Most everyone has thrown out this squad to this point and rightfully so. I took a look back and ahead at their past games and future schedule. Previous failures and past lines will dictate my outlook for opportunities going forward. This is the time of season to be selective betting on this type or horrible team. The books will adjust trying to find spots to get this teams ATS record closer to 50/50. Typically books dont let you keep winning betting on or against the same team every week.
1. Seattle +14.5 11-3
2. Dallas +4 5-9
3. Atlanta +5 3-11
4. Phoenix +11 7-7
5. Washington +16.5 ATS cover and SUwin 4-9
6. Las Vegas +13.5 ATS cover 10-3
7. Los Angeles +12.5 10-3
8. Indiana +7 5-8
9. Minnesota +7 9-4
10. Seattle +19 11-3
11. Chicago +16 push 10-4
12. Connecticutt +12 6-8
13. Sky 10-4 pass
14. Dallas 5-9 play
15. Las Vegas 10-3 pass
16. Connecticutt play 6-8
17. Atlanta 3-11 play
18. Phoenix 7-7 play
19.Los Angeles 10-3 pass
20. Indiana 5-8 play
21. Washington 4-9 play
I have put pass or play based on the lopsided teams in this league. I dont want to fade a strong team (depending on a ridiculous line of course).
The other thing to consider is the last few games when and if a team is locked in to a playoff position and nothing to play for.
Dating back to last season the Liberty have only 4 covers out of their last 27 games so yea good opportunities are on deck and some of these lines should be fairly obvious. I think the Most obvious lines will be when facing a less then average or average squad.
Today with the line drop and a facing a 10 win team, I passed and want the Liberty to continue to get stomped. 5-9 Dallas on deck I will be backing the Liberty with a possible inflated line.
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