First game of the day: Aces @ Mystic

No record needed here.  I'm just a gambler who is mostly an overall loser (relating to sports betting that is) and has their sporadic run in with lady luck... 

My p1ss poor logic for my choice pertaining to this game:

-It's the first game of the day (not like bettors are rushing to the cage to bet the WNBA), public bettors love betting overs for the first and last game of the day. Of course, I know, there are times where it's correct to bet an over especially when it's an unusually high O/U..

-the last Aces game when WAYYY over

-I was reading in StraightWager's thread, he mentioned that this is the Aces 4th game in a week. Also, the Ace's 3rd road game. The Aces "should" be tired/gassed. The Mystic haven't played in a week, they "could be" rusty? 

I'm gonna go with my "gut" on this one and take the:

U167 (-112) and U167.5 (-110)

from 2 different books. You know me, I LOVE unders.  Sometimes, when I stop to think about it, 160 and above IS a BIG number for the WNBA but sometimes it comes down to that last minute fouling that can drive it over or into OT...

Full game o/u is set at 160 and above. That breaks down to:

-minimum 40 points in each 10 min quarter 

-40 points divided by 10 = A pace of 4 points per minute..

Just my 2 cents but an O/U above 160 in the WNBA is equivalent to an O/U of 230 in the NBA? 

As usual, bet sensibly and BOL if you tail or fade.. 

@TheSquare

 Are you me? lol. Same boat with the random bouts of luck. But it’s still fun. 

On your points (pun intended) about the totals, I hazard a guess that the average points per quarter this year in the WNBA have ticked up a bit. I recall that in previous years seeing 20 from either team was impressive as they usually top out at 18 or so. This year so far I feel like 20 is becoming the norm. Of course there is always the dreaded 9 point quarter lurking about but you never know when that will show.

 Have definitely seen lots of needless fouls so far this season which pushed totals over. More over time games it seems too.

Anyway, good luck today! My lines are already moved beyond my taste so I might wait for a live one or jump on a Brutal 2nd half under special. 

FG

Another non-pro gambler here... I tried my luck at posting my record for a minute.. it was horrific lol . My luck has turned since but still nothing to crow about. I bet pennies, well usually $10 or 20 while I watch sports. I know little about the WNBA but am waiting for MLB & about to order a bloody mary and will give your play a shot...I pounded it with a $10 bet lol  BOL

Awful start

@TheSquare

 High scoring first quarter so far. Hard to predict totals even in early games

This is a loss 

Strangely, there's a peace of mind knowing that your bet is dead in the first quarter..  

Unless there's a >20 point quarter coming up! 

Bah, marking this as a loss and moving on.. 

BOL ladies and gents in your other wagers for today.. 

*correction

Less than 20 point quarter coming up. Something like a 11-7 quarter.. 

Yeah right...

Sorry man it’s not even close 

Most likely  I'm chasin now but I went with the 2nd half OVER 87.5...  

Full game O/U was 167/168. First half was 84/84.5, which went WAYYY over. 2nd half "should be" 84 but is 87/87.5 which is a "little high" thus encouraging bettors to take the under. Besides, there's nearly a 30 point middle if you had the original O168 and decide to take the 2nd half UNDER (which makes the full game O/U 201). I think this sails wayyyyy over the 87.5 and newly established O/U of 201..

 Don't tail, watch a fool (me) chase money already lost..  

I’d play under if I was you 

@TheSquare

 This is prime under time. The trend is something like 9-1 to the under when the first half goes way over. But I need this so if course it will go over lol

@noahthechef

 Too late bud.  Already locked in.  Not even gonna follow the live O/U. I will just check back in an hour.. Like I said, more than likely  but I'm stubborn and a fool.. 

Been there before plenty of times.  Usually remorse, anger, questioning  and then acceptance  followed by the dreaded "reload of shame.. " 

so true...