Posted:
#1
Well, I read all the posts last night bragging up the Mercury and felt helpless. For weeks now, a few of you have asked me to post, so I did in game #1. I called Indy +5.5 and over 175 a gift. I even said the bookies were gonna get rich. Guess thats why 90% of sports bettors lose money, oh well.
Congrats to those who went against the masses, its time for gift#2. Here we go:
Over/Under: As mentioned in my Monday night post, every game#1 has gone convincingly over the total, for those who read and followed suit, was that play ever in doubt last night??? Well, Game #2 has always gone convincingly under, so we'll make that my strongest lean. Don't let the track meet last night influence you the one way here, game 2's score is curently 0-0. Indy will bring the D and this game will be played at a different speed. Line opened at 179 (joke, they did'nt open this in the 80's to sucker you right in. Just hold the steak in front of us why don't you) and is climbing, wait until just pre-tip to grab this at its max. Should close around 182 or so. This sites consensus is on the over 67.44%, ouch! I always say, last night was last night, tomorrows another game.
Side: This one's a bit more challenging, but in the 13 WNBA finals games since 2006, only once has the home favorite won in consecutive games. Only once. Enough for me, I will side with the Fever. But again, will wait until the masses pad the bookies with Mercury money. As of this moment the consensus on this site is 80.85% on Phoenix. That is sad. Indiana needs this game or the series is over, Phoenix does not. I do not know the logic behind this, but like last night, there's a lot of money going the wrong way.
I'll wait until tip tomorrow and wait for both the side and total lines to inflate, but its Indiana and the Under for me...
Indy 87- Phoenix 84
As always, good luck everyone!!
Mollydog
0
great call
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