Three games that actually have some road dogs. Last couple of days was just road favs. Just want to get some thoughts down on paper.
Sun @ Dream: Current line is Sun +10.5 and total is at 165.5
Sun finally got a much needed home win whilst the Dream are 0-2 S/U in their last 2 home games. Their home form used to be amazing and road form used to be poor but now its the other way around. Little is still on international duty, she will miss 4 games in total. Sun were pathetic 1H vs the Storm and got it together in the 2H. With Lyttle out, Williams drew the start last game and she was ok. It was the high powered offense of the Lynx which was just brutal to watch. The Dream have a crazy 5 days rest after this and stay home to face the Sky whilst the Sun head back home to face the Mystics so sandwich spot for the Sun. I lean the Dream in this game and the over. I think they will get their mojo back in this game against the leagues 2nd worst offensive side..
Sky @ Mercury: Current line is Sky +3 and 174.5
Lean the Over big time in this game. Both 2 offensive juggernauts with the Mercury hitting 80+ all the time it seems at home and the Sky are coming off a low scoring win vs the Fever. EDD is going to have a field day. I wish my book offered player props because I would be all over her. She will put up 30+ IMHO in this game. No one is going to be able to mark her. DT vs Vandersloot is a great match up as well. Should be an entertaining game this one and the Sky could easily take this win as the Mercury have not done anything special and their wins have been against weak teams such as Sun and Stars...
Storm @ Fever: Current line is Storm +6 and 162.5
I got no lean on the total but I do like Seattle.. Same line they were given last week when they went to Indy and Fever won by 10 and covered. I think the Storm has finally found some team chemistry whilst the Fever have collapsed since their coach announced she is going to coach College Ball next year. The Fever's rotation is poor right now and Tamika isn't putting up her same stats as previous seasons. They are clearly missing Clarendon and Zellous. January is back and she is doing as much as possible but Sue Bird is a tough match up for her. This will be a tough close match IMO and lean Storm. Indy also has Minny on deck next in Minny and the Storm have the Stars in SA
GL everyone
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Season: 9-6
Three games that actually have some road dogs. Last couple of days was just road favs. Just want to get some thoughts down on paper.
Sun @ Dream: Current line is Sun +10.5 and total is at 165.5
Sun finally got a much needed home win whilst the Dream are 0-2 S/U in their last 2 home games. Their home form used to be amazing and road form used to be poor but now its the other way around. Little is still on international duty, she will miss 4 games in total. Sun were pathetic 1H vs the Storm and got it together in the 2H. With Lyttle out, Williams drew the start last game and she was ok. It was the high powered offense of the Lynx which was just brutal to watch. The Dream have a crazy 5 days rest after this and stay home to face the Sky whilst the Sun head back home to face the Mystics so sandwich spot for the Sun. I lean the Dream in this game and the over. I think they will get their mojo back in this game against the leagues 2nd worst offensive side..
Sky @ Mercury: Current line is Sky +3 and 174.5
Lean the Over big time in this game. Both 2 offensive juggernauts with the Mercury hitting 80+ all the time it seems at home and the Sky are coming off a low scoring win vs the Fever. EDD is going to have a field day. I wish my book offered player props because I would be all over her. She will put up 30+ IMHO in this game. No one is going to be able to mark her. DT vs Vandersloot is a great match up as well. Should be an entertaining game this one and the Sky could easily take this win as the Mercury have not done anything special and their wins have been against weak teams such as Sun and Stars...
Storm @ Fever: Current line is Storm +6 and 162.5
I got no lean on the total but I do like Seattle.. Same line they were given last week when they went to Indy and Fever won by 10 and covered. I think the Storm has finally found some team chemistry whilst the Fever have collapsed since their coach announced she is going to coach College Ball next year. The Fever's rotation is poor right now and Tamika isn't putting up her same stats as previous seasons. They are clearly missing Clarendon and Zellous. January is back and she is doing as much as possible but Sue Bird is a tough match up for her. This will be a tough close match IMO and lean Storm. Indy also has Minny on deck next in Minny and the Storm have the Stars in SA
When Griner came into the league, she was a beast at 6'8 and teams didn't know how to handle her. Now teams do. But also her personal issues have taken over her IMHO. The whole Glory Johnson saga is a mess. Their bench is very weak as well though. They have no big names coming off their bench compared to the Lynx who have Jia Perkins, Montgomery etc. With Griner not being her usual self, the D of Mercury is non-existent and they have the scorers to stay in games but just don't have the D or rebounders anymore to stay close against superior teams..
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Quote Originally Posted by SiuLungBao:
why is phoenix so weak this year?
i dont get it
When Griner came into the league, she was a beast at 6'8 and teams didn't know how to handle her. Now teams do. But also her personal issues have taken over her IMHO. The whole Glory Johnson saga is a mess. Their bench is very weak as well though. They have no big names coming off their bench compared to the Lynx who have Jia Perkins, Montgomery etc. With Griner not being her usual self, the D of Mercury is non-existent and they have the scorers to stay in games but just don't have the D or rebounders anymore to stay close against superior teams..
My best today is the Sky. Sky are in a road trip with LA on deck. With LA and Minny being so good I think it adds pressure and motivates team to win the game before they play LA or Minn.
The books are still making the Merc lay too many points. Chicago is better than the Merc this year.
Sky +3
Lean under 174.5 because it's the highest total in Mercury games this year, but I am not excited to play unders in their games.
Indy -6 smaller . No question the Storm are getting better , but they are still having issues. Same motivational angle here. After losing to the sky and Minny on deck this should be enough to get by the Storm here. Yes I do realize this team is not as strong as last year but they are still good and beating the weaker squads.
Sun +8.5 smaller and under 168.
With Little being out the Sun should get more time with the ball. This hurts the Dreams rebounds, assists, blocks and steals. With the Sun able to keep the ball more I find it hard to believe this goes over a number close to 170. The 8 points don't seem like a lot for the Dream to handle but she is so key in minutes played along with her loss on defense.
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
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My best today is the Sky. Sky are in a road trip with LA on deck. With LA and Minny being so good I think it adds pressure and motivates team to win the game before they play LA or Minn.
The books are still making the Merc lay too many points. Chicago is better than the Merc this year.
Sky +3
Lean under 174.5 because it's the highest total in Mercury games this year, but I am not excited to play unders in their games.
Indy -6 smaller . No question the Storm are getting better , but they are still having issues. Same motivational angle here. After losing to the sky and Minny on deck this should be enough to get by the Storm here. Yes I do realize this team is not as strong as last year but they are still good and beating the weaker squads.
Sun +8.5 smaller and under 168.
With Little being out the Sun should get more time with the ball. This hurts the Dreams rebounds, assists, blocks and steals. With the Sun able to keep the ball more I find it hard to believe this goes over a number close to 170. The 8 points don't seem like a lot for the Dream to handle but she is so key in minutes played along with her loss on defense.
When Griner came into the league, she was a beast at 6'8 and teams didn't know how to handle her. Now teams do. But also her personal issues have taken over her IMHO. The whole Glory Johnson saga is a mess. Their bench is very weak as well though. They have no big names coming off their bench compared to the Lynx who have Jia Perkins, Montgomery etc. With Griner not being her usual self, the D of Mercury is non-existent and they have the scorers to stay in games but just don't have the D or rebounders anymore to stay close against superior teams..
That, and she didn't have a long season in Russia just behind her. A season where she's getting paid five times the WNBA max salary, if not more.
What defense?...
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Quote Originally Posted by AussieDownUnder:
When Griner came into the league, she was a beast at 6'8 and teams didn't know how to handle her. Now teams do. But also her personal issues have taken over her IMHO. The whole Glory Johnson saga is a mess. Their bench is very weak as well though. They have no big names coming off their bench compared to the Lynx who have Jia Perkins, Montgomery etc. With Griner not being her usual self, the D of Mercury is non-existent and they have the scorers to stay in games but just don't have the D or rebounders anymore to stay close against superior teams..
That, and she didn't have a long season in Russia just behind her. A season where she's getting paid five times the WNBA max salary, if not more.
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