**Stat-wise NBA plays for Wednesday 11/17 (24-18 YTD 60%)**

Plays:

• Phoenix Suns (+9)

The Heat have many chinks in their armor and a weak bench, they’ll have to earn this cover.  I am happy to be in the Suns corner for this one.  Also, the Suns have been white-hot on the road this season and the Heat will draw every team’s best effort.

If you can't find this for better than +8 anymore, just wait for live betting.  The Suns will likely reach +10 in the first quarter.

• Detroit Pistons (+7.5)

This is a huge spread for a home team playing against a team that is on a back-to-back.  Too bad the public is blind to this fact and will load-up on the Lakers.  The Pistons is an ugly, ugly play but it is quality.  This play is so ugly that I doubt anyone will even tail me on it, that’s fine with me.

This line will jump to 8 at least, probably 8.5 knowing all of the idiot Laker homers.  Wait on this one, but definitely take +8.5 because I could see all the smart money jumping on +8.5 and dropping it back to +8 quickly.

• Dallas Mavericks (+4.5)

This play is at +5 on SIA, get it before it moves.

This game will be great, I can see this game being decided by less than 3 points because these teams are fighters.  So I’ll take the points in this coin-flip.

• New Jersey Nets (+10.5)

This one has already moved from the opening +11.  I really like it, historically the average scoring margin in the NBA is -5/+5 so this one is fighting the law of averages by almost double.  The Jazz are banged up and they are still due for regression.

• Houston Rockets (+7)

Inflated OKC line here.  +7 is an amazing line for similar teams.  It's going to be a huge dog day, same as the day we went 4-0.

I guarantee that AT LEAST 6 of the 10 dogs will cover today, I could see as many as 8/10 dogs taking the cake tonight. 

**Knicks and Bulls

I'm leaning Knicks and Bulls as well, but I will wait to see how these early dogs do before live betting to Bulls and trying to get +10.  If all, or most, of these early dogs cover there is no reason to bet on either of these late dogs.

some dogs have no fight in them (LAC)..

some small dogs are in a big-dog fight (Wash)..

Great wins in Utah, Atlanta, and Los Angeles, but also double-digit losses in Portland and Memphis.  Not exactly white-hot.

Nope, it went down to +7.

You guarantee it?  Okay, what's your guarantee?

Bet all dogs tonight guarantee from even to win no lose.  I haven't seen a day that favorite cover more than dog in all sports from NFL,NBA,NCAAF to cricket.......

Spread even 1 unit each you will be plus at the end of the night.  No need to be sweat and watching the fricking points.....  Of course you will feel more sastified because you cap and pick a winner but for me I just like to count the money by the end of the week. Every day from Mon to Sun I bet all dogs and I always profit by the end of the week.

Good luck to everyone.......