5-4-1 +6.5u
I would like it a lot more if “game 1” of this mini-series had ended more like it began with the Aces up 17 at the half, but they did enough to cover and Connecticut probably feels (or is at least telling themselves) that if they just don’t dig such a hole for themselves, they can beat this Las Vegas team.
Like I said when I bet LV last game, I don’t think Connecticut can do it on their own. They need the Aces to overlook them a bit and I think there are a few reasons to believe they could do that in this game.
1. They were up 17 at the half last game and obviously let the Sun back in to it. Just like they did in Atlanta a bit earlier on this road trip.
2. The poor play to close it out in Atlanta spilled over to the start of their next game. Will we see the same in these two games?
3. No matter who you’re talking about, when two teams play a mini series like this, the loser of game 1 will always be the hungrier team in game 2. Recent examples? Chicago upsetting NYL and Seattle beating the Sparks. Literally happens all the time.
4. For Vegas, this is their 4th straight road game playing every other night since June 2nd. In the NBA this wouldn’t be all that remarkable but in the W this seems like a lot of games in a short time especially travelling to 3 different locations. Should see more stuff like this now, especially with the 40 game season, but just because it’s expected doesn’t mean the players are ready for it.
4. Aces next game will see them return home to host the Chicago Sky. Emotional game for CP and I think the whole team will be feeling it/looking forward to it.
No line yet, that I can see, but I assume it’ll be pretty similar to the last one. If it opens less than the margin of last game (6), I’m fairly certain I’ll have at least 2u on the Sun.
I could get into the motivational angles for the Sun (and maybe I will tomorrow) but it doesn’t matter too much. There is enough there for sure. The question for me is more about the focus of LV.
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