The Cleveland Guardians have been red-hot at the dish, and they'll look to keep that going against the Philadelphia Phillies tonight.
That interleague matchup is among my favorite MLB picks in the 'No Run First Inning" and "Yes Run First Inning" markets.
Here are my best YRFI and NRFI bets for Saturday, May 10.
Best NRFI/YRFI bets today
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Run in the first inning – YES
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Run in the first inning – NO
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Run in the first inning – YES
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NRFI/YRFI bets for May 10
Phillies at Guardians: YRFI (+110 at ProphetX)
The Philadelphia Phillies have a formidable lineup that ranks eighth in the majors in OPS (.738) and scores a run in the first inning at the fifth-highest rate (36.8%).
They should get on the board early against Cleveland Guardians starter Tanner Bibee, who has an expected ERA of 4.66 through seven starts. Bibee also possesses a 6.43 ERA with an OBA of .333 in the first inning.
Meanwhile, the Phillies will send Ranger Suarez to the mound. The lefty was rocked in his season debut last Sunday, allowing seven runs through 3 2/3 innings. He had a 4.33 ERA in the first inning across 27 starts last year, and the Guardians have been red-hot at the dish, plating 7.0 runs per game with an OPS of .850 over the last week.
Cubs at Mets: NRFI (Play at ProphetX)
The Chicago Cubs' offense has gotten off to slow starts, scoring a run in the first inning at the fourth-lowest rate in the majors (23.1%). The New York Mets haven't been much better, plating a run in the first inning at the sixth-lowest rate (25.6%).
Tylor Megill will toe the rubber for the Mets, and he's in the midst of a breakout season, pitching to a 2.50 ERA with an OBA of .200 through seven starts. He's been dominant in the first inning, where he has yet to allow a run this year while posting an OBA of just .087.
The Cubs will start veteran right-hander Brad Keller (3.78 ERA through 16 2/3 innings), who usually works out of the bullpen. I'm not sure how long Keller will stay in the game, but I trust him to be able to get through the first inning unscathed.
Orioles at Angels: YRFI (Play at ProphetX)
The Baltimore Orioles and Los Angeles Angels have both struggled at the dish. That said, the O's have been one of the unluckiest teams in the majors and are ninth in xwOBAcon (.390), which suggests positive regression on the horizon. Meanwhile, the Halos rank 11th in run-first-inning percentage (32.4%).
Both sides also have poor pitchers, with Baltimore starting Kyle Gibson and L.A. responding with Jack Kochanowicz. Gibson was signed by Baltimore seven weeks ago and has allowed 12 runs through 7 2/3 innings across a pair of starts.
Kochanowicz sports a 5.79 ERA through seven starts and sits in the bottom 20th percentile in xERA (5.21) and expected batting average (.286). He has pitched to a 5.14 ERA with an OBA of .321 in the first inning, while Gibson posted a 5.10 ERA in the opening frame in 30 starts last year.
❓What are NRFI and YRFI bets❓
NRFI (No Run First Inning) and YRFI (Yes Run First Inning) bets add a thrilling twist to the start of an MLB game. A NRFI bet is a wager that no runs will be scored in the first inning. You're betting that the starting pitchers for both teams will get through the first inning without allowing any runs, whether by striking out batters, inducing ground balls, or through solid defensive play.
A YRFI bet is the exact opposite. You're betting that at least one run will be scored in the first inning. In this case, you’re hoping for an early offensive burst such as a leadoff walk, a timely hit, or even a home run.
NRFI and YRFI bets add excitement to the early part of a game and offer immediate gratification for bettors looking for a quick resolution.
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