3-3 +5.7u
As the title suggests, I am considering the Storm tonight. I’m considering the Lynx as well but less so. Got some of my thoughts out in DK’s thread.
Will try to organize my thoughts here but I’ve also got a pretty busy day/evening that may not allow for much posting.
A few reasons I like the Storm:
- They’ve really only played 3 games and two of those came against super teams (LVA and NYL). The other game was a 4 point loss to the 3-2 Wings. Very small sample size but I’m starting to think that their performance against NYL or DAL is closer to properly reflecting this team’s potential than their 41 point loss to the Aces.
- All 3 of the Storm games have been at home. You might assume that things will get worse for them on the road and sure they might but the fact of the matter is that we are two weeks into the season and this is their first road game. We just don’t know how the team will respond.
- I haven’t been watching the W long enough to see if it happens here too but a lot of NBA logic translates from what I’ve seen so this could too. Sometimes with young teams, especially for a franchise with prestigious history, playing at home is too much pressure and they actually perform better on the road. I could easily see this being the case with Seattle. This team has some HUGE shoes to fill with Bird retiring and Stew leaving in FA. For players like Ezi, Jewell, Sami and Mercedes, I don’t think this factors in but for someone like Horston or Melbourne, I’m very curious to see if playing away from home allows them to break out a bit. Seattle is not going to win very many games this season, and even less so if they can’t find solid production from rookies.
- Already kind of mentioned it, but this team has only played 3 games so far. Now the Sparks have only played 1 more than that, but they also won an OT game in Phoenix just last night. A bunch of their players were also recently sick. They definitely looked fine last night but there could be some added fatigue because of it.
- Just like the Lynx, this team has covered ATS in their last two games. They just haven’t played since May 30th so it’s not as much “top of mind”
We get a little home and home series here for the next two games. First in LA and then in Seattle. I do expect Seattle to cover in at least one of these games. The other could easily be a blowout. Supposing they get blown out tonight, or at least don’t cover, would they be in a better spot next game coming home? LA would likely no longer be coming in after an OT win, though they would have Chicago on deck. At 3-3, I’m not sure the Sky are much of a team to look ahead at.
^ All to say, this feels like the better chance for Seattle to cover/win.
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