Posted:
#1
58-30
Ok boys and girls this is where the rubber meets the road. If you've noticed we've entered a new phase of the season as 4 road winners in last 4 and 3 of them being 7-9pt outright dogs on the ML. This is more like the NBA where the free money is gone and wins will be hard to come by. Gone are the days of 5-0 nights now 2-1 nights will be a victory. Only 14 games left for each team and they will fight for wins as much as we are, no cakewalk.
Phx/Con: What a tale of 2 teams as Phx eliminated Conn last year in single elimination in 1st round 88-83 in Conn. In that game Phx trailed by 17pts in 2nd qtr before Conn completely no showed 2h only scoring 35pts on their home floor, ouch. Fast forward to the rematch this season as Conn was like a hot knife thru butter and everyone was on their jock at 40-1 to win it all and feeling pretty cocky. They played that oddball ESPN2 game where Wash was up 30pts at Conn and Conn came back all the way to take the 79-76 lead only to blow it 95-91and quite honestly they have never recovered losing 8 of their next 11. However shortly after that season altering loss to Wash they went to Sea and lost then on tail end of b2b had to go to Phx to try and avenge that playoff loss when they were at their weakest, poor souls scored 6 yes 6 2nd qtr pts in an embarrassing blow out, some revenge. Fast forward again 3 weeks when Conn in the midst of a road trip that would make the annual Spurs rodeo trip look like a trip to the corner liquor store Conn finds themselves again on the west coast to try and avenge the playoff +1 loss at Phx. Their offense once again no shows against a surging Phx team and they lose yet again 84-77.Now mind you Phx was on win streaks of 6 and 3 games when the bested Conn.
Now we have Phx on the ropes, losers of 2 in a row and in the midst of their hellish road trip finally travelling to Conn. As a matter of fact Phx last win was against Conn. Meanwhile Conn is still mired in their slump having hit rock bottom in a home loss to pitiful NY, that folks is as bad as it gets. But if you dig a little deeper you can attribute that performance to the 1st game home after being on the road for a month and the return of Thomas. Two teams struggling in need of a win, ultimate revenge on Conn side for the playoff and subsequent embarrassing beatdowns, a Conn team that plays on a home fast track spells shoot em up to me. I can't imagine we get a grind em pace with their history, they've hit 161 twice this year and that was with Conn no showing and having 15pt halves and 6pt qtrs. This should be a bad blood shoot em up with a rain of 3s and FT galore much like the 93-92 home win for Conn last August 4th.
Total is not out yet but I'd imagine it will be a pk em and 170 as last 2 mtgs have been 170 but both went under. When total is released I'm on over 10 bets and get that home crowd and fast track rocking.
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