Golf Picks & TGL Predictions for Jupiter Links vs Boston Common Golf

Our Jupiter Links vs. Boston Common Golf TGL picks expect Rory McIlroy & Co. to go ahead early and never look back.

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst
Jan 27, 2025 • 13:03 ET • 4 min read
Rory McIlroy Boston Common Golf TGL
Photo By - Imagn Images.

Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy headline the fourth match of the inaugural TGL season tonight with the Jupiter Links Golf Club and Boston Common Golf taking center stage at the cutting-edge, 250,000-square-foot SoFi Center on Monday night.

It wasn’t a pretty opener for Tiger and Jupiter Links, and they’re up against it again tonight. Boston Common has a trio of talented ball-strikers and major champions teeing it up for their debut in Tomorrow’s Golf League.

Here are our top golf picks, TGL predictions, and a breakdown of the format for Monday’s matchup.

TGL prediction for Jupiter Links vs Boston Common Golf

Boston Common Golf to lead after 9 holes (-115 at bet365)

We’ve been lucky to pick off short numbers on the better team the past two weeks, and sportsbooks even had the wrong team pegged as the favorite in the season opener. That’s not the case for this matchup.

Boston is rightfully saddled with a sizable vig, and I have no problem recommending backing Rory and company at -188 through FanDuel or bet365 considering DraftKings and Caesars have the number at -230. Still, we’ve seen the better team pull away during the alternate-shot holes in three consecutive matches, and I expect Boston to do just that again.

There’s no competitive comparison between the two lineups, with Tiger and Kevin Kisner not even playing PGA Tour events consistently, and Tom Kim skidding to a T65 at the Sony and then missing the cut at the Amex to start his season.

Meanwhile, Rory McIlroy sits third in the DataGolf Rankings, with Keegan Bradley ranking 20th and Adam Scott 28th. For Jupiter, Kim is 32nd, while Tiger and Kisner are off the board.

Additionally, Rory is coming off a solid T4 at the Dubai Desert Classic, Bradley has started the PGA Tour season with a T15-T6-T15 run, and Scott finished T15 at The Sentry before his own ho-hum T37 in Dubai.

TGL roster for Jupiter Links vs Boston Common Golf

Jupiter Links Boston Common Golf
Tiger Woods Rory McIlroy
Tom Kim Adam Scott
Kevin Kisner Keegan Bradley
Max Homa (not listed as a starter) Hideki Matsuyama (not listed as a starter)

How does the TGL work?

Each TGL — Tomorrow’s Golf League — match delivers high-stakes competition and strategy across two sessions. It begins with a nine-hole, 3-on-3 alternate-shot format called "triples." Then, golfers will battle in head-to-head singles consisting of six holes, with each playing two.

Additionally, a 40-second shot clock will keep the pace fast, with any violation costing the player one stroke. Every hole awards a point. There are also two more unique twists:

  • Each team has two timeouts per session available.

  • There is a “Hammer” that can be played at any time to increase the value of the hole by one point. One team starts the match with it (Jupiter Links Golf Club on Jan. 7), and then possession of the Hammer is switched once it’s played. When the Hammer is played against a team, that team can decline it but concede the hole.

If the teams are tied at the end, the match heads to overtime, where players face off, and the team landing the closest shot to the pin secures the win.

The players will hit into a massive 64-by-53-foot screen that’s 24 times larger than the typical golf simulator. Players will also be hitting off real grass fairways and rough and tackling sand sourced from a rare variety found at just one other course in the southeastern United States.

Once the ball reaches the green, the action shifts to the GreenZone — a 41-yard-wide turntable green capable of replicating countless hole configurations, adding a dynamic twist to the short game.

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Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs with Sportsbook Review, USA TODAY, theScore, DraftKings Playbook, and RotoWire, among many others. He also co-hosted the Daily Fantasy Edge podcast and can now be seen offering expert golf and hockey advice on Covers’ Before you Bet broadcast.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

Neil’s top pieces of advice for recreational bettors are to stay within your means and to remember sportsbooks aren’t bank accounts. Don’t be afraid to pull those winnings and treat yourself to a lifetime experience courtesy of a big win.

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