I have a feeling it might open at -4 but personally if the Sun were +2.5 or +3 at Phoenix last game that makes this line +5 or more. Vegas is on fire the last 2 games and that should have an impact on this line. Also they were favored in Seattle by -1 in the first game of the season.
Fever @ Mystics.
Fever have started out 0-4 ATS and with back to back home games against the Mystics they should find some way to get one of these covered. If they lose the first tomorrow, I would like to see a blowout and some sort of over reaction to the line for Tuesdays rematch.
Liberty vs Chicago
I think Chicago has made enough changes to be a bit stronger on defense. They had no bigs a few seasons ago. it was ridiculous to watch the 2 short fast penetration's shooters Quigley and Sloot go to the hoop or , or miss and get no rebounds. Then attempt to play Defense lol it was silly. They have since been cashing under tickets 13-10 under last season and a 2-0 start to the under this season. It does help that Parker has been playing and in my opinion the lines have been inflated due to past season over success and reputation. Quigley and Parker being out last game contributed to a lower scoring style as well. The questions I have are: what happens when they get back, and do these lines react to both games being unders so far.
Chicago in the last game was 28 of 70 from the field and 1-13 from 3 land(good thing it was the Dream). If Chicago struggles from 3 again and the Liberty stay to their 3 point % then advantage Liberty. The Liberty have to hit a high % because with a lack of rebounding limits their attempts.
Liberty are all about shooting 3 pointers ( 4 games averaging 26 attempts a game, and a total of 45-105 which is 42.8% success rate.) If they miss on these and struggle rebounding that makes betting on them very volatile. None the less the shooters they do have are very good and their roster is much better compared to previous seasons. I like the Liberty but they still have some holes to fill on their starting 5. Their bench the last 2 games has been pretty bad as well making only 9 of 30 attempts 30% from the field. To me since this is a young talented 3 point shooting team they could hit lights out one half and then give back leads if they run cold ( or vice versa). Talented enough to get down early creates 2nd half or in game opportunities.
I am pretty much buying the Liberty all season. They just have been horrible the last 2 seasons and I hope they can cover like the Knicks did in the NBA this season. So yea I like the points with the Liberty (depends on how many)
I will be watching the Indiana game but I can't bet them until Tuesday if they don't show up. I need extra points to get behind them.
The Sun are 4-0 ATS so I hope its a half time lead for the Sun and make a play on Vegas to get control the 2nd Half. I just dont see a Sun victory but I want the game to playout a little to create a line that all Vegas has to do is win or be close. Pre-game bet No!
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Conn @ Aces
I have a feeling it might open at -4 but personally if the Sun were +2.5 or +3 at Phoenix last game that makes this line +5 or more. Vegas is on fire the last 2 games and that should have an impact on this line. Also they were favored in Seattle by -1 in the first game of the season.
Fever @ Mystics.
Fever have started out 0-4 ATS and with back to back home games against the Mystics they should find some way to get one of these covered. If they lose the first tomorrow, I would like to see a blowout and some sort of over reaction to the line for Tuesdays rematch.
Liberty vs Chicago
I think Chicago has made enough changes to be a bit stronger on defense. They had no bigs a few seasons ago. it was ridiculous to watch the 2 short fast penetration's shooters Quigley and Sloot go to the hoop or , or miss and get no rebounds. Then attempt to play Defense lol it was silly. They have since been cashing under tickets 13-10 under last season and a 2-0 start to the under this season. It does help that Parker has been playing and in my opinion the lines have been inflated due to past season over success and reputation. Quigley and Parker being out last game contributed to a lower scoring style as well. The questions I have are: what happens when they get back, and do these lines react to both games being unders so far.
Chicago in the last game was 28 of 70 from the field and 1-13 from 3 land(good thing it was the Dream). If Chicago struggles from 3 again and the Liberty stay to their 3 point % then advantage Liberty. The Liberty have to hit a high % because with a lack of rebounding limits their attempts.
Liberty are all about shooting 3 pointers ( 4 games averaging 26 attempts a game, and a total of 45-105 which is 42.8% success rate.) If they miss on these and struggle rebounding that makes betting on them very volatile. None the less the shooters they do have are very good and their roster is much better compared to previous seasons. I like the Liberty but they still have some holes to fill on their starting 5. Their bench the last 2 games has been pretty bad as well making only 9 of 30 attempts 30% from the field. To me since this is a young talented 3 point shooting team they could hit lights out one half and then give back leads if they run cold ( or vice versa). Talented enough to get down early creates 2nd half or in game opportunities.
I am pretty much buying the Liberty all season. They just have been horrible the last 2 seasons and I hope they can cover like the Knicks did in the NBA this season. So yea I like the points with the Liberty (depends on how many)
I will be watching the Indiana game but I can't bet them until Tuesday if they don't show up. I need extra points to get behind them.
The Sun are 4-0 ATS so I hope its a half time lead for the Sun and make a play on Vegas to get control the 2nd Half. I just dont see a Sun victory but I want the game to playout a little to create a line that all Vegas has to do is win or be close. Pre-game bet No!
Indiana ice ice cold from the field maybe under but I am sure the books are aware of the poor shooting. On the other hand unders usually cash slightly more by seasons end and this is the type of team its hard to set the line low enough so early.
Lean under Fever/Mystics
Lean Vegas and over. Vegas went under last game scoring 97. Very high lines and very bad Sparks team were the reasons the under hit. Sun have hit 80 the last 3 games. This total should be north of 170 and wouldn't shock me to see 175. Sun are on their 2nd road game with only one day rest, does that mean anything ?
These are my observations then I always take a look at what Indigo comes with and Aussies player status updates and roll with the punches.
Best of luck and go Liberty I will be on them unless something changes.
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
0
Liberty +
under Liberty, see the line
Indiana ice ice cold from the field maybe under but I am sure the books are aware of the poor shooting. On the other hand unders usually cash slightly more by seasons end and this is the type of team its hard to set the line low enough so early.
Lean under Fever/Mystics
Lean Vegas and over. Vegas went under last game scoring 97. Very high lines and very bad Sparks team were the reasons the under hit. Sun have hit 80 the last 3 games. This total should be north of 170 and wouldn't shock me to see 175. Sun are on their 2nd road game with only one day rest, does that mean anything ?
These are my observations then I always take a look at what Indigo comes with and Aussies player status updates and roll with the punches.
Best of luck and go Liberty I will be on them unless something changes.
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