sometimes worse, but the important is that you bet on the “value area”.

    Avoid the known “Herd Behavior”, if the odd starts to drop after is released is probably better to wait for a bounce back, it won’t happen in all matches but in the long term if you wait after the initial drop for that recover of the odd, you’ll be better than if you go with the drop.

    This is an investment service for investors who look for a long-term service.


    Contacts

    You can find all about our service at: moneyguarantee.blogabet.com/
    If you have any doubt or question, you can contact us by PM 

    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Presentation

    I’m a professional Portuguese tennis tipster with deep knowledge in this sport and also in market analyze.
    My academic formation and work experience have allowed me to specialize as tennis tipster in the last years.
    I started my formation with a Physical Education degree, which allowed me to get a good knowledge in the following areas of this sport:
    - Technical-tactical area of the game
    - Physiological area
    - Psychological area
    After that I completed my formation with a Finance degree, to get a better understand of the market functioning and also to learn investment theories in order to maximize my income and to reduce the risk.
    During these years, I’ve also worked as tennis journalist and had the chance to interview some of the best players of the world, including former Grand Slam champions.
    Last season was our first year as professional paid service and we registered an impressive 9,34% ROI in 963 bets.


    Working principles

    This service works with a portfolio diversification of assets that have 0 correlation coefficient, this means that the bets have a nonlinear relationship.
    A higher volume of bets allow us to reduce our long-term risk, according to the diversification theory.
    The goal in every bet is to reduce as maximum as possible the unpredictability in order to reduce the risk. To achieve this objective most of the bets are placed on the ML market.
    The games are analyzed before the odds are released and after taking in consideration several variables (the importance of those variables change from game to game) our fair price is defined and if the odds released are above that fair price, we have value to bet.
    According to these principles, there are no restrictions such as: number of picks per day; minimum or maximum odd.


    Money Management

    Each person should define their own money management system, but there are some important ideas that can’t be ignored in this service:
    - The money management system should allow you to handle a losing streak, because they’re inevitable
    - The stake should be always the same % value of the bankroll you have established, this means that you should change the amount of money you bet in each game in order to get a better money management system.

    Our suggestion for money management:
    1 unit – 0,4% of your bankroll
    In 2015 according to the analysis of 2014 results - made by us-  we’ll use the following stake system:

    ATP 250; ATP 500 & WTA – 3 units

    ATP 1000 & Grand Slam Women – 4 units

    Grand Slam Men – 5 units

    Working method

    This service provides bets on the following tours: ATP & WTA
    The bets are all provided in Asian bookies like Pinnacle Sports. This is a smart bookie that tracks winners and because of that, even when limits are high, the odds may have some crashes once the accounts of our customers are tracked. To try to protect our customers from this situation we release the picks as early as possible to give time for the odds to have some bounce back after an initial drop. In the preview of the games there will be the date and hour of the match so you can know when the market will close and try to get the best possible odd.
    The goal is to find value in the bets and for the subscribers to be able to bet above the “no bet under” limit. Sometimes you might bet better odd than the presented, sometimes worse, but the important is that you bet on the “value area”.

    Avoid the known “Herd Behavior”, if the odd starts to drop after is released is probably better to wait for a bounce back, it won’t happen in all matches but in the long term if you wait after the initial drop for that recover of the odd, you’ll be better than if you go with the drop.

    This is an investment service for investors who look for a long-term service.


    Contacts

    You can find all about our service at: moneyguarantee.blogabet.com/
    If you have any doubt or question, you can contact us by PM 

     
    MGTennisTipster
    MGTennisTipster
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2014
    Posts: 11
    Posted: Jan. 1, 2015 - 7:49 PM ET #2

    Glad to inform that service is already open for next season!

    First tournaments start this weekend, don't miss a bet at https://moneyguarantee.blogabet.com/
    Reply
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    Glad to inform that service is already open for next season!

    First tournaments start this weekend, don't miss a bet at https://moneyguarantee.blogabet.com/
     
    MGTennisTipster
    MGTennisTipster
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2014
    Posts: 11
    Posted: Jan. 11, 2015 - 11:45 AM ET #3

    Earlier odds – Advantage or Problem?

     

    As you all know, when the odds are released the limits are lower and the possibilities of finding more value are also higher. As long as bets are made in the market, the odds adjust into more fair numbers and limits will increase with that adjustment.

    Tennis is a sport where markets aren’t very big in smaller tournaments and also there isn’t much time between the releasing of the odds and the start of the match. For example, the semi-finals games are usually played on Friday, then the winners of semi-finals will play the final on Sunday and that odds are released always with less than 24 hours before the start of the final.

    Since I have started working as tennis tipster there have always been problems regarding odd drop. That situation is inevitable in this Sport (maybe except later stages of Grand Slams) because limits are never huge and always the smart money system from Pinnacle (where they have a higher sensibility to winners bets) have a bigger effect on odds.

    Therefore the work of a tennis tipster (speaking only of tennis because it’s the Sport where I work on) is a very hard task between: 1) releasing picks with value; 2) releasing picks with acceptable limits; 3) releasing picks with time for everyone to bet no matter their time zone. As you can see is very hard to combine all this, especially when the bets are only released some hours before the start of the event.

    Over my experience in this business, I have realized that most of subscribers don’t have a rational economic thinking. What do I mean with this? Subscribers are more focused on getting the same odd as the tipster instead of winning more money.

    Like was said, in tennis the markets aren’t very big and struggle to support higher amounts of bets (especially if those are made by winners they have tracked) and this year even waiting for higher limits of even 10k (which is very very big for tournaments that are not Grand Slam) the drops still occur. This season we took a bet on Madison Keys to beat Varvara Lepchenko @1.59 and odd still dropped to @1.50 in next hour. https://www.oddsportal.com/tennis/australia/wta-brisbane/lepchenko-varvara-keys-madison-x2iuR0Q2/

    In this last case the opening odd was 1.69 and in early stages it would have been possible to publish odds around @1.70.

    The examples during the season of this situation are many, in fact is harder to find one of our bet where there wasn’t a much better odd in earlier stage than the one we got.

    In today match of Roger-Vasselin vs Souza the opening odd for Roger was @1.57 and he was at @1.66 some hours later. When limits were more acceptable odds were @1.49 but still the odds drop to @1.40, from my experience subscribers prefer to get @1.49 when odd published is @1.49 than to get @1.50 when odd published is @1.66. We are in this business to make money and I can assure that this way of working is more profitable for everyone in long term.

    This brings us to the main point of this situation, how do you see earlier odds: 1) problem? ; 2) advantage?

    One thing we can all be sure about, if odds have value they will drop no matter if we bet on them or not because we represent a very small % of everyone in the world who bets on tennis and despite having a strong effect in the next hour or two after pick is released, is more than obvious that it will be the rest of the market to decide where the odd goes to.

    So far we have worked in a way where pick is released, there is an odd which has no value betting on and if the subscriber is not very fast to get the odd after is released he should wait for some bounce back to get better odd.

    But there is a way for everyone to have higher long term profit: releasing earlier picks with higher value and picks will contain two “No bet under “odds. 1) The first “No bet under” will represent “High Value Odd” and if the odd goes below that number after being released, subscribers should wait to see what the market does, if it goes above that value there is a chance to get a High Value Bet. 2)The second “No bet under “ will represent “Value Odd” and that’s what we have been working on, that is the odd where there shouldn’t be no bet under that odd and if the odd falls below that the subscriber should wait for it to bounce back to get a Value Bet. If the odd is in the Value Bet zone, but below the High Value Odd, the subscriber can wait for the close of the market to try to get a higher odd.

    I have experience as following services and following a service is something that requires work, is not just receiving the pick and placing the bet. This is a high value betting service and that’s what we are good at and if we have economic rational subscribers we can all win a lot of money.

     

     

    Reply
    Quote Post
    0
    Report User

    Earlier odds – Advantage or Problem?

     

    As you all know, when the odds are released the limits are lower and the possibilities of finding more value are also higher. As long as bets are made in the market, the odds adjust into more fair numbers and limits will increase with that adjustment.

    Tennis is a sport where markets aren’t very big in smaller tournaments and also there isn’t much time between the releasing of the odds and the start of the match. For example, the semi-finals games are usually played on Friday, then the winners of semi-finals will play the final on Sunday and that odds are released always with less than 24 hours before the start of the final.

    Since I have started working as tennis tipster there have always been problems regarding odd drop. That situation is inevitable in this Sport (maybe except later stages of Grand Slams) because limits are never huge and always the smart money system from Pinnacle (where they have a higher sensibility to winners bets) have a bigger effect on odds.

    Therefore the work of a tennis tipster (speaking only of tennis because it’s the Sport where I work on) is a very hard task between: 1) releasing picks with value; 2) releasing picks with acceptable limits; 3) releasing picks with time for everyone to bet no matter their time zone. As you can see is very hard to combine all this, especially when the bets are only released some hours before the start of the event.

    Over my experience in this business, I have realized that most of subscribers don’t have a rational economic thinking. What do I mean with this? Subscribers are more focused on getting the same odd as the tipster instead of winning more money.

    Like was said, in tennis the markets aren’t very big and struggle to support higher amounts of bets (especially if those are made by winners they have tracked) and this year even waiting for higher limits of even 10k (which is very very big for tournaments that are not Grand Slam) the drops still occur. This season we took a bet on Madison Keys to beat Varvara Lepchenko @1.59 and odd still dropped to @1.50 in next hour. https://www.oddsportal.com/tennis/australia/wta-brisbane/lepchenko-varvara-keys-madison-x2iuR0Q2/

    In this last case the opening odd was 1.69 and in early stages it would have been possible to publish odds around @1.70.

    The examples during the season of this situation are many, in fact is harder to find one of our bet where there wasn’t a much better odd in earlier stage than the one we got.

    In today match of Roger-Vasselin vs Souza the opening odd for Roger was @1.57 and he was at @1.66 some hours later. When limits were more acceptable odds were @1.49 but still the odds drop to @1.40, from my experience subscribers prefer to get @1.49 when odd published is @1.49 than to get @1.50 when odd published is @1.66. We are in this business to make money and I can assure that this way of working is more profitable for everyone in long term.

    This brings us to the main point of this situation, how do you see earlier odds: 1) problem? ; 2) advantage?

    One thing we can all be sure about, if odds have value they will drop no matter if we bet on them or not because we represent a very small % of everyone in the world who bets on tennis and despite having a strong effect in the next hour or two after pick is released, is more than obvious that it will be the rest of the market to decide where the odd goes to.

    So far we have worked in a way where pick is released, there is an odd which has no value betting on and if the subscriber is not very fast to get the odd after is released he should wait for some bounce back to get better odd.

    But there is a way for everyone to have higher long term profit: releasing earlier picks with higher value and picks will contain two “No bet under “odds. 1) The first “No bet under” will represent “High Value Odd” and if the odd goes below that number after being released, subscribers should wait to see what the market does, if it goes above that value there is a chance to get a High Value Bet. 2)The second “No bet under “ will represent “Value Odd” and that’s what we have been working on, that is the odd where there shouldn’t be no bet under that odd and if the odd falls below that the subscriber should wait for it to bounce back to get a Value Bet. If the odd is in the Value Bet zone, but below the High Value Odd, the subscriber can wait for the close of the market to try to get a higher odd.

    I have experience as following services and following a service is something that requires work, is not just receiving the pick and placing the bet. This is a high value betting service and that’s what we are good at and if we have economic rational subscribers we can all win a lot of money.

     

     

     
    MGTennisTipster
    MGTennisTipster
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2014
    Posts: 11
    Posted: Jul. 25, 2015 - 12:37 PM ET #4

    Hello

    Hasn't been an easy season, very tough start after a wonderful 2014 season which is more than normal on this business. Bookies improve everyday, so is the tipster job to improve too and find ways to get advantage and get value. 

    Some changes have been made and results are there again with two good months and very strong streaks.

    You can find all our bets at: https://moneyguarantee.blogabet.com

    If you have any doubts don't hesitate to contact us at: moneyguaranteetennistipster@gmail.com
    Reply
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    Report User
    Hello

    Hasn't been an easy season, very tough start after a wonderful 2014 season which is more than normal on this business. Bookies improve everyday, so is the tipster job to improve too and find ways to get advantage and get value. 

    Some changes have been made and results are there again with two good months and very strong streaks.

    You can find all our bets at: https://moneyguarantee.blogabet.com

    If you have any doubts don't hesitate to contact us at: moneyguaranteetennistipster@gmail.com
     
    MGTennisTipster
    MGTennisTipster
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2014
    Posts: 11
    Posted: Jul. 31, 2015 - 3:41 PM ET #5

    Important information about the changes on our work method. Since last two months we have used a higher diversification approach where he make a lot of splits in our bets, instead of picking with stake 3, we split some times in three bets 1 - 1 - 1 and other times in two bets 2 - 1. Despite our high volume, this generates a higher number of picks than the number of matches we are envolved.

    We'll keep working hard as always and thank you for the trust.

    You can find all our bets at: https://moneyguarantee.blogabet.com

    If you have any doubts don't hesitate to contact us at: moneyguaranteetennistipster@gmail.com
    Reply
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    Important information about the changes on our work method. Since last two months we have used a higher diversification approach where he make a lot of splits in our bets, instead of picking with stake 3, we split some times in three bets 1 - 1 - 1 and other times in two bets 2 - 1. Despite our high volume, this generates a higher number of picks than the number of matches we are envolved.

    We'll keep working hard as always and thank you for the trust.

    You can find all our bets at: https://moneyguarantee.blogabet.com

    If you have any doubts don't hesitate to contact us at: moneyguaranteetennistipster@gmail.com
     
    MGTennisTipster
    MGTennisTipster
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2014
    Posts: 11
    Posted: Aug. 2, 2015 - 8:55 AM ET #6

    Glad to inform that you can find us now in our website: https://www.mgtennistipster.com/
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    Glad to inform that you can find us now in our website: https://www.mgtennistipster.com/
     
    MGTennisTipster
    MGTennisTipster
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2014
    Posts: 11
    Posted: Aug. 16, 2015 - 5:26 PM ET #7

    August Analysis:

    After two very demanding months with high volume, we decided that in August we would reduce our number of selections. Is important to know when to rest and recover energy in order to perform a high quality work and that's the main reason why we decided to reduce our volume in this month. 

    Next week we'll be working on Cincinnati ATP, WTA and also looking for possible value opportunities on Challenger Tour.

    Thank you for the support and lets make some money!

    You can find all about us at: https://mgtennistipster.com/

    If you want to contact us don't hesitate at: moneyguaranteetennistipster@gmail.com
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    August Analysis:

    After two very demanding months with high volume, we decided that in August we would reduce our number of selections. Is important to know when to rest and recover energy in order to perform a high quality work and that's the main reason why we decided to reduce our volume in this month. 

    Next week we'll be working on Cincinnati ATP, WTA and also looking for possible value opportunities on Challenger Tour.

    Thank you for the support and lets make some money!

    You can find all about us at: https://mgtennistipster.com/

    If you want to contact us don't hesitate at: moneyguaranteetennistipster@gmail.com
     
    MGTennisTipster
    MGTennisTipster
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2014
    Posts: 11
    Posted: Aug. 27, 2015 - 11:09 AM ET #8

    US Open around the corner

    US Open main draw will be released later today and our work on the last major of the year will start immediately.

    We'll present daily value bets in order to provide a quality profit in the last Grand Slam of the year.

    Thank you and lets make some money!

    You can find all about us at: https://mgtennistipster.com/

    If you want to contact us don't hesitate at: moneyguaranteetennistipster@gmail.com

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    US Open around the corner

    US Open main draw will be released later today and our work on the last major of the year will start immediately.

    We'll present daily value bets in order to provide a quality profit in the last Grand Slam of the year.

    Thank you and lets make some money!

    You can find all about us at: https://mgtennistipster.com/

    If you want to contact us don't hesitate at: moneyguaranteetennistipster@gmail.com

     
    MGTennisTipster
    MGTennisTipster
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2014
    Posts: 11
    Posted: Aug. 31, 2015 - 11:43 PM ET #9

    August recap

     

    After two previous months ending over the 20 units barrier, August was a slower month for us with lower number of picks and also lower profit. Still a positive month with 4 units profit and 2% Yield

    We have entered two very hard working weeks with the last Grand Slam of the year and there are alsso some nice news regarding a partnership with Sports Book Review with daily articles and videos for the US Open.


    If you want to know more about our work just go to https://www.mgtennistipster.com/

    If you have any doubt don’t hesitate to contact at: moneyguaranteetennistipster@gmail.com

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    August recap

     

    After two previous months ending over the 20 units barrier, August was a slower month for us with lower number of picks and also lower profit. Still a positive month with 4 units profit and 2% Yield

    We have entered two very hard working weeks with the last Grand Slam of the year and there are alsso some nice news regarding a partnership with Sports Book Review with daily articles and videos for the US Open.


    If you want to know more about our work just go to https://www.mgtennistipster.com/

    If you have any doubt don’t hesitate to contact at: moneyguaranteetennistipster@gmail.com

     
    MGTennisTipster
    MGTennisTipster
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2014
    Posts: 11
    Posted: Jan. 1, 2017 - 5:45 AM ET #10

    Hello,

    Hope you’re doing well.

    The 2017 season is here and we would like to invite you to join us in this amazing journey. This is already MG Tennis Tipster’s 4th year with extremely solid results. 

    We’ll maintain the working method we’ve used since March 2016 with the following results: 293 picks, +44.26 units, +7.55% Yield. 
    Looking now to our overall numbers since January 2014, 6% Yield over 2693 picks using only Pinnacle is a great sample of our work so far.

    Wish you all a Happy New Year!


    Remember, this is a Long-Term Investment


    If you want to know more about our work just go to https://www.mgtennistipster.com/

    If you have any doubt don't hesitate to contact at: moneyguaranteetennistipster@gmail.com
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    Hello,

    Hope you’re doing well.

    The 2017 season is here and we would like to invite you to join us in this amazing journey. This is already MG Tennis Tipster’s 4th year with extremely solid results. 

    We’ll maintain the working method we’ve used since March 2016 with the following results: 293 picks, +44.26 units, +7.55% Yield. 
    Looking now to our overall numbers since January 2014, 6% Yield over 2693 picks using only Pinnacle is a great sample of our work so far.

    Wish you all a Happy New Year!


    Remember, this is a Long-Term Investment


    If you want to know more about our work just go to https://www.mgtennistipster.com/

    If you have any doubt don't hesitate to contact at: moneyguaranteetennistipster@gmail.com
     
     
    MGTennisTipster
    MGTennisTipster
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2014
    Posts: 11
    Posted: May. 9, 2017 - 4:38 AM ET #11

    Hello,

    Hope you're doing well.

    After a slow start in 2017, we couldn't ask for better results in the last months. We're currently with 103 picks, 18.22 units and 8.84% ROI this season.

    We would also like to highlight our incredible run over the last 3 weeks with 18-1, 30.42 units and 80.05% ROI.

    Remember, this is a Long-Term Investment


    If you want to know more about our work just go to https://www.mgtennistipster.com/

    If you have any doubt don't hesitate to contact at: moneyguaranteetennistipster@gmail.com 
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    Hello,

    Hope you're doing well.

    After a slow start in 2017, we couldn't ask for better results in the last months. We're currently with 103 picks, 18.22 units and 8.84% ROI this season.

    We would also like to highlight our incredible run over the last 3 weeks with 18-1, 30.42 units and 80.05% ROI.

    Remember, this is a Long-Term Investment


    If you want to know more about our work just go to https://www.mgtennistipster.com/

    If you have any doubt don't hesitate to contact at: moneyguaranteetennistipster@gmail.com 
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