Thursday W craziness

25-14 ATS, second half.

Seattle in the middle of getting thrashed, playing a stinker  one game after I thought they would...they were due for one of these, and the Mystics have a lot of firepower.  I have the Mystics getting the 4th seed so these two teams could end up playing in the semifinals.

Craziness?  I had the Dream giving four and a half to the Sparks, instead Mister Linemaker has made the Sparks 2 point favorites......so one of us is in need of psychological evaluation......maybe it's me, or Vegas is giving me a head  fake, because I'm taking the Dream.  

After a win this year (in games where the Sparks don't play the Lynx) their next game against the spread......

Sparks 4-12 ATS

Lynx 5-9 ATS

Good teams in the end of the season have done poorly on the road in expected low scoring games.

month = 8 and tA(W) > .55 and AF and not C and playoffs = 0 and game number > 26 and total< 160

In the month of August an away non-conference favorite after game number 26 with a winning percentage of >55% and the total is <160 has been 3-11 ATS (-5.93) and 8-6 straight up (+1.07)

Angel is a good competitor and a very good defender, so if she's out the Dream's defense may suffer, but she is a net liability on offense many nights.  I've mentioned before that when teams are on a back-to-back their defense and rebounding suffer, in my playing career I had personal experience with that.  I expect the game to be higher scoring than the mid-150s that the line is, but I have no data to back that up, it is purely a fundamental opinion, which I don't typically act on with my wallet.  The Dream in their recent good form have been scoring high amounts of points....it will be interesting to see Beard matching up with Hayes....I don't think Beard can stop her

Play:

1)  Dream +120

As far the Aces/Lynx go, I may also play the Aces,...we'll see.

Yes, the game analyzed is Thursday, Western Hemisphere time, sorry for all the confusion I would have caused, the insane Dream line caused a bodyclock malfunction.....

Play:

2)  Aces +120

If both the Sparks and the Lynx can win their games in situations they haven't done well in the whole season, then I am a loser....I suppose that is the life of a gambler....I am backing Dirty Bill once again.

i think dream can survive without angel for a game but they def need her playkng in the playoffs since she gives rhe squad confidence.

sykes is a formidable replacement and shes a monster in her own right.  it will be great to see her unleashes for a full game

I'd take Sykes over Angel any day of the week.....it is Hayes' team, and I won't miss Angel sulking after every missed drive to the hoop and no-call.

1)  Dream +120 winner

Sparks look destined to end up in the 4th or 5th seed.

2)  Aces +120 loser

What is the love affair that Bill Laimbeer has with Swords.....maybe he can relate to big white slow centers maybe.  She is a fouling machine and plus she can't guard anyone.

Second half 26-15 ATS.

Sea is fkin tired